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Author Topic: Romney making a mega buy in PA.  (Read 1772 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: April 06, 2012, 07:19:16 pm »
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http://www.politicspa.com/breaking-romney-campaign-plans-mega-buy-of-pa-tv/33753/

Apparently, he isn't investing in the Pittsburgh market.
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2012, 07:27:46 pm »
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So he's buying off the market he's more likely to win anyway? Romney needs to campaign in swingy counties like Lehigh and Lancaster (which, being on the ground, I think will be close), not Chester and Montgomery.
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Politico
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« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2012, 07:31:39 pm »
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FTW. At least Santorum won't lose to a bald guy this time.
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« Reply #3 on: April 06, 2012, 08:20:41 pm »
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Apparently, he isn't investing in the Pittsburgh market.

He isn't, but his SuperPAC I suspect might invest in the Pittsburgh market. The kind of hard core negative ads he has run in the past against his GOP rivals I think he is trying to move away from as he tries to unite the party and start his general election campaign.

But, his SuperPAC is still running much more negative ads and negative ads are great for lowering overall turnout in an area that might be strong for your rival.
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: April 06, 2012, 08:27:49 pm »
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So he's buying off the market he's more likely to win anyway? Romney needs to campaign in swingy counties like Lehigh and Lancaster (which, being on the ground, I think will be close), not Chester and Montgomery.

Nothing seems to turn on the statewide vote, so it is all about picking off individual CD's when it comes to delegates. And probably there are more swing voters outside western, PA then inside anyway.  As a wild guess, the Lehigh Valley and the York/Harrisburg area are homes to the closest CD's.
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jmc247
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« Reply #5 on: April 06, 2012, 08:36:32 pm »
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Nothing seems to turn on the statewide vote, so it is all about picking off individual CD's when it comes to delegates. And probably there are more swing voters outside western, PA then inside anyway.  As a wild guess, the Lehigh Valley and the York/Harrisburg area are homes to the closest CD's.

I think its more about the public and media perception of beating Santorum in his own home state. If Romney wins the popular vote there he will be where Newt currently is very quickly unless he drops out.
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« Reply #6 on: April 06, 2012, 08:37:15 pm »
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This race has to end, and since Santorum has let his own vanity blind him to reality, this is the inevitable result.

Santorum has had several opporunities to make a gracious, graceful exit, but has refused to do so.

Losing on his home turf, if he does, will not exactly be the exit Santorum was planning on.

Whoever said politics was pretty?
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« Reply #7 on: April 06, 2012, 09:17:34 pm »
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Erie will have some spillover into NY (though not a lot).

Philadelphia = Delaware.  The bulk of the population in DE is in the Phila media market and DE has 17 WTA delegates.  That is a big chunk of the delegates on 4/24.

It will be difficult to target CD's, because the delegates are not pledged.

The Central PA Media Market is the most interesting buy. 
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« Reply #8 on: April 06, 2012, 09:27:33 pm »
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So he's buying off the market he's more likely to win anyway? Romney needs to campaign in swingy counties like Lehigh and Lancaster (which, being on the ground, I think will be close), not Chester and Montgomery.

Nothing seems to turn on the statewide vote, so it is all about picking off individual CD's when it comes to delegates. And probably there are more swing voters outside western, PA then inside anyway.  As a wild guess, the Lehigh Valley and the York/Harrisburg area are homes to the closest CD's.

All the camps seem to be keeping who "their" delegates are pretty much under wraps---or if there is an effort being made, it's really local or rather clandestine.

For the Romney camp...it doesn't really matter.  Presumably, a large number of the delegates (who really just want to go to Tampa / add to their resume, rather than support a particular candidate) are presumably going to come around to Romney sooner or later.  If people pick delegates based on name recognition alone, they're likely voting for someone who will eventually vote for Romney.

For the Santorum camp...Santorum doesn't exactly have full 'slates' of delegates anywhere, which is really just embarassing.

For the Paul camp...having the Paul delegates be public knowledge likely hurts their chances of getting delegates by chance.

And nobody cares about Gingrich.

The "but it's about the delegates!" story will be some nice spin from the Romney camp if he loses---but the odds are we won't know even where half of the elected delegates' loyalties lie the day after.
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« Reply #9 on: April 06, 2012, 10:30:06 pm »
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I imagine that Romney wants this over quickly.  Yes, the race is effectively over, but every day that Santorum stays in is a day that could have been used campaigning against Obama.  A win in Pennsylvania would be the ultimate knockout punch, allowing Romney to finally focus on the general election
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« Reply #10 on: April 07, 2012, 12:04:06 am »
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Based on a lot of what I'm hearing lately, I suspect Santorum will be dropping out next week anyway.
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« Reply #11 on: April 07, 2012, 12:15:38 am »
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I'm in a Borg mood today ... Tongue

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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: April 07, 2012, 09:27:11 am »
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Based on a lot of what I'm hearing lately, I suspect Santorum will be dropping out next week anyway.

Rick's latest pawn move is to try to make Texas winner take all. Unfortunately for him, the RNC has to approve that, so ...

Anyway, the man is still breathing fire. For what purpose I am not sure. I don't think it will help his future career much hanging in way past his shelf life.
« Last Edit: April 07, 2012, 09:28:51 am by Torie »Logged
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« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2012, 09:38:58 am »
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His career is pretty much over anyway. He won't win any statewide races in Pennsylvania anymore. What does he have left?

Maybe he is eying for a position with Fox.
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« Reply #14 on: April 07, 2012, 10:26:48 am »
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Based on a lot of what I'm hearing lately, I suspect Santorum will be dropping out next week anyway.

