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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | |-+  San Francisco Presidential Election History
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Author Topic: San Francisco Presidential Election History  (Read 344 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: September 20, 2014, 09:54:05 pm »
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2012:

83.5% Obama
13.0% Romney

2008:


84.2% Obama

13.7% McCain

2004:


83.0% Kerry
15.2% Bush

2000:

75.5% Gore
16.1% Bush
7.8% Nader

1996:


72.2% Clinton
15.7% Dole
7.4% Nader

1992:


72.4% Clinton
17.8% Bush
9.0% Perot

1988:

72.8% Dukakis
26.1% Bush

1984:

67.4% Mondale
31.4% Reagan

1980:

52.4% Carter
31.9% Reagan
9.4% Anderson

1976:

52.1% Carter

40.3% Ford

1972:

56.1% McGovern
41.8% Nixon

1968:


59.2% Humphrey
33.7% Nixon
5.8% Wallace

1964:


71.2% Johnson
28.7% Goldwater

1960:

57.8% Kennedy
41.8% Nixon

1956:


51.5% Eisenhower
48.0% Stevenson

1952:

52.9% Eisenhower
46.0% Stevenson

1948:


47.8% Truman
45.7% Dewey
6.1% Wallace

1944:


60.5% Roosevelt
38.9% Dewey

1940:

59.5% Roosevelt
39.3% Willkie

1936:


74.0% Roosevelt
24.7% Landon

1932:

64.6% Roosevelt
31.4% Hoover

1928:


49.4% Smith
49.1% Hoover

1924:

47.7% Coolidge
44.7% LaFollette
6.4% Davis

1920:

65.2% Harding
22.1% Cox
11.6% Debs

1916:


52.4% Wilson
42.3% Hughes

1912:


48.4% Wilson
38.2% Roosevelt
12.2% Debs

1908:

55.2% Taft
35.4% Bryan
7.5% Debs

1904:

60.9% Roosevelt
27.6% Parker
11.1% Debs

1900:

>50% McKinley

1896:


49.2% McKinley
48.6% Bryan

1892:

53.1% Cleveland
41.8% Harrison

1888:

>50% Cleveland

1884:

>50% Blaine

1880:

>50% Hancock

1876:

>50% Hayes

1872:


>50% Grant

1868:


>50% Seymour

1864:

>60% Lincoln


1860:

>30% Lincoln

1856:

>40% Buchanan

1852:

>50% Pierce
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2014 Senate Prediction
2014 Governor Predictions

Endorsements:

WI-1: Paul Ryan
Gov/Lt. Gov: Scott Walker/Rebecca Kleefisch
AG: Tom Nelson
SoS: None
Treasurer: Matt Adamczyk
Ballot Measure: No
mollybecky
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2014, 10:37:00 pm »
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Interesting that relative to 1976, the Republicans had a substantial percentage drop in 1980--especially because the vote in California went from +2R to +17R and of course, it was a national landslide for Reagan.

What happened in those four years to trigger the eventual domination of Democrats?  Was it a combination of liberals moving in/conservatives moving out?  Any relation to the assassination of George Moscone/Harvey Milk in 1978 and the elevation of Dianne Feinstein as mayor?

How did Reagan perform in San Francisco in the 1966 and 1970 gubernatorial elections?
« Last Edit: September 20, 2014, 10:45:15 pm by mollybecky »Logged
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2014, 10:52:21 pm »
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Interesting that relative to 1976, the Republicans had a substantial percentage drop in 1980--especially because the vote in California went from +2R to +17R and of course, it was a national landslide for Reagan.

What happened in those four years to trigger the eventual domination of Democrats?  Was it a combination of liberals moving in/conservatives moving out?  Any relation to the assassination of George Moscone/Harvey Milk in 1978 and the elevation of Dianne Feinstein as mayor?

How did Reagan perform in San Francisco in the 1966 and 1970 gubernatorial elections?

