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| | |-+  The Death of a Strategist: 1988 and Beyond Altered.
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Author Topic: The Death of a Strategist: 1988 and Beyond Altered.  (Read 11180 times)
#Ready4Nixon
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« Reply #50 on: May 25, 2012, 01:25:52 pm »
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Haven't kept up that much with this, but I'm glad I clicked on it right when the 1992 election was starting to get under way. It's been done only once before (that I know of) and a Cheney presidency would be really interesting! Smiley
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« Reply #51 on: May 26, 2012, 01:42:31 am »
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June 2, 1991. Cheney Will Not Run.
Despite flirting with the idea of running, Minority Whip Dick Cheney has announced that he will not seek the nomination. He has also stated that he will not endorse anyone, preferring to let the “process play itself out.” Sorry guys, I had always planned for Cheney not to run. I actually have this timeline drafted out until 2000 so far, and so I already know the outcomes of the Presidential elections of 1992, 1996, and 2000.

June 3, 1991. The Family and Medical Leave Act Signed Into Law
The Family and Medical Leave Act of 1993 is a United States federal law requiring covered employers to provide employees job-protected and unpaid leave for qualified medical and family reasons. Qualified medical and family reasons include; personal or family illness, military service, family military leave, pregnancy, adoption, or the foster care placement of a child.

June 5, 1991. Lamar Alexander Announces Run for President.
Former Governor of Tennessee Lamar Alexander has announced that he will run for president.

June 8, 1991: With Cheney’s Exit, Dole Surges in National Poll.
Since the refusal of Minority Whip Dick Cheney to enter the race for the Republican nomination, Senator Bob Dole has established himself as the GOP frontrunner. Rising up in the polls are Senator Phil Gramm of Texas and former Governor Lamar Alexander. Both are believed to carry strength with the religious right and among those who believe Bob Dole is not conservative enough.

Bob Dole: 30
Dan Quayle 15
Phil Gramm: 15
Lamar Alexander: 10
Dick Lugar: 5
Pete Wilson: 5
Undecided: 20%

June 10, 1991 Unemployment at 6.8%
The unemployment rate is at 6.8%, lower than the 7.2% it was at this point last year, but it does not appear to be rebounding fast enough for some. President Dukakis and the left wing of the Democratic Party are drafting an economic stimulus package that would increase government spending to encourage growth. Most on the right are opposed to a plan that would increase spending and have instead focused on tax cuts to lower unemployment.

June 14, 1991 Conservative Democrats Say No Stimulus Package without Tax Cuts.
In a sign that the gap between the President and Congress is growing, several conservative Democrats have stated that they will not vote for a stimulus package unless it contains tax cuts.

June 20, 1991: Dole, Gramm, Quayle Tied in Iowa.
In Iowa, it is a three way tie between Senators Dole, Gramm, and Quayle. Both Gramm and Quayle are on the rise and if either wins Iowa, could be a strong challenger to Senator Dole.

Bob Dole 20
Phil Gramm 20
Dan Quayle 20
Lamar Alexander 10
Dick Lugar 5
Pete Wilson 5
Undecided: 20%

June 21, 1991: Dole Leads in New Hampshire, Lugar Third.
In New Hampshire, Senator Dole has a strong 10 point lead above Senator Quayle. Senator Lugar, who is solely focusing on New Hampshire and ignoring Iowa, has now risen to 3rd place in the polls.

Bob Dole 30
Dan Quayle 20
Dick Lugar 12
Phil Gramm 8
Pete Wilson 5
Lamar Alexander 5
Undecided: 20%

June 25, 1991: Vote on Stimulus Package Passes House, but Fails in Senate.
A vote on the economic stimulus package has passed the House, but failed to pass the Senate. In the House, it narrowly passed, 230 to 205. In the Senate however, it failed on a 52-48 vote. Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole was able to convince all 45 Republicans to vote against it. This, combined with the 6 Conservative Democrats and the vote of Independent David Duke, were able to add up to 52 votes. Discussions will begin on a compromise that is certain to contain tax cuts.

July 1, 1991 Supreme Court Justice Thurgood Marshall to Retire.
Supreme Court Justice Thurgood Marshall will retire, allowing President Dukakis to name another individual to the Supreme Court.

July 10, 1991. Compromise Stimulus Package Passes Congress, President Dukakis Will Sign.

After several weeks of discussions, a compromise was reached on the stimulus package. Funding will go to all states for budget relief, infrastructure, education, and energy. In addition, there will be tax incentives for low income and middle class families, a tax credit for families with children, and tax incentives for small businesses.

