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Author Topic: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here  (Read 1406 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: April 01, 2012, 12:39:45 am »
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WI:

44% Romney
35% Santorum
12% Paul
  8% Gingrich
  1% Others

MD:

53% Romney
28% Santorum
10% Gingrich
  8% Paul
  1% Others

DC:

77% Romney
14% Paul
  8% Gingrich
  1% Huntsman
« Last Edit: April 02, 2012, 12:15:12 am by Tender Branson »Logged
NE Rep. Griffin
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« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2012, 02:12:39 am »
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WI:

45% Romney
35% Santorum
11% Paul
6%   Gingrich

MD:

52% Romney
30% Santorum
9%   Paul
7%   Gingrich

DC:

81% Romney
12% Paul
6%   Gingrich
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jmc247
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« Reply #2 on: April 01, 2012, 02:26:51 am »
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WI:

53% Romney
32% Santorum
9% Paul
6%   Gingrich

MD:

55% Romney
30% Santorum
8%   Paul
7%   Gingrich

DC:

85% Romney
10% Paul
5%   Gingrich
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #3 on: April 01, 2012, 12:27:53 pm »
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DC:

Romney - 74%
Paul - 16%
Gingrich - 9%
Huntsman - 1%

Maryland:

Romney - 50%
Santorum - 32%
Paul - 9%
Gingrich - 8%
Other - 1%

And I made a county map prediction:



(Edit: probably could flip Frederick and Carroll now)

Wisconsin:

Romney - 45%
Santorum - 37%
Paul - 10%
Gingrich - 7%
Other - 1%
« Last Edit: April 02, 2012, 06:48:35 am by JohnnyLongtorso »Logged
incredibly specific types of post-punk music
BRTD
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« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2012, 12:29:12 pm »
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I'll be doing county maps later.
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I don't know, I think the beat-back that happened in the wake of the Inks-Deluge debacle (and the descent of Leip to address it) means that the Mods don't have the standing right now to pull off a ban of a big-name poster.  this place would absolutely erupt, at least for opebo.  jmf maybe a bit less so, but still an outcry.  doesn't mean it could not happen at a future point.
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« Reply #5 on: April 01, 2012, 01:39:08 pm »
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D.C.:
Romney - 62%
Paul - 28%
Gingrich - 10%

Maryland:
Romney - 51%
Santorum - 30%
Paul - 10%
Gingrich - 9%

Wisconsin:
Romney - 48%
Santorum - 40%
Gingrich - 6%
Paul - 6%
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Upset: Hogan wins in Maryland
Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff
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« Reply #6 on: April 01, 2012, 02:13:25 pm »
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DC    Cheesy

MD    Cheesy

WI    Cheesy
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #7 on: April 01, 2012, 05:23:15 pm »
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Wisconsin:
47% Romney
35% Santorum
10% Paul
7% Gingrich

Maryland:
48% Romney
36% Santorum
10% Paul
6% Gingrich

DC:
75% Romney
15% Paul
7% Gingrich
2% Huntsman
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Rowan
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« Reply #8 on: April 01, 2012, 05:39:03 pm »
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No numbers. Just bloodbath all around.
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shua
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« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2012, 06:28:32 pm »
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WI

41% Romney
36% Santorum
14% Paul
  8% Gingrich

MD

48% Romney
28% Santorum
12% Paul
11% Gingrich

DC

68% Romney
16% Paul
14% Gingrich
  2% Huntsman
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #10 on: April 01, 2012, 07:07:43 pm »
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Romney
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: April 01, 2012, 07:10:20 pm »
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No numbers. Just bloodbath all around.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
I'm JewCon in name only.
Klecly
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« Reply #12 on: April 01, 2012, 07:16:00 pm »
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Wisconsin: Mitt by 12
Maryland: Mitt by 15
D.C.: Mitt by 48
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Frodo
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« Reply #13 on: April 01, 2012, 08:45:36 pm »
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If Romney makes a sweep of all three states -including Wisconsin- this should become the Rick Santorum campaign's official anthem.  Tongue
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J. J.
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« Reply #14 on: April 01, 2012, 09:37:29 pm »
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If Romney makes a sweep of all three states -including Wisconsin- this should become the Rick Santorum campaign's official anthem.  Tongue

Now that really isn't fair.  If Santorum loses all three, especially this should be his official campaign anthem.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
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The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Snowstalker
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« Reply #15 on: April 01, 2012, 09:41:54 pm »
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No numbers. Just bloodbath all around.