1966:

Brown: 58.9%
Reagan: 41.1%

1970:

Unruh: 55.4%

Reagan: 42.0%

^^ I don't think this really starts a pattern. I think more than anything, there was a strong anti-war movement in the late 60's/early 70's there, and the Baby Boom grew up much differently and with a much different perspective of the world than their parents (obviously this is true everywhere, but emphasized for SF). McGovern campaigned on an immediate withdrawl of US troops from Vietnam, and he won by 15 points despite Nixon winning by 23 (that's D+38!). People were probably not enthusiastic about Carter because he was a southern democrat, but ever since then, its been a hotbed for left wing politics.
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2014 Senate Prediction
2014 Governor Predictions

Endorsements:

WI-1: Paul Ryan
Gov/Lt. Gov: Scott Walker/Rebecca Kleefisch
AG: Tom Nelson
SoS: None
Treasurer: Matt Adamczyk
Ballot Measure: No
Antonio V
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« Reply #3 on: Today at 03:12:40 am »
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That's quite interesting, but didn't you know that all this data is conveniently accessible on Atlas? Tongue
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Quote from: IRC
22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: Today at 05:17:05 am »
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Ford actually won the bay area.
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CapoteMonster
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E: 1.23, S: -6.61

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« Reply #5 on: Today at 11:37:22 am »
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Interesting that relative to 1976, the Republicans had a substantial percentage drop in 1980--especially because the vote in California went from +2R to +17R and of course, it was a national landslide for Reagan.

What happened in those four years to trigger the eventual domination of Democrats?  Was it a combination of liberals moving in/conservatives moving out?  Any relation to the assassination of George Moscone/Harvey Milk in 1978 and the elevation of Dianne Feinstein as mayor?

How did Reagan perform in San Francisco in the 1966 and 1970 gubernatorial elections?


1966:

Brown: 58.9%
Reagan: 41.1%

1970:

Unruh: 55.4%

Reagan: 42.0%

^^ I don't think this really starts a pattern. I think more than anything, there was a strong anti-war movement in the late 60's/early 70's there, and the Baby Boom grew up much differently and with a much different perspective of the world than their parents (obviously this is true everywhere, but emphasized for SF). McGovern campaigned on an immediate withdrawl of US troops from Vietnam, and he won by 15 points despite Nixon winning by 23 (that's D+38!). People were probably not enthusiastic about Carter because he was a southern democrat, but ever since then, its been a hotbed for left wing politics.

I think the Bay Area was more scared by Carter's religious talk more so than him being from the south. Similar reason why Reagan did worse just 4 years later, his conservative coalition was and still is the minority in the Bay Area. Republicans took winning in CA for granted and neglecting Bay Area interests has come full-circle to completely doom their chances.
« Last Edit: Today at 11:54:06 am by CapoteMonster »Logged

I'm surrounded by people who I'm scared will be voting in a few years.
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: Today at 01:34:16 pm »
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That's quite interesting, but didn't you know that all this data is conveniently accessible on Atlas? Tongue

Quote
Data out of range for non-members

Not everybody has access to it Tongue
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2014 Senate Prediction
2014 Governor Predictions

Endorsements:

WI-1: Paul Ryan
Gov/Lt. Gov: Scott Walker/Rebecca Kleefisch
AG: Tom Nelson
SoS: None
Treasurer: Matt Adamczyk
Ballot Measure: No
Antonio V
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Posts: 30938
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #7 on: Today at 02:02:37 pm »
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That's quite interesting, but didn't you know that all this data is conveniently accessible on Atlas? Tongue

Quote
Data out of range for non-members

Not everybody has access to it Tongue

Oops sorry. Tongue I've spent so many years with premium membership that I forgot what it's like not to have it. Wink
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Quote from: IRC
22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
MormDem
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« Reply #8 on: Today at 10:39:48 pm »
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Carter didn't campaign in the West to much, and frankly The South with it's reputation didn't look too good to a place like SF. Not to mention Ford was somewhat moderate and sane, so the choice was stock conservative against conservative-but-un-Watergate-y.
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