July 14, 1991 Texas Businessman Ross Perot Will Not Run For President.
Despite several rumors, Texas businessman Ross Perot has declined to run for President, stating “I am not interesting in running for President. I only want to help get the one we have and his corrupt party out of there!”

July 25, 1991 President Dukakis Nominates Ruth Bader Ginsburg to Supreme Court.
President Dukakis has nominated Ruth Bader Ginsburg to the Supreme Court. If confirmed she will be the third woman on the present Court.

August 2, 1991. Quayle Now Leads Nationally
Senator Quayle has overtaken Senator Dole nationally. The conservatives seem to be coalescing around Senator Quayle, who appears to appeal to each conservative faction: Socially, Economically, and Foreign Policy.
Dan Quayle 30
Bob Dole: 25
Phil Gramm: 13
Lamar Alexander: 7
Dick Lugar: 5
Pete Wilson: 5
Undecided: 15%

August 4, 1991. Former Vice President Bush Endorses Quayle!
Former Vice President George Bush has endorsed Senator Dan Quayle, giving him a large boost of support. It is clear that there will be a conservative challenger to Dole, and it looks likely to be Senator Quayle.

August 5, 1991. Gramm and Quayle Tied in Iowa, Dole Drops.
Senators Gramm and Quayle are now tied in Iowa, with Senator Dole 7 points behind.
Phil Gramm 25
Dan Quayle 25
Bob Dole 18
Lamar Alexander 12
Richard Lugar 5
Pete Wilson 0
Undecided: 15%

August 10, 1991: Dan Quayle Misspells Potato!
Senator Dan Quayle has misspelled the word “potato.” At the Munoz Rivera Elementary School spelling bee in Trenton, New Jersey, Senator Quayle altered 12 year old student William Figueroa's correct spelling of "potato" to "potatoe.” Quayle has been widely mocked for his apparent inability to spell the word "potato," and many in the media and politicians on both sides are joining in the amusement. This setback for Quayle comes only a week before the Ames Straw Poll in Iowa…
« Last Edit: July 28, 2012, 07:11:19 pm by retromike22 »Logged
Jerseyrules
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« Reply #52 on: May 28, 2012, 08:47:14 pm »
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Please not potatoe....

I don't love Quayle but I hate the sh**t he gets in otl.  Same with W.  No, they aren't the brightest bulbs in the box, but do we really need to say that they're broken?  Anyway, I'd like to see Ron Paul and Pete Wilson make bids ITTL.  It would be neat to see a president Pete Wilson TL.
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Drink Too Much:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=147022.0

Skyrim now, Skyrim tomorrow, Morrowind Forever!

An Empire of Stars and Stripes:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=156974.0

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Endorsements:
Governor: Brown (CA), Corbett (PA), Scott (FL)
House: Emken (CA)
Other: Rob McCoy (CA Assembly)
retromike22
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« Reply #53 on: June 02, 2012, 12:42:24 am »
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August 19, 1991: Phil Gramm Wins Ames Straw Poll, Quayle Third.
Senator Phil Gramm of Texas has won the Ames Straw Poll, with 30% of the vote. Second is Senator Bob Dole with 25%. Senator Dan Quayle, who had hoped to win the poll or at least come in second, has placed third. This is widely believed to be due to last week’s potato gaffe. Although Senator Quayle has very high name recognition, he also has the highest negatives of the candidates running.

Ames Straw Poll Results:
Phil Gramm 30%
Bob Dole 25%
Dan Quayle 16%
Lamar Alexander 14%
Richard Lugar 8%
Pete Wilson 7%

August 21, 1991: Pete Wilson Drops Out, Endorses Dole.
Following a last place finish in the Ames Straw Poll, Governor Pete Wilson of California has dropped out of the race for President and has endorsed Bob Dole.

August 24, 1991: President Dukakis Opposes NAFTA Proposal.
President Dukakis has stated that he opposes the North American Free Trade Agreement, stating that it will lead to the loss of American manufacturing jobs. “With the economy beginning to rebound, the NAFTA proposal is the wrong idea at the wrong time” says President Dukakis. A majority of Democrats agree with his stance, but in contrast several conservative Democrats and almost all Republicans support the NAFTA proposal.

August 25, 1991: National Poll: Dole Leads but Gramm Rising.
Senator Bob Dole is still leading the nomination for President, but Senator Phil Gramm has risen to second. Senator Quayle is now tied for third with former Governor of Tennessee Lamar Alexander.

