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| | |-+  How would these places vote (in the US), judging from StreetView?
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Author Topic: How would these places vote (in the US), judging from StreetView?  (Read 1188 times)
PASOK Leader Hashemite
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« on: April 16, 2012, 11:01:58 am »
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The following places are not in the US, most are in France, but assuming they were located identically in the US, how would they vote?

Area 1
http://maps.google.com/?ll=49.506844,0.071856&spn=0.002386,0.005681&t=h&z=18&layer=c&cbll=49.506865,0.07178&panoid=y9TTMV0foPMffClBZAfpiw&cbp=13,92.18,,0,8.5

Area 2
http://maps.google.com/?ll=49.50916,0.178229&spn=0.0006,0.00142&t=h&z=20&layer=c&cbll=49.50916,0.178229&panoid=H0DHBUX2Gd3TRD_045GoVA&cbp=13,101.01,,0,-5.27

Area 3
http://maps.google.com/?ll=49.505968,0.162231&spn=0.0006,0.00142&t=h&z=20&layer=c&cbll=49.505968,0.162231&panoid=Jwuu2t1u847OulnLuJvW8A&cbp=13,272.84,,0,4.67

Area 4
http://maps.google.com/?ll=48.859886,2.275191&spn=0.001216,0.00284&t=m&z=19&layer=c&cbll=48.859886,2.275191&panoid=0BdsNhQJDxSuMpQFLtQNnw&cbp=13,356.09,,0,-5.27

Area 5
http://maps.google.com/?ll=48.757193,2.494261&spn=0.009747,0.022724&t=h&z=16&layer=c&cbll=48.757081,2.494343&panoid=qTHaMt92Ht1fgEyrnKdrLA&cbp=12,327.88,,0,7.73

Area 6
http://maps.google.com/?ll=48.785332,2.534168&spn=0.019482,0.045447&t=h&z=15&layer=c&cbll=48.785332,2.534168&panoid=teGimD_5QQmXGyf1KmefwA&cbp=12,147.88,,0,1.53

Area 7
http://maps.google.com/?ll=48.785332,2.534168&spn=0.019482,0.045447&t=h&z=15&layer=c&cbll=48.785332,2.534168&panoid=teGimD_5QQmXGyf1KmefwA&cbp=12,147.88,,0,1.53

Area 8
http://maps.google.com/?ll=48.604537,2.882144&spn=0.009379,0.022724&t=h&z=16&layer=c&cbll=48.604537,2.882144&panoid=5QyxUSIbcBACTIjqZ5eW-Q&cbp=12,355.16,,0,2.63

Area 9
http://maps.google.com/?ll=49.408463,4.600465&spn=0.018569,0.045447&t=m&z=15&layer=c&cbll=49.408463,4.600465&panoid=C9YB6eeizRREgszzlSRhVQ&cbp=12,123.23,,0,-2.63



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« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2012, 11:50:31 am »
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I might try this later, but simply how places look can be misleading to racial makeup in the US, which is the main factor in how they vote.
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2012, 09:48:31 pm »
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1) 55% R
2) 96% D
3) 78% D
4) 79% D
5) 57% R
6) 60% D
7) same link as above
8] 59% R
9) 55% R

I generally imagined them in a Midwestern setting. All would be D on much of the West Coast, for example.
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2012, 12:07:59 am »
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3) 78% D

Seriously? That looks like one of our standard inner ring suburbs, closer to 55-60% D.
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2012, 02:30:36 pm »
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1 - 55% R
2 - 90% D (Christ, what an ugly built environment this is.)
3 - 60% D
4 - 80% D (Nice streetscape.)
5 - 55% D
6 - 65% D
7 - dup.
8 - 55% R
9 - 60% R

This was difficult. There just aren't many American neighborhoods that look like these - narrow streets, small setbacks, small lots, etc.
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2012, 02:52:34 pm »
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1. Seems like an old West Coast port town--maybe a working-class area of Seattle. 60% D.
2. Looks inner city-ish. I'll be safe and say about 85% D.
3. Looks SoCal or Arizona-ish. Probably pretty marginal, though that depends on the Hispanic population.
4. This is obviously Paris, but I'll pretend it's an older part of New York. 80% D.
5. Clean suburbia--I'll say 55% R. Probably in the Mid-Atlantic.
6. Seems a little run-down, so 60% D.
7. See 6.
8. Sunny American Dream sort of place, maybe in the Midwest. 55% R.
9. 60% R, unless it's rural New England.
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2012, 11:53:14 pm »
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this has to be the worst way to tell how someone would vote.

If I would post pictures of NYC with out any people in it for guidance I would bet people would be more then 50% off in some parts and some over 80% off
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« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2012, 11:26:05 am »
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this has to be the worst way to tell how someone would vote.

