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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  On the next Super North-East Tuesday ...
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Question: which state will have the smallest Romney winning margin (other than PA) ?
CT   -0 (0%)
DE   -39 (86.7%)
NY   -6 (13.3%)
RI   -0 (0%)
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Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: On the next Super North-East Tuesday ...  (Read 650 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: April 05, 2012, 11:29:01 am »
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Probably

DE: Romney by 15
RI: Romney by 20
CT: Romney by 25
NY: Romney by 30

What do you say ?
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Klecly
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2012, 11:31:19 am »
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Delaware by like 11.5%

Then New York by like 16.5% (Remember Upstate NY is more conservative)
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2012, 11:33:24 am »
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Santorum has an outside chance in Delaware.

Romney +20% in every other state.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
politicus
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« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2012, 12:16:38 pm »
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Delaware 12-13% followed by New York with 18-20% difference.
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shua
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« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2012, 02:17:39 pm »
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DE  10-15%, NY 20-25%, RI 25-30%, CT 30-35%
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Snowstalker
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E: -8.45, S: -4.26

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« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2012, 04:34:49 pm »
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Romney's best state will probably be CT. I voted Delaware.
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АverroŽs Nix
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« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2012, 06:06:05 pm »
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Then New York by like 16.5% (Remember Upstate NY is more conservative)

Except for a few rural counties in Western New York, I doubt that Santorum will run competitively anywhere in the state.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2012, 07:30:42 pm »
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I could see a small chance that Delaware pulls an O'Donnell and votes for Santorum.

I also think Jon Huntsman is going to have a high residual % in Rhode Island.
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"Well, religious beliefs aren't reasonable. I mean, religious beliefs are categorical. You know, it's God tells you. It's not a matter of being reasonable. God be reasonable? He's supposed to have a full beard."
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GPORTER
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2012, 09:14:30 pm »
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From the way I see it, if Santorum takes Pennsylvania and at least one other one, its a great night for him. However, if Romney sweeps them all, its kind of embarrassing for Santorum.
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http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=195483.new#new
the birth of modern america & onward election Former Vice President Blanche Bruce defeats incumbent President Grover Cleveland in 1904. In an age of unpredictable election outcomes Bruce finds himself reelected in 1908 against an opponent whose name escapes me at the moment. Blanche Bruce served as Vice President under Frederick Douglas whom Cleveland defeated in 1900. His Vice President runs to replace Bruce in 1912.
Nichlemn
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« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2012, 09:19:10 pm »
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From the way I see it, if Santorum takes Pennsylvania and at least one other one, its a great night for him. However, if Romney sweeps them all, its kind of embarrassing for Santorum.

Santorum's not in a position where he can win by losing by less than expected, or be okay with being "kind of embarassed" by losing everything.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2012, 10:16:43 pm »
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Delaware will be the worst for Romney. Connecticut will be best. New York will probably be better for him than Rhode Island.
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