Bob Dole 30
Phil Gramm 25
Dan Quayle 10
Lamar Alexander 10
Richard Lugar 5
Undecided: 20

September 10, 1991. Majority Leader Gray Will Not Resign From Congress.
Majority Leader William Gray has declined to resign in order to become the President of the United Negro College Fund. In real life, he did resign.

September 23, 1991: Ruth Bader Ginsburg Confirmed to the Supreme Court.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg has been confirmed by the Senate to become the next Supreme Court Justice.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 01:14:02 am by retromike22 »Logged
Jerseyrules
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« Reply #54 on: June 02, 2012, 03:13:13 pm »
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Gramm / Wilson 92!
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Drink Too Much:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=147022.0

Skyrim now, Skyrim tomorrow, Morrowind Forever!

An Empire of Stars and Stripes:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=156974.0

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Endorsements:
Governor: Brown (CA), Corbett (PA), Scott (FL)
House: Emken (CA)
Other: Rob McCoy (CA Assembly)
#Ready4Nixon
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« Reply #55 on: June 02, 2012, 03:59:51 pm »
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Whoa! Haven't read all of the last update (great stuff, btw), but I noticed Dole lost the Ames Straw Poll. Given Iowa was supposed to be "his state"--he'd won it in '88 and was from a nearby state--how is the Dole camp taking this? In OTL, when Ames was tied in '96, the Doles were getting nervous and saying how even a tie was a loss and a symbol of weakness in the state they should've done well in. How's it going in the TTL Dole campaign?

Also, I'm with Quayle on "potatoe". Form what I know, he for one only spelled it wrong due to it being spelled that way on the card and later said "I thought it looked odd, but I decided to go with what it said." and for two, probably wouldn't have been in a position to misspell "potatoe" if he weren't already VP.

As well, in OTL, Ron Paul was planning a run for President in '92, but backed out when Buchanan entered. Is he considering one in this? And did Buchanan consider entering?

Great work so far!
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retromike22
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« Reply #56 on: June 05, 2012, 11:52:03 pm »
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September 28, 1991: Majority Disapprove of President Dukakis.
In the latest sign of bad news for the President, his approval rating has declined to 42 percent, and his disapproval among Americans is now 52 percent. It is clear that the President and the Democratic Congress have become irreversibly linked, and his attempts to boost Congress’ favorability with favorable legislation is not working.

Do you approve of President Dukakis?
Disapprove 52
Approve 42

October 1, 1991: Head to Head Polls Show Dole Best Against Dukakis, Quayle Worst.

Dole 50
Dukakis 42
Undecided 8

Dukakis 46
Gramm 46
Undecided 8

Dukakis 48
Quayle 44
Undecided 8

Dukakis 46
Alexander 46
Undecided 8

October 2, 1991: President Dukakis Vetoes Welfare Reform Act.
President Dukakis has vetoed a bill that was passed by Congress that would strongly reform welfare. The bill would add a workforce development component to welfare legislation, encouraging employment among the poor. The President stated “This bill would end or reduce help for millions of Americans who need it the most. I cannot abandon them now, when we need all the help we can get in bringing our economy back to life.” Senator Bob Dole has stated “This is a President who does not care if you do not work; he wants you to be dependent on the government forever.” Despite its Republican origins, the bill was able to pass Congress due to its crossover support by conservative Democrats. Discussions will begin on a bill that can either gain the President’s approval or gain a veto-proof majority.

October 4, 1991: Former Governor of California Jerry Brown Announces Run for President!
Former Governor of California Jerry Brown has announced that he will run for President, challenging President Dukakis in next year’s primaries. Governor Brown stated, “I will take back America from the confederacy of corruption, careerism, and campaign consulting in Washington." In his speech, Governor Brown clearly tapped into a populist streak in the Democratic Party. He told listeners that he would only be accepting campaign contributions from individuals and that he would accept no contribution over $100. He also is calling for term limits for members of Congress and is promising to put an end to Congress being a "Stop-and-Shop for the moneyed special interests". This is the second time Governor Jerry Brown has challenged an incumbent Democratic President. The first time was in 1980 against Jimmy Carter, and many in the media are noticing a parallel between Carter’s situation in 1979 and Dukakis today in 1991.

October 5, 1991: Rumors that Other Democrats may Challenge Dukakis.
After the bombshell news of former Governor Jerry Brown’s entrance into the presidential race, there are rumors that other Democrats may challenge President Dukakis in the Democratic primaries of next year. Owing to the strong anti-Congress mood that is in the nation, all the attention is focused on current governors. There appears to be two groups, the first is those who believe that the President is sufficiently liberal but too lenient on corruption. In this group are the former Governor of California Jerry Brown, who is already running, and the Governor of New York Mario Cuomo, and the Governor of Maryland William Donald Schaefer. The second group is those who believe the President is simply too liberal to appeal to the electorate next year. This includes the pro-life Governor of Pennsylvania Bob Casey, and the Governor of Arkansas Bill Clinton.

