Governors' statewide popularity

[pbrower2a]

Any recent polls for Tom Corbett's approvals?

It's been a while -- November. I doubt that he has gotten any better. Quinnipiac polls Pennsylvania often, so I may have missed recording a poll involving him as ratings stay stable.

The one that would be extremely interesting now is Governor Bob McDonnell (R-VA), for whom I have a latest poll in January. Bob McDonnell was doing very well for a Republican pol in a state in which President Obama has frequently made look like a likely repeat in 2012. That may have changed.

   

[pbrower2a]

Chris Christie, NJ

NEW BRUNSWICK, N.J – While Gov. Chris Christie’s favorability ratings show little change since a February Rutgers-Eagleton Poll, New Jersey voters have become more likely to describe him as stubborn, arrogant and self-centered than they were six months ago, a new survey finds. At the same time, a majority thinks strong leader, independent and smart are also good descriptors of the governor.

Forty-six percent of respondents feel favorably toward Christie while 42 percent do not, virtually unchanged since February. The governor received an “A” or “B” for his job performance in both polls from 43 percent of voters while 30 percent gave him a “D” or “F.”

http://news.rutgers.edu/medrel/news-releases/2012/04/little-change-in-sup-20120405

A or B -- positive, D and F -- negative.


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

Colorado Survey Results (PPP)

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Hickenlooper’s job performance?

Approve................. 57%
Disapprove............ 24%
Not sure ................ 19%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_041312.pdf

I suppose that he is an effective governor and a good match for a leftward-trending Colorado.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157


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[pbrower2a]

And then there's Andrew Cuomo:

Sixty-three percent give him a positive job performance rating compared to 36 percent negative (up from last month’s 57-42 percent).

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20April%202012%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157


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