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Author Topic: MA: Rasmussen: Romney within 11  (Read 907 times)
Rowan
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« on: April 11, 2012, 10:08:51 am »
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Massachusetts President(Rasmussen)

Obama: 51%
Romney: 40%

I kinda doubt this…
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America First
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« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2012, 10:10:50 am »
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Rasmussen is known to heavily favor Republicans in general election matchups.  Then they claim they are geniuses when they predict a Republican upset, but they are wrong much more often than they are right.
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2012, 10:14:41 am »
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Their polls *this year* seem to have a mild Democratic lean overall though...  (Compared to other polls).  I don't think this is entirely unreasonable - Dukakis beat Bush by only 8 in '88.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2012, 10:17:03 am »
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Odd considering their Senate poll seemed pretty legit.
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« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2012, 10:25:25 am »
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Yes, this is completely believable. Massachusetts can't stand Romney, so he'll be lucky to get more than a couple of points than McCain did. 1988 was a long time ago, I wouldn't bet on Romney even getting close in Massachusetts.
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2012, 10:36:19 am »
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I don't think Romney will win MA, but BOSTON could narrow CHICAGO's lead.  It is an odd quark to this election.
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« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2012, 10:44:30 am »
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Jesus Christ, Scott. Be a little more subtle.
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HST1948
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« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2012, 10:54:29 am »
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So Obama leads by 16 in New Mexico but only 11 in Massachusetts...
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« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2012, 11:44:30 am »
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Quote from: AmericanNation on April 11, 2012, 10:36:19 am
I don't think Romney will win MA, but BOSTON could narrow CHICAGO's lead.  It is an odd quark to this election.

Yes, Cook County has tilted Massachusetts to the Democrats for some time now.
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2012, 12:06:05 pm »
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Don't forget when Dupage county swung MA to Scott Brown.
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« Reply #10 on: April 11, 2012, 12:21:27 pm »
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Link?
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Jayhawker
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« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2012, 03:15:12 pm »
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Meh, this is coming from the same sample that has Brown trailing by 1 to Warren, which is pretty spot on.

I'm not sure it'll be this close, but Romney will keep Obama under 60% in Massachusetts.
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« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2012, 05:58:31 pm »
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Time heals old wounds. Massachusetts is starting to love Mitt again after looking back on his years as Governor in hindsight.
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ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2012, 06:03:16 pm »
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Remember that McCain once polled 50% in MA against Obama. Some of the working class voters in Boston don't like Obama for certain reasons, which puts him at a lower advantage than most Democrats.
« Last Edit: April 11, 2012, 06:05:06 pm by ShadowOfTheWave »Logged
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« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2012, 06:17:25 pm »
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Quote from: AmericanNation on April 11, 2012, 12:06:05 pm
Don't forget when Dupage county swung MA to Scott Brown.

wut
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #15 on: April 11, 2012, 06:18:46 pm »
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Quote from: ShadowOfTheWave on April 11, 2012, 06:03:16 pm
Remember that McCain once polled 50% in MA against Obama.

No.
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« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2012, 06:20:44 pm »
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Quote from: redcommander on April 11, 2012, 05:58:31 pm
Time heals old wounds. Massachusetts is starting to love Mitt again after looking back on his years as Governor in hindsight.

Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 11, 2012, 06:18:46 pm
No.
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Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
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« Reply #17 on: April 11, 2012, 06:23:44 pm »
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Quote from: AmericanNation on April 11, 2012, 10:36:19 am
I don't think Romney will win MA, but BOSTON could narrow CHICAGO's lead.  It is an odd quark to this election.

what
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« Reply #18 on: April 11, 2012, 06:25:16 pm »
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Quote from: Nathan on April 11, 2012, 06:20:44 pm
Quote from: redcommander on April 11, 2012, 05:58:31 pm
Time heals old wounds. Massachusetts is starting to love Mitt again after looking back on his years as Governor in hindsight.

Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 11, 2012, 06:18:46 pm
No.

http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=2520080121019

Pretty easy to look up. Granted, it's Survey USA, but still.
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Quote from: John_Engle on November 02, 2012, 04:25:37 pm
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Nathan
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« Reply #19 on: April 11, 2012, 06:31:22 pm »
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Quote from: Tmthforu94 on April 11, 2012, 06:25:16 pm
Quote from: Nathan on April 11, 2012, 06:20:44 pm
Quote from: redcommander on April 11, 2012, 05:58:31 pm
Time heals old wounds. Massachusetts is starting to love Mitt again after looking back on his years as Governor in hindsight.

Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 11, 2012, 06:18:46 pm
No.

http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=2520080121019

Pretty easy to look up. Granted, it's Survey USA, but still.

I was no-ing redcommander's post, not ShadowOfTheWave's. Romney is less hated than he was in 2006 but 'starting to love Mitt again' is laughably untrue. Republican primary turnout cratered from 2008.
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Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
PulaskiSkywayDriver
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« Reply #20 on: April 17, 2012, 10:38:35 pm »
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Makes perfect sense. Its a state that has peaked for Democrats in terms of overperformance. Still Democratic to be sure but not as much as years ago.
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Nathan
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« Reply #21 on: April 18, 2012, 12:48:50 am »
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Quote from: PulaskiSkywayDriver on April 17, 2012, 10:38:35 pm
Makes perfect sense. Its a state that has peaked for Democrats in terms of overperformance. Still Democratic to be sure but not as much as years ago.

That's not how the phenomenon of states 'maxing out' usually works.
« Last Edit: April 18, 2012, 12:51:09 am by Nathan »Logged
Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
ChiefTuscaloosa
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« Reply #22 on: April 18, 2012, 08:49:17 am »
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Quote from: food justice on April 11, 2012, 10:14:41 am
Their polls *this year* seem to have a mild Democratic lean overall though...  (Compared to other polls).  I don't think this is entirely unreasonable - Dukakis beat Bush by only 8 in '88.

How does Dukakis' somewhat narrow win there in 1988 relate to this race?

At any rate, Obama wins Massachusetts 58-42%.
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