April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread

[ag]

w. 2% reporting it's an exact tie at 3,527 votes ) The rare moment of competitiveness this night - in a minute, one would believe, Romney gets ahead for the rest of it.

Actually, Santorum manages to get a ahead by about 30 votes at 3%.

[Governor Scott]

Um... does Rick think he's running for Senate again?

[ag]

Romney's ahead for the first time in the night - where he, presumably, will stay. 7,034 votes for R vs. 6,836 for S.

[LINCOLN REPUBLICAN]

The Wisconsin exit poll has Santorum winning Democrats who voted in the GOP primary

Well, the reason for that is obvious.

[redcommander]

The Wisconsin exit poll has Santorum winning Democrats who voted in the GOP primary

Well, the reason for that is obvious.

Operation Chaos 2.0

[LINCOLN REPUBLICAN]

Santorum speech tonight:

You know me.

Yes, and that is the problem.

[RogueBeaver]

Santorum comparing himself to Reagan. What a joke.

[RogueBeaver]

Looks like Romney's margin is coming from the southeast- for that, among other things, Ryan should be the first person Romney thanks in his victory speech.

[ag]

The gap, which was getting big, is suddenly down to only 71 votes! It's Green Bay again - Santorum is really beating Romney there. Could we be in for some surprises as far as the CD delegate allocation is concerned?

Update: it's only 18 votes now!

[Wiz from Wis in Mass]

Anyone else find it odd that Santorum referred to Hessians in his speech... Really... Hessians?

[Torie]

Well the CNN exit poll has Mittens up over Santorum by about 7-8 points, so Rick is giving his speech early - before Wisconsin is called. And he gives the same speech he has been giving. Mittens is just not that different than Obama - and then he engages in an exercise in the "new math" with the delegate count, that somehow if he "wins" PA, and with TX coming up (where the demographics per Sean Trende are about the same as Wisconsin (actually a 45 in Texas versus a 43 for Wisconsin for the Mittens 3 candidate share). Whatever. I have Mittens getting a majority with about a 25 delegate pad before supers not yet committed fall, assuming Mittens gets only a third of the delegates both PA and TX, and he should get more - a lot more in TX if the Trende model holds.

Meanwhile if the exit polls are right, the Sean Trende demographic model is spot on - again; Mittens up about 4 points over the 3 candidate split because of the Newt implosion. Ditto, Maryland although Gingrich got 11% in the exit poll, so there part of it is a Santorum erosion in his base there perhaps. Plus ca change, plus ca meme chose.

[J. J.]

Anyone else find it odd that Santorum referred to Hessians in his speech... Really... Hessians?

Lot of Germans in PA.

[muon2]

CNN calls WI for Mitt.

[realisticidealist]

CNN called Wisconsin already? A bit surprising given the current 700 vote margin, but whatev.

[J. J.]

WI called for Romney -CNN.

And this is Santorum's new theme song:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q0DqPSF2fyo

[Torie]

Now CNN calls Wisconsin for Mittens, so they must have confidence in the exit poll, that Mittens has a solid pad. If Rick gets more than two CD's in Wisconsin, it will be very surprising. We shall see if those Madison Dems managed to make a run on WI-02.

[ChairmanSanchez]

Paul is second in DC

[ag]

Interesting: at this moment Romney is less than 700 votes ahead out of 50 thousand counted. Of course, they have the exit poll - but it doesn't even seem like the most Santorumesque parts of the state have reported.

[Senator Snowstalker]

10% in and 2 points apart and they're calling it?

[LINCOLN REPUBLICAN]

WI called for Romney -CNN.

         

[ag]

It must be Milwaukee suburbs they know something about. Actually, these have started coming, and Romney is 2000 votes ahead.

[cinyc]

Interesting: at this moment Romney is less than 700 votes ahead out of 50 thousand counted. Of course, they have the exit poll - but it doesn't even seem like the most Santorumesque parts of the state have reported.

The margins from Milwaukee and Waukesha Counties will more than offset the Santorumesque parts of the state.  Romney is winning SE Wisconsin by 20.  And since that's where the people are...

[ShadowOfTheWave]

Fantastic. Now on to Obama.

[ag]

Interesting: at this moment Romney is less than 700 votes ahead out of 50 thousand counted. Of course, they have the exit poll - but it doesn't even seem like the most Santorumesque parts of the state have reported.

The margins from Milwaukee and Waukesha Counties will more than offset the Santorumesque parts of the state.  Romney is winning SE Wisconsin by 20.  And since that's where the people are...

Yeah, well, you are right, of course. Just seemed an odd moment to call it - before a single Waukeesha vote is in to confirm its Romneyesque nature

[Keystone Phil]

Anyone else find it odd that Santorum referred to Hessians in his speech... Really... Hessians?

I was amused! First time in 200 years that they've been an issue in a Presidential campaign speech!