Of course. Ron Paul will win all 3 of these.
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J. J.
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« Reply #16 on: April 01, 2012, 09:55:16 pm »
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WI, Romney by 5 point.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Smash255
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« Reply #17 on: April 01, 2012, 10:13:48 pm »
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Romney by 10 in WI, 22 in MD and 50 in D.C (Paul 2nd)

Romney takes 6 of the 8 CD's in WI (Santorum taking the 3rd and 7th), Romney narrowly takes the 6th.

Romney takes everything in Maryland with the exception of the 1st.
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incredibly specific types of post-punk music
BRTD
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« Reply #18 on: April 01, 2012, 10:26:50 pm »
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Maryland


Romney 50
Santorum 28
Gingrich 11
Paul 11

Wisconsin


Romney 42
Santorum 36
Paul 15
Gingrich 7

DC
Romney 75
Paul 15
Gingrich 10
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I don't know, I think the beat-back that happened in the wake of the Inks-Deluge debacle (and the descent of Leip to address it) means that the Mods don't have the standing right now to pull off a ban of a big-name poster.  this place would absolutely erupt, at least for opebo.  jmf maybe a bit less so, but still an outcry.  doesn't mean it could not happen at a future point.
Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: April 02, 2012, 03:02:21 am »
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Don't even care enough to give full predictions anymore. Romney's gonna win everything.
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #20 on: April 02, 2012, 03:11:42 pm »
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Will WI be the only state where, relative to the 2008 general, most Obama counties are Santorum counties and most McCain counties are Romney counties?
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Snowstalker
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« Reply #21 on: April 02, 2012, 03:15:12 pm »
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Will WI be the only state where, relative to the 2008 general, most Obama counties are Santorum counties and most McCain counties are Romney counties?

Romney will do a bit better in SW WI (it's closer to the areas of Iowa he won) than the map shows, while Santorum will do better in Northern Wisconsin (the iron areas that voted heavily D but trended R in 2008). The MD map looks about right, though Baltimore County might be Romney >40%.

As for DC, Romney will win by a lot, but I actually wouldn't count out Ron Paul getting about 30%--remember that in the 2-way race, he won several cities, including Norfolk.
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shua
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« Reply #22 on: April 02, 2012, 04:37:03 pm »
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Will WI be the only state where, relative to the 2008 general, most Obama counties are Santorum counties and most McCain counties are Romney counties?

Romney will do a bit better in SW WI (it's closer to the areas of Iowa he won) than the map shows, while Santorum will do better in Northern Wisconsin (the iron areas that voted heavily D but trended R in 2008). The MD map looks about right, though Baltimore County might be Romney >40%.

As for DC, Romney will win by a lot, but I actually wouldn't count out Ron Paul getting about 30%--remember that in the 2-way race, he won several cities, including Norfolk.
Possible he'll do quite well, but Virginia was an open primary, and Gingrich is on the ballot to split the non-Romney vote in DC too.
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Chris B
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« Reply #23 on: April 02, 2012, 04:58:05 pm »
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Not going to bother with numbers; but what I'm guessing:

- Romney beats Santorum in WI by 4-5 points, with Paul and Gingrich falling into third and fourth place respectively.

- Romney breaks 50% in MD

- Romney just falls short of 70% in DC.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #24 on: April 03, 2012, 02:15:55 am »
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WI:
Romney - 44%
Santorum - 36%
Paul - 11%
Gingrich - 8%
Others - 1%

MD:
Romney - 52%
Santorum - 28%
Gingrich - 11%
Paul - 8%
Others - 1%

DC:
Romney - 71%
Paul - 16%
Gingrich - 12%
Huntsman - 1%
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