If I would post pictures of NYC with out any people in it for guidance I would bet people would be more then 50% off in some parts and some over 80% off

"Worst" is a bit hyperbolic. Assume ceteris paribus and it's an interesting exercise - that there are places that deviate so far from our expectations (e.g Borough Park, much of Vermont, many Indian reservations) only makes it more interesting.
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2012, 02:03:45 pm »
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The small size of the houses lends itself to me proclaiming them all D.
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2012, 02:44:28 pm »
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Those map views don't work too well in the US. In the US, density = Democrats, and the housing stock in the US is less dense. With the possible exception of the Normandy coast road, every snap of the first six or so that I looked at, looked Dem. And Pubs really hate high rises, or multi floor buildings.

The last one looks Pub however, and maybe the penultimate one.
« Last Edit: May 06, 2012, 03:06:02 pm by Torie »Logged

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« Reply #10 on: May 06, 2012, 03:12:38 pm »
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Those map views don't work too well in the US. In the US, density = Democrats, and the housing stock in the US is less dense. With the possible exception of the Normandy coast road, every snap of the first six or so that I looked at, looked Dem. And Pubs really hate high rises, or multi floor buildings.

The last one looks Pub however, and maybe the penultimate one.

I was reminded of some small but dense towns on the Long Island Sound by the first one.
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« Reply #11 on: May 10, 2012, 07:54:49 am »
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1. 60% Dem
2. 85% Dem
3. 55% Rep
4. 80% Dem
5. 55% Dem
6-7. 55% Dem
8. 60% Rep
9. 55% Rep
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morgieb
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« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2012, 08:23:55 am »
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These are some Australian ones

1. http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ll=-33.873109,151.183138&spn=0.000448,0.000603&t=h&z=21&layer=c&cbll=-33.873047,151.183076&panoid=Tw10DJ9XFu75xtt_p88n8g&cbp=12,295.91,,0,22.63
2. http://maps.google.com/maps?q=81+Crystal+St,+Petersham+NSW,+Australia&hl=en&ll=-33.892651,151.157898&spn=0.007169,0.009645&sll=-33.873047,151.183076&sspn=0.00045,0.000603&oq=81+cr&t=h&hnear=81+Crystal+St,+Petersham+New+South+Wales+2049,+Australia&z=17&layer=c&cbll=-33.892651,151.157898&panoid=YxCzWW6PxHVHC_gzHPSY4w&cbp=12,21.61,,0,30.13
3. http://maps.google.com/maps?q=3+glenavon+avenue+beverly+hills&hl=en&ll=-33.951165,151.066818&spn=0.007164,0.009645&sll=-33.873047,151.183076&sspn=0.00045,0.000603&oq=3+g&t=h&hnear=3+Glen+Avon+Ave,+Beverly+Hills+New+South+Wales+2209,+Australia&z=17&layer=c&cbll=-33.951165,151.066818&panoid=kliTrRIA7sk4SiMHoCnfFQ&cbp=12,20.02,,0,7.51
4. http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ll=-33.905836,151.268837&spn=0.003584,0.004823&sll=-33.905836,151.268837&sspn=0.003602,0.004823&oq=3+g&t=h&z=18&layer=c&cbll=-33.905778,151.268797&panoid=vitBjKDmiahzMbR79BIyzQ&cbp=12,331.07,,0,4.1
5. http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ll=-33.869703,151.128445&spn=0.052024,0.154324&sll=-33.905836,151.268837&sspn=0.003602,0.004823&oq=3+g&t=h&z=13&layer=c&cbll=-33.869661,151.128463&panoid=8KW_Ddk3w6VlHFjXGGMrfg&cbp=12,310.87,,0,5.41
6. http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ll=-33.872839,150.960388&spn=0.052022,0.154324&sll=-33.905836,151.268837&sspn=0.003602,0.004823&oq=3+g&t=h&layer=c&cbll=-33.872866,150.960357&panoid=9w85LTAjcxJqr6kciCFLVA&cbp=11,281.41,,0,5.81&z=13
7. http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ll=-33.773583,150.697575&spn=0.052083,0.154324&sll=-33.905836,151.268837&sspn=0.003602,0.004823&oq=3+g&t=h&layer=c&cbll=-33.773529,150.697602&panoid=5tT0W_90Z-sowK-oYNJcDw&cbp=11,28,,0,1.08&z=13
8. http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&ll=-33.718369,150.310717&spn=0.208464,0.617294&sll=-33.905836,151.268837&sspn=0.003602,0.004823&oq=3+g&t=h&layer=c&cbll=-33.718369,150.310717&panoid=QGMLlKDEy6dgyK5e2Lx38g&cbp=11,30.78,,0,-4.71&z=11
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« Reply #13 on: May 10, 2012, 10:17:06 am »
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Based on the "Kosciusko" sign this would be a small town in NE Indiana, fairly conservative for a manufacturing area.
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« Reply #14 on: May 11, 2012, 08:28:15 am »
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1. Strong D
2. Strong D
3. Lean D
4. Likely D? Waterfront locations can be funny.
5. Lean D
6. Likely D
7. Toss-up
8. Strong D


Again: The small houses + lots, narrow (by comparison) streets + setbacks, and the ubiquitous on-street parking make these sites difficult to interpret. If they were located in the US, they'd be highly unusual, if not unique.
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