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| | | |-+  MI: EPIC/MRA: Obama's Lead Shrinks to 4% Over Romney
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Author Topic: MI: EPIC/MRA: Obama's Lead Shrinks to 4% Over Romney  (Read 529 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« on: April 09, 2012, 10:02:17 am »
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New Poll: Michigan President by EPIC/MRA on 2012-04-03

Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Thinking about this year’s November general election for president…..

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Mitt

Romney, would you vote for [ROTATE] Mitt Romney the Republican or Barack Obama the

Democrat?

[IF UNDECIDED, ASK: “Well, if the election were held today and you had to decide right

now, would you lean toward voting for [ROTATE] Mitt Romney the Republican or Barack Obama

the Democrat?” AND CODE BEST RESPONSE]

April ‘12 Jan ’12 Nov ’11 Aug ’11 Jul ’11 Feb ‘11

44% Vote for Barack Obama the Democrat 46% 39% 39% 39% 38%

3% Lean toward Barack Obama the Democrat 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%

47% TOTAL OBAMA 48% 41% 42% 42% 41%

39% Vote for Mitt Romney the Republican 36% 41% 36% 34% 38%

4% Lean toward Mitt Romney the Republican 4% 5% 9% 12% 8%

43% TOTAL ROMNEY 40% 46% 45% 46% 46%

10% Undecided/Refused 12% 13% 12% 12% 13%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2012, 02:05:33 pm »

Poll sample looks too Republican to me:

21%
Strong Democrat
4%
Not Strong Democrat
13%
Independent-Lean Democrat

38%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT

...

14%
Independent-Lean Republican
5%
Not Strong Republican
18%
Strong Republican

37%
TOTAL REPUBLICAN

...

21%
Independent

4%
Other/Undecided/Refused
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2012, 04:39:41 pm »
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Michigan is not 'even' D-R.  This poll would make sense with a 2010 electorate.
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Ben Romney
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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2012, 05:12:23 pm »
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MI is in play! 2000 MI went to Gore by 5%. Bush beat Kerry by 2.4% nationally the margin in MI was reduced to +3.4% for the Dem. In 2010 MI turned red big! If Mitt win natinally by 4% he can flip MI. And don`t forget MI is his home state!
But I agree D+1 in wishfull thinking. i think it will be D+5
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I was anti-Obama before it was cool
morgieb
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« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2012, 06:04:45 pm »
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Odd.

What's this polling firm's track record?
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2012, 06:41:09 pm »
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Odd.

What's this polling firm's track record?

Their final poll in 2008 (Oct 26-28) had Obama leading McCain, 50-38 [won it 57-41], while their final poll in 2004 had Kerry leading Bush, 49-43 [won it 51-48]

Of course, according to exit polls, D-partisan advantage was +12 (41-29) in 2008 compared with +5 (39-34) in 2004
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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cavalcade
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« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2012, 09:32:52 pm »
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EPIC tends to be more R than other Michigan pollsters.
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