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| | |-+  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Tender Branson, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | | |-+  NJ-Quinnipiac: Obama by 9, Romney/Christie down by 7
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Author Topic: NJ-Quinnipiac: Obama by 9, Romney/Christie down by 7  (Read 545 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 12, 2012, 05:27:23 am »

President Barack Obama leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 40 percent in the New Jersey presidential race, a lead that shrinks to 49 - 42 percent if Gov. Christopher Christie runs as Romney's vice presidential pick, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1736
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2012, 05:30:24 am »

Sample looks too Republican though:

34% D, 25% R, 41% I

2008 was 44% D, 28% R, 28% I

Reweighted to 2008 numbers, it's 54-38 Obama and 54-40 Obama/Biden vs. Romney/Christie.

...

While this Quinnipiac poll looks too Romney friendly, the Rutgers poll looks too Obama friendly. If we average both of them (Obama+9 and Obama+27), we get Obama+18, which is about the reweighted 2008 result.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: April 12, 2012, 09:40:06 am »
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Sample looks too Republican though:

34% D, 25% R, 41% I


Actual voter registration is roughly 33D, 20R, 47I.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #3 on: April 12, 2012, 10:00:11 am »
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Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3420120409015
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: April 12, 2012, 10:03:09 am »

Sample looks too Republican though:

34% D, 25% R, 41% I


Actual voter registration is roughly 33D, 20R, 47I.

Doesn't matter: Even in this scenario, Obama leads 52-37 if we re-calculate the poll numbers.
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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #5 on: April 12, 2012, 10:35:19 am »
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I don't know, this could be the beginning of New Jersey's traditional summer flirtation with Republicans. Look forward to a lot of "tossup" talk in the coming months as the biggest tease in the country struts her stuff for the perpetual runners up.
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Kevin
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« Reply #6 on: April 12, 2012, 12:21:39 pm »
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I don't know, this could be the beginning of New Jersey's traditional summer flirtation with Republicans. Look forward to a lot of "tossup" talk in the coming months as the biggest tease in the country struts her stuff for the perpetual runners up.

Of course I'm not bothering considering NJ at the moment given that. However, if the floor somehow caves in  on Obama in the coming month's think it could ve very competitive.

NJ is Dem but it's not to the extent that states like CA, MD, or CT are so it's certainly possible given the blend of right circumstances.
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RIP Mayor Barry
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« Reply #7 on: April 13, 2012, 11:57:36 pm »
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Agreed but some people on here probably think Obamas gonna win Arizona and Missouri LOL.
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« Reply #8 on: April 14, 2012, 12:05:09 pm »
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Agreed but some people on here probably think Obamas gonna win Arizona and Missouri LOL.

He's going to win 50 states and 70% of the PV duh... Wink
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« Reply #9 on: April 14, 2012, 07:02:55 pm »
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Quinnipiac is a decent pollster, and Romney is pretty much a tailor-made candidate for NJ. It will probably will wind up being the 10 point race that generic Republicans lose to generic Democrats by.
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Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
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