October 6, 1991: Governor of Maryland William Schaefer Will Not Challenge Dukakis.
The Governor of Maryland William Schaefer has released a statement saying that he will not challenge President Dukakis in the primaries next year. “I am a proud supporter of our President and of our party, and any attempt to divide our party will only embolden our opponents.”

October 8, 1991: Democratic Primary Poll Shows Problems for Dukakis.
Despite only one of these candidates openly stating that they will challenge President Dukakis, a national poll has shown that the President does not receive a majority of support from his own party. The President has received 45% in the national poll, with Mario Cuomo receiving 21%, Jerry Brown 14%, Bob Casey 5%, and Bill Clinton 5%.

Michael Dukakis 45
Mario Cuomo 21
Jerry Brown 14
Bob Casey 5
Bill Clinton 5
Undecided 10

October 9, 1991: Calls Grow Louder on Governors to State Their Intentions.
The Fantastic Four, some are calling them, on a bold mission to save the Democratic Party and then the country. Or they are the Horrible Four, on a selfish and dangerous challenge to the incumbent President, when he needs the help of every Democrat come next November. Either way, there is growing pressure on Governors Cuomo, Clinton, and Casey to state whether they will join Governor Brown in his challenge to the President. To Democrats across the country, the three governors' silence is either troubling or stirring.
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#Ready4Nixon
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« Reply #57 on: June 06, 2012, 05:17:42 am »
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Go Jerry!
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retromike22
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« Reply #58 on: June 06, 2012, 09:43:39 pm »
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Sheesh...the 1992 Republican field is awful (through no fault of the author's; it's just there weren't a lot of interesting people in real life to pick from, IMO). For the time line, I was rooting for Pete Wilson. Quayle is the "flashiest" of the crew running I suppose, but also the riskiest. Sen. John Heinze may have been a good pick to run for President (his record is a bit liberal, but that wasn't as damaging in '92 as it would be today). Too bad he died April, 1991.

Awwwwwwwww you spoiled the surprise! Who said Heinz is dead in this TL? He's very much alive and I had it planned that he will be part of a future Republican administration. (I'm not revealing which year in the future, and Heinz will be either President, Vice-President, or in the Cabinet.)  I'll edit a past posting to include a note of him being alive.
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« Reply #59 on: June 06, 2012, 11:37:54 pm »
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October 10, 1991: Governor Mario Cuomo Announces He Will Not Run.
Governor Mario Cuomo of New York has announced that he will not challenge President Dukakis, stating that he “has no desire to seek higher office.”

October 11, 1991: Governor Bill Clinton Declines to Run.
Governor Bill Clinton has stated that he will not challenge President Dukakis next year, depriving the field of a candidate from the South. Privately, Bill Clinton does not want to be seen as contributing to Dukakis’ defeat, and he is doubtful a Democrat can win in 1992 either way.

October 12, 1991: Governor Bob Casey Announces Run for President.
Governor Bob Casey of Pennsylvania has announced that he will run for President. The Governor is pro-life, supportive of gun rights, and supportive of unions.

October 13, 1991: President Dukakis Vetoes New Welfare Reform Act.
Despite the concessions made to many Democrats, the welfare reform act has been vetoed by the President.

October 23, 1991: Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Act Overrides President’s Veto.
The Congress has overridden the President’s Veto of the welfare reform act. It passed the House 300 to 135, with almost 100 of the 232 Democrats supporting it, many of them conservatives and moderates’ aiming to secure their own support, as the bill is popular. It passed in the Senate 68 to 32, also with support from many Democrats. The bill ends welfare as an entitlement program, it requires recipients to begin working after two years of receiving benefits, it placing a lifetime limit of six years on benefits paid by federal funds, it aims to encourage two-parent families and discourage out-of-wedlock births, and it enhances enforcement of child support.

October 24, 1991: Democratic National Poll Shows President Still Under 50%, 1 in 4 Undecided.
President Dukakis is currently at 45% among national Democrats. Former Governor Brown is at 25%, and Governor Casey is at 15%. After the refusal of Governors Cuomo and Clinton to enter the race, the number of undecided has risen to 25%. Many Democratic officials are split over whether to stick with Dukakis and unify next November, or support a new nominee in the hopes that they will have a better chance of winning.

