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Poll
Question: Is a serious primary challenge to President Mitt Romney at all probable in 2016?
Yes   -22 (51.2%)
No   -13 (30.2%)
Ron Paul   -8 (18.6%)
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Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: Would President Romney need to worry about a primary challenge in 2016?  (Read 808 times)
Erc
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« on: March 29, 2012, 11:44:54 am »
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In the event Mitt Romney actually wins the election in November...

Does he have to worry about a serious primary challenger (i.e. someone who could win at least one primary, and whose last name isn't Paul) come his re-election bid?

More to the point, does this inform the way he governs?  Does he tack slightly harder to the right as President than he might want to?  Does this rule out any Nixon-in-China style stuff until his second term?

And, while we're at it, who could be a credible primary challenger in 2016?
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2012, 12:12:07 pm »
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Yes, because he'd be the most alienating President in history.
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2012, 02:20:37 pm »
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Rand would go for it.
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2012, 02:54:18 pm »
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I think there's a good chance he opts out of a losing re-election battle and lets a stronger challenger take on Cuomo.
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2012, 02:55:29 pm »
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Quote from: Progressive Candidate of the Day: Matt Cartwright on March 29, 2012, 02:20:37 pm
Rand would go for it.

^^^^
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Quote from: Marnetmar on May 13, 2013, 02:14:01 pm
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2012, 04:17:18 pm »
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Quote from: Ray Goldfield on March 29, 2012, 02:54:18 pm
I think there's a good chance he opts out of a losing re-election battle and lets a stronger challenger take on Cuomo.


I hope I won't have to choose between two Republicans in the first election I can vote in...
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
LINCOLN REPUBLICAN
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2012, 06:41:49 pm »
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Of course not.
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« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2012, 06:53:25 pm »
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Era of serious primary challenges to incumbents may be over but Romney, nominated more unenthusiastically than anyone in memory, would test that theory.  Still, HW broke a "no new taxes" pledge and had a flagging economy and approvals in the 30s and still wasn't seriously challenged.
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2012, 06:59:17 pm »
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Ron Paul...or should I say, Rand Paul. I think Rand would primary Romney if he did not go after the FED, etc.
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Senator Kalwejt
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« Reply #9 on: March 29, 2012, 07:03:02 pm »
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President Romney?

President Romney running for reelection?

Please, it's just like discussing the Duke of Edinburg being appointed Prime Minister.
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« Reply #10 on: March 29, 2012, 07:35:35 pm »
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Quote from: Plantagenet Palliser on March 29, 2012, 07:03:02 pm
President Romney?

President Romney running for reelection?

Please, it's just like discussing the Duke of Edinburg being appointed Prime Minister.

It's a hypothetical Tongue
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Quote from: Marnetmar on May 13, 2013, 02:14:01 pm
Better blowjobs than no jobs.

Quote from: t_host1 on May 15, 2013, 12:42:14 pm
Obama is the yeast in the brew that is currently fermenting the toxic, gases pond scum that has taken over the governance of His’ Federal rule.
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« Reply #11 on: March 29, 2012, 08:27:22 pm »
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Not a really major threat. Paul might but he can probably swat him aside reasonably effectively.
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Senator Kalwejt
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« Reply #12 on: March 29, 2012, 08:48:15 pm »
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If we're really discussing this, remember three key things:

1. Ron Paul will be 81 in 2016
2. Rand Paul's Senate seat is up for re-election
3. If Rand is running for reelection, I doubt Ron would pull something like this
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #13 on: March 29, 2012, 09:42:12 pm »
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Depends on the sort of presidency he has.  If he does anything to convince the people who refuse to vote for him in the primaries now, that they were right to not vote for him, then yes.  I don't see being able to totally avoid the problem.  He will have to run a primary campaign in 2016.  Unless he really crosses the base, he'll have an easier time of it than he did this time, but there will be an opponent who gets enough delegates under this year's rules to have their name placed before the convention.  (The establishment may change the rules between now and 2016 if Romney is running for reelection.)
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« Reply #14 on: March 29, 2012, 09:47:36 pm »
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Quote from: Ray Goldfield on March 29, 2012, 02:54:18 pm
I think there's a good chance he opts out of a losing re-election battle and lets a stronger challenger take on Cuomo.

that would be bad if he had to do that...If hypothetical president romney isnt strong enough, no republican will be...
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #15 on: March 30, 2012, 06:39:05 pm »
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Quote from: Klecly on March 29, 2012, 09:47:36 pm
Quote from: Ray Goldfield on March 29, 2012, 02:54:18 pm
I think there's a good chance he opts out of a losing re-election battle and lets a stronger challenger take on Cuomo.

that would be bad if he had to do that...If hypothetical president romney isnt strong enough, no republican will be...

Not necessarily. Reagan would have probably sent Carter back to Georgia. Kennedy might have gotten to 200 electoral votes against Reagan.
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ag
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« Reply #16 on: March 30, 2012, 06:51:12 pm »
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No, of course not. I mean, there might be a primary challenge, but he wouldn't have to worry about it Smiley)
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Comrade Shmoo
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« Reply #17 on: March 31, 2012, 01:03:02 pm »
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I don't think anyone would really be stupid enough to divide the party like that.
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Quote from: Grumpss on October 22, 2012, 12:05:53 pm
[Alfred] is Jesus.

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I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

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« Reply #18 on: March 31, 2012, 02:06:02 pm »
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Yeah, sorta like that Raygun fella.
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Comrade Shmoo
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« Reply #19 on: March 31, 2012, 02:25:31 pm »
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Quote from: Ben Kenobi on March 31, 2012, 02:06:02 pm
Yeah, sorta like that Raygun fella.
Yep. The Republicans did really well in that election, didn't they?
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Quote from: Grumpss on October 22, 2012, 12:05:53 pm
[Alfred] is Jesus.

Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 01, 2012, 06:47:37 pm
I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

Quote from: Torie on May 08, 2013, 07:02:43 pm
Most of the forumites ... have the potential to make good bed companions
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« Reply #20 on: March 31, 2012, 05:05:52 pm »
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Yep. The Republicans did really well in that election, didn't they?

Didn't Watergate destroy them for a generation?
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