old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,741
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« on: June 24, 2012, 11:13:07 AM » |
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Agreed, we're still living in the Clinton realignment as an umbrella system. I mean the Clinton years definitely established red states and blue states. But the swing states have changed pretty tremendously
1992/1996: Tennessee, Kentucky, Louisiana, Arizona
2000/2004: Iowa, New Mexico
2008: North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana
And then of course there are the perennial swing states that have always been competitive. But the ones I listed above seemed to only be competitive in those certain cycles. You could argue that NM and IA are still swing states, but it looks like NM is losing its toss up status and is becoming lean Dem. And since 1988, IA has only gone R once, in 2004, and it was by a very slim margin.
So while the same party system has more or less remained in place since 92, the swing states have changed, probably not always based on political changes but moreso the regional strengths of the candidates.
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