Dukakis 45
Brown 25
Casey 15
Undecided 25

November 1, 1991: Republican National Poll, Dole Leads, Gramm Second, Quayle Falling.
Following a series of more gaffes, including one in which Senator Quayle claimed that there was water and canals on Mars, he has fallen to 4th place nationally. Bob Dole continues to lead, this time with 30%. Senator Gramm is now at 23%, and Governor Alexander has risen to 3rd for the first time this year. It is clear that Governor Alexander is gaining most of his support from former Quayle supporters. In last place, Senator Lugar continues to linger, this time at 8%. Many believe Senator Lugar is too moderate to run as President, and he has decided to ignore the Iowa caucuses and focus on New Hampshire.
Bob Dole 30
Phil Gramm 23
Lamar Alexander 14
Dan Quayle 10
Richard Lugar 8
Undecided: 15
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 01:14:50 am by retromike22 »Logged
tmthforu94
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« Reply #60 on: June 06, 2012, 11:51:41 pm »
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Just a nitpick:

In 1992, Lugar would have been considered a conservative. After all, he voted more with Reagan than any other Senator. Most of his moderate tendancies have come in the 21st century.
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« Reply #61 on: June 07, 2012, 04:25:41 pm »
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Go Gramm!
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Drink Too Much:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=147022.0

Skyrim now, Skyrim tomorrow, Morrowind Forever!

An Empire of Stars and Stripes:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=156974.0

Quote
FOOL!  I AM Cathcon!

Endorsements:
Governor: Brown (CA), Corbett (PA), Scott (FL)
House: Emken (CA)
Other: Rob McCoy (CA Assembly)
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« Reply #62 on: June 08, 2012, 04:59:52 pm »
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Love this TL! Any idea how far you'll take it, like all the way to present day?
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"...the media helped tip the scales. I didn't think the coverage in 2008 was especially fair..."

- Jake Tapper, Senior White House Correspondent for ABC News

"The media is very susceptible to doing what the Obama campaign wants."

 - Mark Halperin, author of 2008's 'Game Change.'
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« Reply #63 on: June 08, 2012, 06:53:42 pm »
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Love this TL! Any idea how far you'll take it, like all the way to present day?
I have it rough drafted until 2000, and some notes up until 2008. The big events like elections are easy, but it's really hard to invent some type of political event that happens each month, especially legislation for this timeline. Its a lot of fun writing it, I get to do something with my bachelor's in political science I got last December since I can't find a job with it haha.
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« Reply #64 on: June 08, 2012, 07:06:42 pm »
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I have a ba in poli sci as well, and am in law school for that exact same reason!

Plus, very glad to know we have a lot to look forward to with this story.
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"...the media helped tip the scales. I didn't think the coverage in 2008 was especially fair..."

- Jake Tapper, Senior White House Correspondent for ABC News

"The media is very susceptible to doing what the Obama campaign wants."

 - Mark Halperin, author of 2008's 'Game Change.'
retromike22
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« Reply #65 on: June 15, 2012, 01:25:20 am »
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December 4, 1991 Republican Iowa Poll Shows Alexander Gaining, Quayle Could Come in Last.
Current polling in Iowa has Senator Gramm continuing to lead Dole by single digits. However, Governor Alexander is on the rise, and could siphon off enough votes to give Dole a surprise victory.
Phil Gramm 28%
Bob Dole 22%
Lamar Alexander 17%
Dan Quayle 13%
Richard Lugar 10%
Undecided: 10

December 5, 1991: Democratic Iowa Poll Shows Brown Narrowly Ahead.
An average of recent polls has shown that former Governor of California Jerry Brown has a slight lead in Iowa. President Dukakis is polling at 32 percent and Governor Casey of Pennsylvania is in the double digits with 18 percent. Some representatives are calling for the President to decline a run for a second term if he loses badly in Iowa or New Hampshire.
Brown 35
Dukakis 32
Casey 18
Undecided 15

December 6, 1991: Republican New Hampshire Poll Has Dole Ahead, but Lugar Strong.
Senator Bob Dole has a strong lead in New Hampshire, but Senator Lugar has risen up to 2nd place. It is clear that by focusing on New Hampshire, Senator Lugar has gained support, but it is unclear whether that can turn into a surprise victory in February.
Bob Dole 35
Dick Lugar 20
Dan Quayle 18
Phil Gramm 12
Lamar Alexander 5
Undecided: 10%

December 7, 1991: Dukakis Leads in New Hampshire.
President Dukakis has a strong lead in New Hampshire, which neighbors his home state and the President has visited several times. The President’s campaign is planning to create New Hampshire as a back-up in case they lose in Iowa.

