April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Santorum is winning Dane County. LOLOLOLOLOLOL

[Keystone Phil]

So, J.J., he cites a Hessian loss to appeal to those with Hessian ancestry? I refuse to take you seriously anymore. I think you sit at your computer and laugh hysterically as you type this.

And this PA theme was related to the damn Revolutionary War! He still has a national audience, you know. Ever think that's why he's running with that underdog theme?

No, he doesn't have a national audience; that is the problem.  If he really did, he would have been on his mission to Mars.  

Oh, he doesn't. Ok. CNN must have been televising someone that looks and sounds an awful lot like him...

[J. J.]

Any news on the CD's in WI?  

Mittens has swept them in MD, actually increasing his percentage in his worst one.

[J. J.]

So, J.J., he cites a Hessian loss to appeal to those with Hessian ancestry? I refuse to take you seriously anymore. I think you sit at your computer and laugh hysterically as you type this.

And this PA theme was related to the damn Revolutionary War! He still has a national audience, you know. Ever think that's why he's running with that underdog theme?

No, he doesn't have a national audience; that is the problem.  If he really did, he would have been on his mission to Mars.  

Oh, he doesn't. Ok. CNN must have been televising someone that looks and sounds an awful lot like him...

The nation is not his audience.  PA is.

[Torie]

[ag]

Though this is not going to matter at all this time, what's the hell, once again, going in Waukesha. The state has reported 64% of the precincts. Waukesah has reported 5% of the precincts, around 1,500 votes. This is pathetic. I guess, that incompetent woman, whatshername, is still running the show?

It's not going to matter this time. But very soon we are going to see the contested recall vote. Judging by what's going on now, for much of the evening the Dem is going to lead - only to have that lead overturned by Waukesha late in the night. And, given the past form, it is not unlikely there will be mistakes to correct. Even assuming that there are no deliberate shennanigans - of which, probably, there will be none, in fact - this will give rise to serious conspiracy theories. Why is that woman still there (if she is)?

[ag]

how is the CD 6 doing?

[TJ in Oregon]

Rick seems to be winning WI-8 pretty handily and that was not one of the two CDs he was supposed to win.

So it would seem. Using the Huckabee vote as a proxy just didn't work for WI-08.

Meanwhile the Dems were busy in Madison - but probably not busy enough to tip WI-02 to Rick. Dem troublemakers seem not to be much in evidence elsewhere in the CD.

Oddly enough, as you guys were arguing over whether or not the rural areas would be enough to swing WI-2 to Santorum, it seems the rural areas will be swinging it to Romney

[cinyc]

Any news on the CD's in WI?  

Mittens has swept them in MD, actually increasing his percentage in his worst one.

Per the AP, Romney leads in WI-01, WI-04, WI-05 and WI-06.  Santorum leads in the other four CDs, WI-02 just barely.

[Torie]

how is the CD 6 doing?

It is not in real play for one rather decisive reason:

[muon2]

how is the CD 6 doing?

Romney's lead in Ozaukee is huge, Santorum has small leads where he is winning.

[TJ in Oregon]

It looks like Romney wins WI-1, WI-4, WI-5, and WI-6 comfortably, Santorum wins WI-3, WI-7, and WI-8 comfortably, and WI-2 is probably won by Romney but close enough that there is some chance still it isn't.

[ag]

how is the CD 6 doing?

It is not in real play for one rather decisive reason:

Oops! Missed that salient

[Torie]

Rick seems to be winning WI-8 pretty handily and that was not one of the two CDs he was supposed to win.

So it would seem. Using the Huckabee vote as a proxy just didn't work for WI-08.

Meanwhile the Dems were busy in Madison - but probably not busy enough to tip WI-02 to Rick. Dem troublemakers seem not to be much in evidence elsewhere in the CD.

Oddly enough, as you guys were arguing over whether or not the rural areas would be enough to swing WI-2 to Santorum, it seems the rural areas will be swinging it to Romney

... Absent Dem mischief, and Madison was mischief central, bless them. They know when and where to kick the Pubs in the nuts, and do it every chance they can. I kind of admire them.   I mean, the turnout in Dane in a Pub primary is just ridiculously large - or so it would appear. Cinyc can set me straight if I am winging it here.

[J. J.]

Mittens margin above Rick jumped by 67 at least, without taking into account the RNC members.

The rest of the month, the only potential gains are MO, PA and DE.  Both PA and MO are questionable, even with a beauty contest win.

[Torie]

Mittens margin above Rick jumped by 67 at least, without taking into account the RNC members.

The rest of the month, the only potential gains are MO, PA and DE.  Both PA and MO are questionable, even with a beauty contest win.

Well, Rick's campaign spokesman said if Rick wins PA (with delegates following the popular vote) and TX, he will secure the nomination. So who are we to question that? Does TX have about 350 delegates at stake, and is the Sean Trende Mittens 45 number BS?  If so, suddenly the math might work - if everything else between now and the end "works" too for Rick.

[ag]

I wonder, what proportion of the R primary voters in Dane were Dems? I wouldn't be shocked if they were plurality.

[Sam Spade]

yawn

[Keystone Phil]

yawn

You tried to tell us, Sam! You really did!

[Alcon]

yawn

Do you always not get of work until 70% of the results are in, or something?

[Sam Spade]

yawn

Do you always not get of work until 70% of the results are in, or something?

Huh? 

Got out of work actually a bit early today, but wasn't going to spend my time watching three primaries where the result in two was certain and the third was very likely, and besides the race is already over and has been for quite a while now.  Since Florida, actually.

[Sam Spade]

yawn

You tried to tell us, Sam! You really did!

Quick on the trigger tonight, aren't we?

[Keystone Phil]

yawn

You tried to tell us, Sam! You really did!

Quick on the trigger tonight, aren't we?

But never as quick as you, Sam.

[Torie]

yawn

You tried to tell us, Sam! You really did!

Quick on the trigger tonight, aren't we?

Of more import, is that I was off in my projection for Mittens delegates tonight by 3 delegates, or maybe even 6, and I was just so confident. That sucks.

[Sam Spade]

yawn

You tried to tell us, Sam! You really did!

Quick on the trigger tonight, aren't we?

But never as quick as you, Sam.

I never said I was quick.  I just know which way to point the gun.