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Author Topic: hispanics  (Read 427 times)
jman123
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« on: April 03, 2012, 03:11:02 pm »
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What influence in presidential elections will the growing hispanic population give the USA as a whole? 

How will elections play out in say 2030?
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Snowstalker
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2012, 03:40:33 pm »
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Like the growth of Irish, Italians, eastern Europeans, etc., Hispanics won't grow in population forever. In fact, we may be only a decade or two from the peak.
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politicus
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2012, 03:59:47 pm »
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Like the growth of Irish, Italians, eastern Europeans, etc., Hispanics won't grow in population forever. In fact, we may be only a decade or two from the peak.

Huh?
Given that 95% of the population in the Americas outside of the US is Latinamerican and their societies will remain poorer than yours for the foreseeable future, how do you expect the Hispanic part of the US population to stop growing?

Trying to answer the question, I think that the Republicans will need to moderate their positions and roll back the Reagan-revolution and the current right wing excesses in order to stay competitive - this process will be troublesome and take at least a decade in the meantime Democrats will probably have a period as the dominant party in the 2020s.
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redcommander
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2012, 04:47:34 pm »
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Like the growth of Irish, Italians, eastern Europeans, etc., Hispanics won't grow in population forever. In fact, we may be only a decade or two from the peak.

This. And certain people who think otherwise are as misguided as certain people who thought America would be overrun by Germans by the end of the nineteenth century.
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politicus
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2012, 05:34:23 pm »
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Like the growth of Irish, Italians, eastern Europeans, etc., Hispanics won't grow in population forever. In fact, we may be only a decade or two from the peak.

This. And certain people who think otherwise are as misguided as certain people who thought America would be overrun by Germans by the end of the nineteenth century.
Well, there is a huge difference in scale - there simply are more latinos - and they will domiate key states as Texas and California. I think it is a valid question and a crucial one.
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Sbane
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« Reply #5 on: April 03, 2012, 05:51:00 pm »
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I think Republicans will have to moderate on fiscal issues, while staying steadfast on Abortion and perhaps some other social issues, but not gay marriage. I think Republicans are also missing a trick by not giving amnesty to those here AND passing E-verify and more fencing in key locations/ more border patrol agents. Hispanics will be happy as long as people already in the country are treated humanely and Republicans can make it harder for people to come in the country in the future. Even if it doesn't help them with Hispanics, at least it won't hurt and they won't be smacked down by a 30-40 point margin which I think is coming this fall.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #6 on: April 03, 2012, 05:52:04 pm »
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What influence in presidential elections will the growing hispanic population give the USA as a whole? 

How will elections play out in say 2030?

2030 is interesting to think about, especially with regards to Arizona and Texas. If demographic trends (and Republican policies/rhetoric) continue their current pace/trajectory it's going to be hilarious.

http://www.pewhispanic.org/2012/03/16/latinos-by-geography/




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