Dukakis 52
Brown 18
Casey 15
Undecided 15

December 17, 1991: Soviet Union to End by Next Year.
In a stunning set of events that have shocked the world, Russian President Boris Yeltsin and Soviet President Mikhail S. Gorbachev have agreed to dissolve the Soviet Union by the New Year. The Cold War finally appears to be nearing its end and a new unknown period is ready to emerge.

December 18, 1991: President Declares “No Cold War” with Soviet Union.
President Dukakis has stated that there is no cold war with the Soviet Union, and that any successor state will not be an enemy to the United States. With just a few months before the first caucuses and primaries, the recent focus on foreign events has turned the presidential race upside down.

December 25: 1991: The End of the Soviet Union.
Soviet President Mikhail S. Gorbachev went on television to announce his resignation as the eighth and final leader of a Communist superpower that had already gone out of existence. This effectively ends the cold war.

December 31, 1991: State of Politics at the end of 1991.
At the end of 1991, the dominant Democratic Party is splitting itself apart. After a tough midterm election where they kept control but nevertheless lost many seats, the liberal wing of the party has lost control of Congress. What controls Congress now is a coalition of moderate and conservative Democrats aligned with moderate Republicans and occasionally conservative Republicans. The Democratic Party brand is still heavily damaged, and the phrase “corruption” still surrounds them. Ironically, the large amount of legislation that has been signed into law, including the universal health care bill, is moderately popular. It is an unusual situation where the policies are approved of, but not the politicians who created them.

In the Republican race for the President, only one thing is constant. Senator Bob Dole is a weak frontrunner. Most believe that Dole has the easiest chance to beat Dukakis, but many wonder, what kind of Republican would he be? He is popular with moderates and independents but lacks the conservative backing that has gone to his two challengers, Senator Gramm and Governor Alexander. Senator Quayle, far from being the frontrunner he expected to be, has had the greatest collapse. Senator Lugar is hoping for a miracle in New Hampshire.

President Dukakis has a majority of the public who disapprove of him, and does not even have a majority of support from Democrats nationwide. The President is too liberal, too ineffective, too lenient on corruption, or simply just too out of touch. With welfare reform he sparked a fight with Congress (which was controlled by his own party), and lost. Governor Brown has ignited a movement on the left which is clear in his numbers in Iowa, but so many are comparing this to Kennedy vs. Carter, in which Carter was left bruised and strongly defeated by Reagan. Governor Casey is simply running to Dukakis’ right, painting the President as too far left to unite the country.

Unemployment is still higher than it should be, and the economy is stagnant but still improving. For months the question was “will it improve in time by next November?” But with the end of the Soviet Union, so much seems to have changed. The Cold War is over, and the United States is the sole superpower. It was what many Americans wished for decades, and with the United States avoiding a war in Panama and Iraq, the world seems to be getting in order. Already the President’s campaign has started advertisements and commercials touting Dukakis as the President who “defeated the Soviet Union,” and who “brought peace and stability to the world.” It is a remarkably impressive foreign polciy, but the message from America appears to be: “What about us?”

January 1, 1992: After Soviet Union’s fall, an Uptick in Support for President Dukakis.
Following the final end of the Soviet Union, the President’s Approval rating is now 46%, with disapproval 42%. It is the first time in months that his approval is higher than his disapproval. This comes just one month before the Iowa Caucus.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 01:15:53 am by retromike22 »Logged
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« Reply #66 on: June 15, 2012, 01:53:17 pm »
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For the Dems I'd like a strong showing for both Brown and Casey, and I guess on the other end I'd be rooting for either Dole or Gramm.
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« Reply #67 on: June 17, 2012, 06:41:51 pm »
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Go Gramm!
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Drink Too Much:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=147022.0

Skyrim now, Skyrim tomorrow, Morrowind Forever!

An Empire of Stars and Stripes:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=156974.0

Quote
FOOL!  I AM Cathcon!

Endorsements:
Governor: Brown (CA), Corbett (PA), Scott (FL)
House: Emken (CA)
Other: Rob McCoy (CA Assembly)
retromike22
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« Reply #68 on: June 23, 2012, 09:51:22 pm »
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January 20, 1992: National Republican Poll Has Dole Slightly Ahead of Gramm.
Just a few weeks before the Iowa Caucus, a national poll has Senator Dole narrowly ahead of Senator Gramm. Governor Alexander is on the rise and Senator Quayle has fallen to single digits and is tied with Senator Lugar.
Bob Dole 30
Phil Gramm 26
Lamar Alexander 18
Dan Quayle 8
Richard Lugar 8
Undecided: 10

