Clinton v. Gingrich 1996
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  Clinton v. Gingrich 1996		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Bill Clinton/Al Gore v. Newt Gingrich/Bob Dole, who you vote for, who wins?
#1
Clinton/Clinton		  
#2
Clinton/Gingrich		  
#3
Gingrich/Gingrich		  
#4
Gingrich/Clinton		  
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Total Voters: 22

Author Topic: Clinton v. Gingrich 1996  (Read 1827 times)
Akno21
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« on: January 12, 2005, 06:29:20 PM »
Maps?
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True Democrat
true democrat
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« Reply #1 on: January 12, 2005, 06:34:26 PM »
Clinton/Clinton
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #2 on: January 12, 2005, 06:34:52 PM »
Here's a map:



Clinton wins 392-146. Gingrich gains Kentucky but loses Colorado and Virginia.
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: January 12, 2005, 06:37:01 PM »
Quote from: Bob on January 12, 2005, 06:34:52 PM
Here's a map:



Clinton wins 392-146. Gingrich gains Kentucky but loses Colorado and Virginia.

If this is 1996, I think Clinton would have a small chance of winning Montana if Perot still ran.  Perot would get around 10%, instead of the 8.4% he actually got.
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A18
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« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2005, 06:39:12 PM »
Why in the world would he lose Virginia and Colorado?
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #5 on: January 12, 2005, 06:43:45 PM »
Philip, your map is quite optimistic for Gingrich;) Clinton would carry Virginia and Colorado because Gingrich would alienate moderate suburbanites in those states. Clinton would carry Fairfax, and do a lot better in NoVa overall.
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A18
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« Reply #6 on: January 12, 2005, 06:46:02 PM »
I think Gingrich would have done just a couple of points better than Dole.

Why would Gingrich alienate moderate suburbanites? He's not really an extremist from what I can tell.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #7 on: January 12, 2005, 07:10:12 PM »
i would have voted for gingrich.  but of course clinton would have won in a landslide.
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A18
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« Reply #8 on: January 12, 2005, 07:12:10 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 12, 2005, 07:10:12 PM
i would have voted for gingrich.  but of course clinton would have won in a landslide.

LOL. Why would Gingrich do so much worse than Dole?
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phk
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« Reply #9 on: January 12, 2005, 08:57:07 PM »
Because Dole is a better candidate.
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A18
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« Reply #10 on: January 12, 2005, 09:19:45 PM »
Nice job repeating another person's statement in a different way. Now maybe you could answer my question.
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #11 on: January 12, 2005, 09:42:59 PM »
Quote from: Philip on January 12, 2005, 06:46:02 PM
I think Gingrich would have done just a couple of points better than Dole.

Why would Gingrich alienate moderate suburbanites? He's not really an extremist from what I can tell.

Moderate suburbanites voted for Clinton in '96 based largely on dislike for the right-wing Republican leadership in Congress. At that time, Gingrich had some of the lowest national approval ratings in the country. I actually think my map was being generous to Newt.
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: January 12, 2005, 09:46:38 PM »


Clinton 376
Gingrich 162

After accidentally typing "Gingrich" as "Gingrinch," I realized that Newt must have gotten his butt kicked quite frequently.
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Peter
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« Reply #13 on: January 12, 2005, 09:52:23 PM »
Those aren't the old EC numbers Alcon.
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Alcon
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« Reply #14 on: January 12, 2005, 09:53:33 PM »

...Yeah. Oh well.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #15 on: January 12, 2005, 10:17:57 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on January 12, 2005, 09:46:38 PM

Clinton 376
Gingrich 162

After accidentally typing "Gingrich" as "Gingrinch," I realized that Newt must have gotten his butt kicked quite frequently.

His name is Newt.  Of course his ass was repeatedly kicked.

But, in 1996, he would have done better than most of you are giving him credit for.  He would have lost in all liklihood, but he did have some moral highground still in '96 and was very powerful.  He likely would have done a bit better than Dole and kept Virginia while possibly (but not definiately) picking up KY, AZ and NV.  With a VP from FL he might even pick up those 25 EVs.  That would probably be the best he could do unless Perot dropped out and Newt made a strong appeal to former Perot voters.

Oh, Newt would have definitely won WV.  ALmost forgot that.



(Ok, so he wouldn't I just wanted to give Al some conniption fits when he read that.)
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