Counties Obama can flip from red to blue (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 08:47:26 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Counties Obama can flip from red to blue (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Counties Obama can flip from red to blue  (Read 2887 times)
Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,329
« on: April 18, 2012, 08:33:53 PM »

Probably not many out there but I think there will be a few. Here are my possibilities:
NC: Nash, Franklin
VA: Southampton
FL: Sarasota, Seminole(stretch here)
PA: not really buying idea of SW flipping back so none
CA: Orange (possible but unlikely barring national shift)
TX: Fort Bend
NJ: Monmouth- this too is a stretch

Sarasota and maybe Pasco seem the most likely in Florida. Seminole'll stay R for another couple cycles, but demographics will make it D in 10-20 years. Obama did pretty well in Hernando County too, so there's that.
Logged
Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,329
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2012, 09:18:31 PM »

Just some wild guesses
Duval, Seminole, Pasco, Hernando - Florida.
Maricopa - Arizona.
Frederick, Anne Arundel - Maryland.

I don't see any way Obama can pick up Duval. It may he the largest city in Florida, but it's Republican, very much so. The mayoral election was a fluke. Seminole's a massive Republican stronghold; maybe in 2020 or something demographics will make it competitive, but not now. Pasco/Hernando, however, are competitive, and Obama has a real shot, especially in Pasco.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 13 queries.