Your 2014 Targets: (user search)
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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Your 2014 Targets: (search mode)
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Author Topic: Your 2014 Targets:  (Read 4090 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« on: April 16, 2012, 11:52:32 PM »

Obviously way too early for such a list, but what the heck, in no particular order:

Paul LePage

Ovide Lamontagne (if he wins in 2012)

Maybe Lincoln Chaffee (although I'm not terribly invested in beating him tbh, but if someone must than better it be a Democrat than a Republican)

Maybe Nikki Haley (and only if Vincent Sheheen runs again, b/c correct me if I'm wrong, he's basically our best statewide candidate here)

Rick Scott (and still target the open seat if Scott loses his primary or doesn't run for reelection)

Maybe Rick Perry (depending on what the polls show, fundraising, and candidate quality, the Democrat would have to prove that he has a real chance of winning first)

John Kasich (if this isn't low hanging fruit, I don't know what is)

Rick Snyder

Maybe Terry Bransted (depending on candidate quality, polling, and fundraising)

Scott Walker (if he wins the recall, which I don't think he will if he faces Barrett)

Maybe Arizona's open seat (depending on candidate quality, fundraising, and polling)

Maybe Brian Sandoval (depending on candidate quality, fundraising, and polling)

Maybe Susanna Martinez (depending on candidate quality, fundraising, and polling)


This.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2012, 07:14:44 PM »


I'm guessing Arkansas has term-limits, so that'd be a nice pickup.


Except it will be pretty favorable to the Ds with Mike Ross or Dustin McDaniel as the nominee.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2012, 11:47:17 AM »

I think the GOP may pick up another seat or two, probably in the Northeast.

No.
Care to elaborate, or are you going to just continue sticking to short, one-word answers so frequently?

If Obama's in his second term and the economy is still down, I think Republicans could certainly get a couple pickups in an environment similar to 2010. New Hampshire for one, which could go as early as 2012. In the right circumstances, Republicans could be in a position like 2010 where they had a shot in every state up there.


All the New England seats have the potential to go R. Other than NH, CT and MA are the most likely to me; Malloy is really unpopular and Scott Brown could run for Governor if he loses this year.
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