January 21, 1992: National Democratic Poll Has Dukakis With a Majority.
A national poll has shown that President Dukakis has regained the majority of Democrats nationally. The recent collapse of the Soviet Union and the administration’s advertising on television and campaigning with popular surrogates have improved the President’s image.
Dukakis 55
Casey 20
Brown 15
Undecided 10

January 28, 1992: In State of the Union Address, President Dukakis Announces End of Cold War, Further Cuts in Defense, Expansion of Medicare to Children, and High Speed Rail System.
President Dukakis has shown his determination to double down on his previous achievements and to advance further liberal causes. “Together we need to show America that we are working as hard as they are,” stated the President. The response by Congressional Democrats was supportive but not overly enthusiastic. Most of his proposals have a majority of support with Democrats, but they are cautious over how the President will intend to work with them and not challenge them. The Republican Response was by Minority Whip Dick Cheney, who stated: “The President has decided that he and the Democrats have not gone far enough with their liberal agenda. They want to control your lives, simply because they do not believe you have the ability to help yourself. But the Republican Party believes in you. We believe you should control of your own life and not corrupt government bureaucrats.” The Minority Whip’s response wins praise, at it links the President with the unpopular Congress, always referring them to “they” and recommending the Republican Party as a new direction for America.

February 9, 1992: Iowa Poll has Three Way Tie between Dole, Gramm, and Alexander.
On the eve of the Iowa Caucus, the last poll has a tie between Dole, Gramm, and Alexander. Alexander’s rise comes at the last week and is of concern to Gramm’s campaign. Many believe that Alexander and Gramm may both gain such an equal number of votes that may cause Dole to win. Senator Quayle is hoping for a miracle and many believe that he must come in at least in third place. Senator Lugar is focused on New Hampshire and won’t even be in Iowa.

Lamar Alexander 24
Phil Gramm 24
Bob Dole 24
Dan Quayle 17
Richard Lugar 6
Undecided: 5

February 9, 1992: Dukakis Expected to Win Iowa Caucus.

President Dukakis is now strongly ahead with Iowa Democrats, and is expected to easily win tomorrow’s caucuses. Enough of Brown’s support has gone back to the President, and Governor Casey has risen to 22%. It is possible that Dukakis may not secure as majority, and this could be a serious blunder for the President.
Dukakis 48
Brown 25
Casey 22
Undecided 5
« Last Edit: July 28, 2012, 07:12:52 pm by retromike22 »Logged
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« Reply #69 on: June 23, 2012, 09:58:51 pm »
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Go Dole, Gramm, Brown, & Casey!
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« Reply #70 on: June 23, 2012, 10:26:29 pm »
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February 10 Senator Phil Gramm Wins Iowa Caucus! Alexander Second and Dole Third.


Phil Gramm 30%
Lamar Alexander 26%
Bob Dole 24%
Dan Quayle 16%
Richard Lugar 4%

Senator Phil Gramm has narrowly won the Iowa Caucus with 30%. Governor Lamar Alexander has pulled a small upset by placing second. It appears as though the conservatives really came out for both Alexander and Gramm, giving both a minor but necessary boost over Dole. This is clearly the worst case scenario for the Dole campaign, who had hoped a win here would end the primaries early. Following a fourth place showing, Senator Dan Quayle in his speech has stated that he will not drop out and will continue on to New Hampshire. Senator Richard Lugar is hopeful that Dole’s third place showing will lower enough support to give Lugar a win in New Hampshire.

February 10, 1992: Dukakis Wins Iowa Caucus, but without a Majority.


President Dukakis has won the Iowa Caucus with 48% of the vote, failing to achieve a majority. Governor Brown has placed 2nd, with 27% and Governor Casey almost pulled off an upset with 25%. Both Governors stated in their speeches that they will continue their campaigns.
Dukakis 48
Brown 27
Casey 25

February 13, 1992: President Holds Bare Majority Nationally.
Following his inability to gain a majority with Iowa Democrats, a similar event is occurring nationally. President Dukakis holds 50% nationally, and both Governors Casey and Brown hold 20%. Governor Brown is continuing his message that the President is ineffective and tied too closely with corruption, and offers a liberal alternative. Governor Casey is attacking the President from the center, claiming that the President is too socially liberal for America, and so unable to win in November.

