April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread (user search)
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  April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread  (Read 11732 times)
ag
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« on: April 03, 2012, 08:07:06 PM »

so I dont bet 1 guatemala dollar

It's called quetzal Smiley)
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ag
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2012, 08:15:21 PM »

Interestingly, for the moment Santorum is ahead in all 3 counties that've reported anything - including Dane Smiley) Actually, Santorum might not need that many votes to get a few delegates there Smiley)
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ag
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2012, 08:18:30 PM »
« Edited: April 03, 2012, 08:21:53 PM by ag »

w. 2% reporting it's an exact tie at 3,527 votes Smiley) The rare moment of competitiveness this night - in a minute, one would believe, Romney gets ahead for the rest of it.

Actually, Santorum manages to get a ahead by about 30 votes at 3%.
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ag
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2012, 08:24:16 PM »

Romney's ahead for the first time in the night - where he, presumably, will stay. 7,034 votes for R vs. 6,836 for S.
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ag
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2012, 08:29:21 PM »

The gap, which was getting big, is suddenly down to only 71 votes! It's Green Bay again - Santorum is really beating Romney there. Could we be in for some surprises as far as the CD delegate allocation is concerned?

Update: it's only 18 votes now!
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ag
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« Reply #5 on: April 03, 2012, 08:38:26 PM »

Interesting: at this moment Romney is less than 700 votes ahead out of 50 thousand counted. Of course, they have the exit poll - but it doesn't even seem like the most Santorumesque parts of the state have reported.
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ag
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« Reply #6 on: April 03, 2012, 08:42:33 PM »

It must be Milwaukee suburbs they know something about. Actually, these have started coming, and Romney is 2000 votes ahead.
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ag
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« Reply #7 on: April 03, 2012, 08:44:47 PM »

Interesting: at this moment Romney is less than 700 votes ahead out of 50 thousand counted. Of course, they have the exit poll - but it doesn't even seem like the most Santorumesque parts of the state have reported.

The margins from Milwaukee and Waukesha Counties will more than offset the Santorumesque parts of the state.  Romney is winning SE Wisconsin by 20.  And since that's where the people are...

Yeah, well, you are right, of course. Just seemed an odd moment to call it - before a single Waukeesha vote is in to confirm its Romneyesque nature Smiley
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ag
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« Reply #8 on: April 03, 2012, 08:47:28 PM »

Romney's under 50% in Maryland.
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ag
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« Reply #9 on: April 03, 2012, 09:11:00 PM »

Dems are still playing a bit of havoc in the Rep primary - as much havoc as they could, at least. Santorum is back in the lead in Dane Smiley
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ag
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« Reply #10 on: April 03, 2012, 09:23:05 PM »

Waukesha is doing its reporting style: slow does it. Of course, this being Waukesha, we have no clue how many times they'll update the results to account for missing/misrecorded votes Smiley
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ag
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« Reply #11 on: April 03, 2012, 09:40:21 PM »

Though this is not going to matter at all this time, what's the hell, once again, going in Waukesha. The state has reported 64% of the precincts. Waukesah has reported 5% of the precincts, around 1,500 votes. This is pathetic. I guess, that incompetent woman, whatshername, is still running the show?

It's not going to matter this time. But very soon we are going to see the contested recall vote. Judging by what's going on now, for much of the evening the Dem is going to lead - only to have that lead overturned by Waukesha late in the night. And, given the past form, it is not unlikely there will be mistakes to correct. Even assuming that there are no deliberate shennanigans - of which, probably, there will be none, in fact - this will give rise to serious conspiracy theories. Why is that woman still there (if she is)?
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ag
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« Reply #12 on: April 03, 2012, 09:43:24 PM »

how is the CD 6 doing?
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ag
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« Reply #13 on: April 03, 2012, 09:47:01 PM »


It is not in real play for one rather decisive reason:



Oops! Missed that salient Smiley
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ag
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« Reply #14 on: April 03, 2012, 09:58:39 PM »

I wonder, what proportion of the R primary voters in Dane were Dems? I wouldn't be shocked if they were plurality.
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ag
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« Reply #15 on: April 03, 2012, 10:13:08 PM »


Of more import, is that I was off in my projection for Mittens delegates tonight by 3 delegates, or maybe even 6, and I was just so confident. That sucks. Sad

Actually, given that Green has just reported (and, considering the content of this report) it might, indeed, be 6.
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ag
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« Reply #16 on: April 03, 2012, 10:20:42 PM »

Actually, there is a sudden Romney dump in Dane, which puts it fairly solidly into Romney column. Looks like CD 2 might go R, in the end.
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ag
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« Reply #17 on: April 03, 2012, 10:22:25 PM »

In case you all wonder, at this point Waukesha has still only reported 21% (the state as a whole is on 80%). Charming methodology.
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