Arizona: Poll Shows Jesse Kelly With Small Lead Over Ron Barber

[krazen1211]

http://atr.rollcall.com/arizona-jesse-kelly-internal-poll-shows-small-lead-over-ron-barber/

A poll released today shows Jesse Kelly to be the strongest Republican candidate in the June 12 special election to replace former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-Ariz.).

It is unclear who commissioned the poll of 300 likely general election voters. But it showed that Kelly was the only candidate ahead of former Giffords staffer Ron Barber, the de facto Democratic nominee. Voters go to the polls Tuesday to pick the nominees for the tossup special contest, and Kelly is the odds-on favorite to face Barber in June.




Pretty cool. This is of course a very winnable district even in November.

[asexual trans victimologist]

Yeah, there's every reason to believe that this will be very close and no reason to believe that Kelly can't win. He came very close to Giffords last time even though he's nuts and Barber doesn't seem to be anywhere near as popular as Giffords was, even absent the supercharged Republican 2010 environment.

[Invisible Obama]

An internal with a nearly 6% margin of error from a candidate who lost in 2010 is hardly reliable.

[krazen1211]

Yeah, there's every reason to believe that this will be very close and no reason to believe that Kelly can't win. He came very close to Giffords last time even though he's nuts and Barber doesn't seem to be anywhere near as popular as Giffords was, even absent the supercharged Republican 2010 environment.

The Democrats have lost 10k voters in this district since Oct 2010.

Oct 2008

D - 148K
R - 161K
O - 113K

Oct 2010

D - 140k
R - 159K
O - 125K

April 2012

D - 130K
R - 156K
O - 124K

[Badger]

An internal with a nearly 6% margin of error from a candidate who lost in 2010 is hardly reliable.