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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  On the next Super North-East Tuesday ...
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Question: which state will have the smallest Romney winning margin (other than PA) ?
CT   -0 (0%)
DE   -39 (86.7%)
NY   -6 (13.3%)
RI   -0 (0%)
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Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: On the next Super North-East Tuesday ...  (Read 669 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 05, 2012, 11:29:01 am »
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Probably

DE: Romney by 15
RI: Romney by 20
CT: Romney by 25
NY: Romney by 30

What do you say ?
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Klecly
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2012, 11:31:19 am »
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Delaware by like 11.5%

Then New York by like 16.5% (Remember Upstate NY is more conservative)
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2012, 11:33:24 am »
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Santorum has an outside chance in Delaware.

Romney +20% in every other state.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
politicus
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« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2012, 12:16:38 pm »
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Delaware 12-13% followed by New York with 18-20% difference.
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« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2012, 02:17:39 pm »
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DE  10-15%, NY 20-25%, RI 25-30%, CT 30-35%
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Snowstalker
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« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2012, 04:34:49 pm »
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Romney's best state will probably be CT. I voted Delaware.
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АverroŽs Nix
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« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2012, 06:06:05 pm »
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Then New York by like 16.5% (Remember Upstate NY is more conservative)

Except for a few rural counties in Western New York, I doubt that Santorum will run competitively anywhere in the state.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2012, 07:30:42 pm »
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I could see a small chance that Delaware pulls an O'Donnell and votes for Santorum.

I also think Jon Huntsman is going to have a high residual % in Rhode Island.
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GPORTER
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2012, 09:14:30 pm »
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From the way I see it, if Santorum takes Pennsylvania and at least one other one, its a great night for him. However, if Romney sweeps them all, its kind of embarrassing for Santorum.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2012, 09:19:10 pm »
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From the way I see it, if Santorum takes Pennsylvania and at least one other one, its a great night for him. However, if Romney sweeps them all, its kind of embarrassing for Santorum.

Santorum's not in a position where he can win by losing by less than expected, or be okay with being "kind of embarassed" by losing everything.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2012, 10:16:43 pm »
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Delaware will be the worst for Romney. Connecticut will be best. New York will probably be better for him than Rhode Island.
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