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| | |-+  On the next Super North-East Tuesday ...
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Question: which state will have the smallest Romney winning margin (other than PA) ?
CT   -0 (0%)
DE   -39 (86.7%)
NY   -6 (13.3%)
RI   -0 (0%)
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Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: On the next Super North-East Tuesday ...  (Read 643 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 05, 2012, 11:29:01 am »
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Probably

DE: Romney by 15
RI: Romney by 20
CT: Romney by 25
NY: Romney by 30

What do you say ?
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Klecly
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2012, 11:31:19 am »
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Delaware by like 11.5%

Then New York by like 16.5% (Remember Upstate NY is more conservative)
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2012, 11:33:24 am »
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Santorum has an outside chance in Delaware.

Romney +20% in every other state.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
politicus
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« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2012, 12:16:38 pm »
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Delaware 12-13% followed by New York with 18-20% difference.
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« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2012, 02:17:39 pm »
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DE  10-15%, NY 20-25%, RI 25-30%, CT 30-35%
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A.G. Snowstalker
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« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2012, 04:34:49 pm »
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Romney's best state will probably be CT. I voted Delaware.
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Аverroės Nix
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« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2012, 06:06:05 pm »
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Then New York by like 16.5% (Remember Upstate NY is more conservative)

Except for a few rural counties in Western New York, I doubt that Santorum will run competitively anywhere in the state.
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Dentures, for instance, is something Medicaid recipients could live without, Astorino suggested in the interview.

When asked how someone without dentures could eat, Astorino flippantly replied with a laugh, “Soup is good.”
Indy Texas
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2012, 07:30:42 pm »
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I could see a small chance that Delaware pulls an O'Donnell and votes for Santorum.

I also think Jon Huntsman is going to have a high residual % in Rhode Island.
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GPORTER
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2012, 09:14:30 pm »
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From the way I see it, if Santorum takes Pennsylvania and at least one other one, its a great night for him. However, if Romney sweeps them all, its kind of embarrassing for Santorum.
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http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=195483.new#new
the birth of modern america & onward election Frederick Douglas becomes the 1st African American president of the united states when he wins election to the office in 1892 only 30 years after the height of slavery in the United States. He narrowly wins reelection in 1896 against William Jennings Bryan. Douglas runs again in 1900 and even indicated his interest in a 4th run in 1904 but Grover Cleveland wins the 1900 election.
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« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2012, 09:19:10 pm »
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From the way I see it, if Santorum takes Pennsylvania and at least one other one, its a great night for him. However, if Romney sweeps them all, its kind of embarrassing for Santorum.

Santorum's not in a position where he can win by losing by less than expected, or be okay with being "kind of embarassed" by losing everything.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2012, 10:16:43 pm »
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Delaware will be the worst for Romney. Connecticut will be best. New York will probably be better for him than Rhode Island.
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As expected the wop won.

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