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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Big DaddyTX)
| | |-+  Will Obama get ---
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Question: more than 45% in one of the Oklahoma counties ?
Yes   -10 (32.3%)
No   -21 (67.7%)
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Total Voters: 31

Author Topic: Will Obama get ---  (Read 481 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 08, 2012, 04:25:27 am »
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His best result in 2008 was about 44% in Cherokee County.

I say "No", because OK might even trend further away from Obama this year.
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Californian Tony
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« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2012, 04:37:19 am »
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It's pretty incredible how there isn't even a tiny spot of red left in Oklahoma even in a good dem year like 2008. For example, Obama actually fared worse in Wyoming but still won 2 counties out of 23.
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Truer today than it was yesterday.



"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."

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« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2012, 06:36:37 am »
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I reckon Obama might actually do a bit better this year. It's not like they'd love Mitt Romney...
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #3 on: April 08, 2012, 09:28:43 am »
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I think he can get 45% in that country who gave him 44 in 2008. But I don't know. Oklahoma is too conservative (and yes, racist, too).
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« Reply #4 on: April 08, 2012, 09:41:27 am »
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If it happens anywhere, it will be Oklahoma County. The urban/rural split isn't getting any smaller.
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #5 on: April 08, 2012, 10:45:42 am »
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If it's Romney, yes. He'll improve in some of the Little Dixie counties; remember, even John Kerry got 48% in a few.
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I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
Meeker
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« Reply #6 on: April 08, 2012, 11:12:07 am »
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If it's Romney, yes. He'll improve in some of the Little Dixie counties; remember, even John Kerry got 48% in a few.

John Kerry was not a black, you see.
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #7 on: April 08, 2012, 11:35:19 am »
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If it's Romney, yes. He'll improve in some of the Little Dixie counties; remember, even John Kerry got 48% in a few.

John Kerry was not a black, you see.

And Romney is a far poorer fit for OK than Bush. Obviously Obama won't win Oklahoma, and it will probably be his fourth worst state after the ID-WY-UT triangle against Mitt. But in a good year, he may win one or two counties and hit 37-38% of the vote.
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I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #8 on: April 08, 2012, 01:10:46 pm »
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The Democrats are surging in Oklahoma.  On April 3, their candidate appears to have won state legislative district 71's special election by three votes, with a recount set to take place tomorrow.
http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/State_legislative_special_elections,_2012
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