democrats: who is your 2016 "hit list" in the senate?

[Brittain33]

Paul, Johnson, Kirk, and Toomey are all theoretically vulnerable - Paul because he's ridiculous, Johnson is too conservative for a swing state, Kirk is an R in Illinois, and Toomey is potentially vulnerable but we will see. I don't see Ayotte losing, R women in New England are very difficult to dislodge. I don't see how Rubio loses because it's not as if there's a single Dem A-lister in the state to do it.

Blunt and Portman both seem unlikely to lose but we've had unlikely R losses in both states before. I would rate it as 10% chance as of now.

[Brittain33]

Ayotte (not the next Snowe/Collins)

She's certainly too party-line Republican to be Snowe or Collins, but that suits NH.

[Brittain33]

he will voluntarily leave to follow in his loser father's footsteps as a failed Presidential candidate.

You think he'd challenge President Santorum in a primary?

[Brittain33]

Reid would need to pull the same trick of destroying all viable R candidates before they make it to the primary to survive. His win in 2010 was Angle's catastrophic failure.