2000 pre-election polls

[Tender Branson]

If anyone wants to go back 12 years in time and have a look at all the polls from each state (Presidential, Senate, House) - this is really a great site:

http://www3.nationaljournal.com/members/polltrack/2000/races

Enjoy !

[MilesC56]

Great find.

[Tender Branson]

I'm creating 2 maps, using Mason-Dixon first (they polled many states) and then using an average of the last polls in each state.

The map will be "toss-up" (Bush+4 to Gore+4), "lean" (Bush/Gore by 4-10%, and "strong" (Bush/Gore by 10% or more).

Or should I use Bush/Gore by up to 3 for "tossup" or Bush/Gore by up to 5 ?

[Tender Branson]

Probably stick with Dave's model:

0-2% tossup
2-5% slight
5-10% lean
10%+ strong

[Tender Branson]

This is what I got when averaging the last polls in each state before the 2000 election:



Oregon was actually "slight Bush".

[Tender Branson]

These are the final Mason-Dixon polls of 2000 (all conducted in late October):

[MilesC56]

Mason-Dixon had DE as slight Bush!?

[Tender Branson]

Mason-Dixon had DE as slight Bush!?

Yepp. Outlier, probably.

[Sasquatch]

http://www.pollingreport.com/2000.htm

Polling Report still has just about every 2000 head-to-head poll still up. If you dig around you can see that Gore was beating McCain in the early 2000. Was it based solely on name recognition? Probably.

[Pacific Councillor LiberalJunkie]

All the American Research Group Polls lots from early to mid September so it's kind of a weird map.