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| | |-+  Congressional delegations that lasted the whole decade
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Author Topic: Congressional delegations that lasted the whole decade  (Read 322 times)
Nichlemn
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« on: March 29, 2012, 12:09:52 am »
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In redistricting, we often hear about how a new Congressional map has all seats "solid for the incumbent party for the whole decade". But how often did that actually occur last time?

States that never had a House seat change party hands:

Alaska (At-large)
Maine
Massachusetts
Montana (At-large)
Nebraska
Oklahoma
Oregon
Utah (but not as intended)
Vermont (At-large) (Counting Sanders as D)
Wyoming (At-large)

So only ten states never had a House seat change hands, and four of them were at-large (so redistricting had no role to play). One (Utah) was meant to be 3-0 for the decade but ended up 2-1. All states were either one party only or had a single off-party Congressman.

Adding Senators and #1, #3, #4, #7 and debatedly #9 come off the list, leaving just five states with no party changes.

So be sceptical about claims of a lock-safe map.
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2012, 12:16:26 am »
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California having only one change is pretty amazing. And before the last election day, if you had said that 66 Democratic seats were going GOP, everyone would have assumed McNerney would have been one of them.
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nclib
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« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2012, 07:33:41 pm »
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Rhode Island?
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