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| | | |-+  VA-Roanoke College: Romney by 6
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Author Topic: VA-Roanoke College: Romney by 6  (Read 479 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: April 10, 2012, 01:03:43 pm »

Screening for registered voters (N=537) reduces Allen's lead to seven points (46%-39%) and Romney's lead to five points (46%-41%).

http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/April_Roanoke_College_Poll.htm
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ℒief
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« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2012, 01:04:36 pm »
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LOL uni polls
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2012, 01:05:07 pm »

What a joke uni poll.
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oakvale
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« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2012, 01:18:32 pm »
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Saw the sentence "reduces Allen's lead to seven points", ignored poll.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2012, 01:38:21 pm »
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Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5120120405159
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2012, 02:57:33 pm »
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Seems legit.
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Bernie would probably win Vermont if Obama were deemed to have more than 272 evs in the vag.
Scott
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« Reply #6 on: April 10, 2012, 02:58:25 pm »
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Quote
reduces Allen's lead to seven points (46%-39%)
what

Junk.
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A.G. Snowstalker
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« Reply #7 on: April 10, 2012, 02:59:18 pm »
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What, did Tim Kaine run over Hank the Cat?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: April 10, 2012, 03:00:43 pm »
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Junk pollster.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
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« Reply #9 on: April 10, 2012, 03:43:37 pm »
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Just for information purposes, this poll has the following partisan breakdown:

D 30
R 33
I 39
"Other" 8

In 2008, the exit poll numbers for VA were:
D 39
R 33
I 27

Now, I don't believe pollsters should weight by party ID -- I think that's circular. But sometimes it's useful context to know what the sample looked like.  Obviously, if Rs outnumber Ds at the ballot box in VA in November, Obama's screwed, but that's not likely from a historical perspective.
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