Rick's latest pawn move is to try to make Texas winner take all. Unfortunately for him, the RNC has to approve that, so ...

Anyway, the man is still breathing fire. For what purpose I am not sure. I don't think it will help his future career much hanging in way past his shelf life.

Even Texas became WTA, Romney's all but got it in the bag.
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jmc247
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« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2012, 12:36:11 pm »
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Romney has had second thoughts and by second thoughts I mean he has decided to increase his ad buy by over a million dollars and go on the air in Pittsburg.

The ad bombardment of the state at this point follows the "nuke the site from orbit, it's the only way to make sure" philosophy of campaigning.

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$2.9 million advertising campaign will run in the Wilkes-Barre, Scranton, Erie, Altoona and Philadelphia media markets until the April 24 primary election.

Within a week, the ads will run in the Pittsburgh market. The Romney super PAC Restore Our Future is airing commercials on cable channels statewide.

Santorum's senior strategist, John Brabender of Pittsburgh, said his ads would begin soon, though not on Monday.

″We put a higher preference on meeting with the voters than just running negative ads,″ Brabender said.

He said Santorum's family would help woo voters in the state's 67 counties, including a tour by Santorum's wife, Karen, and daughter Elizabeth, 22.

http://m.triblive.com/triblive/pm_5904/contentdetail.htm?contentguid=z8KGUnoO
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argentarius
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« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2012, 03:32:41 pm »
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His career is pretty much over anyway. He won't win any statewide races in Pennsylvania anymore. What does he have left?

Maybe he is eying for a position with Fox.
I think he's too confrontational for TV.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #17 on: April 07, 2012, 04:52:29 pm »
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Ιf Romney had any class and wanted to show to Santorum that he respects him then he shouldn't contest Pennsylvania.
But we are talking about Romney here, a man who is unanimously hated be all the other 2008 and 2012 candidates.
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« Reply #18 on: April 07, 2012, 05:43:04 pm »
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Ιf Romney had any class and wanted to show to Santorum that he respects him then he shouldn't contest Pennsylvania.
But we are talking about Romney here, a man who is unanimously hated be all the other 2008 and 2012 candidates.

My friend, Romney has, by many accounts, approximately 40% support in PA, and that will likely be growing.  Why would you want to deprive these people of having their opportunity to support Romney in the primary, while Santorum has been mean mouthing him for months now?

Santorum's the one who should not be contesting PA, by announcing his withdrawal from the race.

This may happen if there is some validity to the statement from Eraserhead that he expects Santorum to be withdrawing next week, based on what he's been hearing.  I do not know his sources.
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« Reply #19 on: April 07, 2012, 06:23:47 pm »
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Ιf Romney had any class and wanted to show to Santorum that he respects him then he shouldn't contest Pennsylvania.
But we are talking about Romney here, a man who is unanimously hated be all the other 2008 and 2012 candidates.

My friend, Romney has, by many accounts, approximately 40% support in PA, and that will likely be growing.  Why would you want to deprive these people of having their opportunity to support Romney in the primary, while Santorum has been mean mouthing him for months now?

Santorum's the one who should not be contesting PA, by announcing his withdrawal from the race.

This may happen if there is some validity to the statement from Eraserhead that he expects Santorum to be withdrawing next week, based on what he's been hearing.  I do not know his sources.

Shut up moron.

Oh tut tut now.  Don't get your boxers in a knot. 

Resorting to personal attacks and name calling now are we?
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« Reply #20 on: April 07, 2012, 07:21:58 pm »
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Ιf Romney had any class and wanted to show to Santorum that he respects him then he shouldn't contest Pennsylvania.
But we are talking about Romney here, a man who is unanimously hated be all the other 2008 and 2012 candidates.

lolwut. When was the last time a candidate chose not to contest a state that they otherwise had a strong chance of winning? And how is Romney so hated by his fellow candidates that he's been endorsed by at least four of them so far?
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GM Napoleon
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« Reply #21 on: April 07, 2012, 07:26:07 pm »
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Wow, Px is worse than we all thought. Grow up kid. Of all the people to lecture others on being classy...

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Nichlemn
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« Reply #22 on: April 07, 2012, 08:10:18 pm »
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Wow, Px is worse than we all thought. Grow up kid. Of all the people to lecture others on being classy...



According to his profile, he's 36...
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GM Napoleon
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« Reply #23 on: April 07, 2012, 08:25:04 pm »
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Wow, Px is worse than we all thought. Grow up kid. Of all the people to lecture others on being classy...



According to his profile, he's 36...
Which is why the kid ought to grow up. Better late than never, they say.
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When I was in the third grade, I thought that I was Jewish
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I told my mom, tears blurring my vision
He said, "Mort, you've loved God since before circumcision"
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« Reply #24 on: April 07, 2012, 08:29:22 pm »
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Ιf Romney had any class and wanted to show to Santorum that he respects him then he shouldn't contest Pennsylvania.
But we are talking about Romney here, a man who is unanimously hated be all the other 2008 and 2012 candidates.

My friend, Romney has, by many accounts, approximately 40% support in PA, and that will likely be growing.  Why would you want to deprive these people of having their opportunity to support Romney in the primary, while Santorum has been mean mouthing him for months now?

Santorum's the one who should not be contesting PA, by announcing his withdrawal from the race.

This may happen if there is some validity to the statement from Eraserhead that he expects Santorum to be withdrawing next week, based on what he's been hearing.  I do not know his sources.

Shut up moron.
Don't make such ridiculous statements if you don't like people challenging them.
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