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Author Topic: CNN/ORC National: Obama up 11 on Romney, up 13 on Santorum  (Read 795 times)
ajb
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« on: March 28, 2012, 03:42:43 pm »
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Obama 54 Romney 43
Obama 55 Santorum 42

Obama's favorables: 56-42
Romney's favorables: 37-49
Obama's approval rating: 51-45



http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/03/28/cnn-poll-obama-leads-romney-and-santorum-in-november-showdowns/
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Governor Scott
Scott
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« Reply #1 on: March 28, 2012, 03:43:57 pm »
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no :/
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Nagas
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« Reply #2 on: March 28, 2012, 03:50:47 pm »
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Useless poll.
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My Timeline: Paradigm Shift

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ajb
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« Reply #3 on: March 28, 2012, 03:58:38 pm »
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Quote from: Nagas on March 28, 2012, 03:50:47 pm
Useless poll.
Just average it in with the rest. Obama's best polls currently show him up by 10-12 points on Romney; Romney's best polls show him 1-2 ahead of Obama. Average them, and you're probably closer to the truth, though of course we'll never know for sure.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: March 28, 2012, 04:26:34 pm »
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Quote from: Senator Scott on March 28, 2012, 03:43:57 pm
no :/
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Nagas
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« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2012, 05:18:30 pm »
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Quote from: ajb on March 28, 2012, 03:58:38 pm
Quote from: Nagas on March 28, 2012, 03:50:47 pm
Useless poll.
Just average it in with the rest. Obama's best polls currently show him up by 10-12 points on Romney; Romney's best polls show him 1-2 ahead of Obama. Average them, and you're probably closer to the truth, though of course we'll never know for sure.

Any and all national polls are useless.

Did you know that in a strictly two man race, we could have a winner that carried ~270 electoral votes yet only ~25% of the popular vote (winning his states with 50%+1 while carrying zero in all others). While that would never occur, it demonstrates the fallacy of national polling.
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20RP12
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2012, 05:26:10 pm »
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Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on March 28, 2012, 04:26:34 pm
Quote from: Senator Scott on March 28, 2012, 03:43:57 pm
no :/
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argentarius
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« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2012, 05:30:28 pm »
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Quote from: Nagas on March 29, 2012, 05:18:30 pm
Quote from: ajb on March 28, 2012, 03:58:38 pm
Quote from: Nagas on March 28, 2012, 03:50:47 pm
Useless poll.
Just average it in with the rest. Obama's best polls currently show him up by 10-12 points on Romney; Romney's best polls show him 1-2 ahead of Obama. Average them, and you're probably closer to the truth, though of course we'll never know for sure.

Any and all national polls are useless.

Did you know that in a strictly two man race, we could have a winner that carried ~270 electoral votes yet only ~25% of the popular vote (winning his states with 50%+1 while carrying zero in all others). While that would never occur, it demonstrates the fallacy of national polling.


Less, actually, if the guy who got the vast majority won all the states like California, Texas and NY.

But I think national polls are generally a good indicator of how the states will vote.
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Governor Scott
Scott
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« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2012, 06:47:45 pm »
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Quote from: Nagas on March 29, 2012, 05:18:30 pm
Quote from: ajb on March 28, 2012, 03:58:38 pm
Quote from: Nagas on March 28, 2012, 03:50:47 pm
Useless poll.
Just average it in with the rest. Obama's best polls currently show him up by 10-12 points on Romney; Romney's best polls show him 1-2 ahead of Obama. Average them, and you're probably closer to the truth, though of course we'll never know for sure.

Any and all national polls are useless.

Did you know that in a strictly two man race, we could have a winner that carried ~270 electoral votes yet only ~25% of the popular vote (winning his states with 50%+1 while carrying zero in all others). While that would never occur, it demonstrates the fallacy of national polling.



And the electoral college system in general.
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I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head
morgieb
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« Reply #9 on: March 29, 2012, 08:38:59 pm »
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Jesus.

Deffo an outlier though.
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2012, 02:00:39 pm »
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I shall concur with the Majority!

No way this is accurate.
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OC
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« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2012, 02:33:31 pm »
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Before conventions, polling tend to be more liberal, and after conventions they tend to be more conservative. It will be a close race regardless of what the polls are justifying now.
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King
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« Reply #12 on: April 01, 2012, 10:17:02 pm »
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Quote from: OC on March 31, 2012, 02:33:31 pm
Before conventions, polling tend to be more liberal, and after conventions they tend to be more conservative.

So, polling behaves the opposite of Mitt Romney?  Interesting...
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InsaneTrollLogic
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« Reply #13 on: April 04, 2012, 01:10:45 pm »
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This would be an interesting and possible outcome. Though it is a bit of wishful thinking.


Obama 55
Romney 44
Other 1



When you think about it, there's some many redneck states that unless Obama pushes 57, there isn't much change in the EVs.

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memphis
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« Reply #14 on: April 04, 2012, 01:15:53 pm »
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Quote from: Southern Fried KY on April 04, 2012, 01:10:45 pm
This would be an interesting and possible outcome. Though it is a bit of wishful thinking.


Obama 55
Romney 44
Other 1



When you think about it, there's some many redneck states that unless Obama pushes 57, there isn't much change in the EVs.


Why would IN flip back when Obama wins a greater PV than in 2008?
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