Vosem
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Posts: 15,637
Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
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« on: April 17, 2012, 05:36:54 PM » |
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Meh; Christie's numbers aren't really that impressive. A lead is a lead, of course, but three years before campaigning starts, with 2 challengers within 5% and 3 within 10%, is not insurmountable at all; here is a list of all candidates that actually ended up running that have held a 4-point national lead in the 2012 Republican primary in at least one poll (in reverse chronological order):
- Mitt Romney
- Rick Santorum
- Newt Gingrich
- Herman Cain
- Rick Perry
- Michele Bachmann
Six people. On the other hand, a 43-point lead before campaigning even begins is essentially insurmountable without scandal. And H Clinton has been in politics too long for that.
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