Dukakis 50
Casey 20
Brown 20
Undecided 10

February 14, 1992: Gramm Seizes Lead Nationally.
Following his win in Iowa, Senator Gramm now leads Senator Dole by 5 points. Governor Alexander has risen to 20%, and Senator Quayle has collapsed to last, losing most of his support.
Phil Gramm 35
Bob Dole 30
Lamar Alexander 20
Richard Lugar 6
Dan Quayle 4
Undecided: 5

February 16, 1992: Dole Still Leads in New Hampshire.
Senator Dole continues to lead in New Hampshire, and his campaign is desperately hoping for a big win in the state. Senator Lugar is hoping that he can pull off an upset and beat Dole, but more realistically, they hope to make it a close race. Senator Gramm is riding the media storm and hoping that he can do will enough to show that he isn’t a one-state-wonder. Governor Alexander has decided to pass on the New Hampshire primary and will be in Nevada campaigning for their February 29th caucus. Senator Quayle’s campaign is in shambles and is hoping again for another miracle.

Bob Dole 32
Richard Lugar 24
Phil Gramm 21
Lamar Alexander 13
Dan Quayle 5
Undecided: 5

February 17, 1992: Dukakis Leads in New Hampshire.
In contrast to Iowa, President Dukakis has always had strong support in New Hampshire, which neighbors his home state of Massachusetts. Governors Brown and Casey continue to campaign in New Hampshire nonetheless.

Dukakis 57
Brown 18
Casey 15
Undecided 10
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 01:17:11 am by retromike22 »Logged
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« Reply #71 on: June 24, 2012, 01:37:46 pm »
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Great update!
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« Reply #72 on: July 01, 2012, 04:35:24 pm »
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February 18, 1992: Bob Dole Wins New Hampshire Primary!
Senator Bob Dole has won the New Hampshire Primary with 35% of the vote, a ten point win over the surprise second place winner, Senator Gramm, who earned 25%. Senator Lugar has fallen short of his goal an placed 3rd. Governor Alexander, who is campaigning in Nevada, has placed 4th. Senator Quayle has placed a disappointing last with only 4% of the vote.

Bob Dole 35
Phil Gramm 25
Richard Lugar 24
Lamar Alexander 12
Dan Quayle 4

February 18, 1992: President Dukakis Wins New Hampshire Primary!
President Dukakis has won the New Hampshire Primary with 63%, a large landslide win over his two primary rivals, Governors Brown and Casey.
Dukakis 63
Brown 20
Casey 17

February 21, 1992: Senators Lugar and Quayle Drop out, Endorse Dole.
Following lackluster performances in the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary, both Senators Lugar and Quayle have dropped out of the race for President, and have endorsed Senator Dole for President. It is now a three way battle, between the establishments’ Minority Leader Bob Dole and the two conservatives from the South: Senator Phil Gramm and Governor Lamar Alexander.

February 22, 1992: Dukakis Has Majority, But Casey Gaining.

President Dukakis continues to have the support of the majority of Democrats, but many conservative Democrats are beginning to coalesce around Governor Casey, the pro-life Governor of Pennsylvania. Casey’s campaign is hoping that the governor will be able to win several primaries in regions where Dukakis has the least amount of support, specifically the South and Rust Belt. Governor Brown has focused on a strongly progressive agenda, hoping to compete with Dukakis in the Northeast, Illinois, and California. Brown is also beginning to meet and campaign with Hispanic-American organizations, hoping to gain major support from them in the southwest.

Dukakis 55
Casey 25
Brown 15
Undecided 5

February 23, 1992: Dole Leads Nationally by 10 Points.
Bob Dole has retaken the lead nationally with 40%, after his strong win in New Hampshire and the exit of Senators Lugar and Quayle. Senator Gramm is second with 30% and Governor Alexander is 3rd with 25%. Many on the right are calling for either Senator Gramm or Governor Alexander to drop out, which would allow the other to defeat Dole, but neither is agreeing to do this.

Bob Dole 40
Phil Gramm 30
Lamar Alexander 25
Undecided 5
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 01:17:53 am by retromike22 »Logged
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« Reply #73 on: July 01, 2012, 05:25:53 pm »
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February 20, 1992: President Says NAFTA Proposal Must Protect American Workers.
President Dukakis today stated that the proposed North American Free Trade Agreement must have more protections for American workers, and that the plan overall is risky now at a time where unemployment is still not low.

February 23, 1992: President Dukakis and Senator Dole win Maine caucuses.
President Dukakis and Senator Dole have won the Maine caucuses, defeating their rivals by a large margin. No candidate was in the state though, leaving it to surrogates to campaign for them. The demographics of the state were clearly in favor of Dole and Dukakis, and what all campaigns are gearing for is the next states which are in less favorable territory. The next states: On February 25, South Dakota primary, on February 29, the Nevada Republican Caucuses, and on March 2, the Alaska Republican Caucuses. All campaigns are preparing for the first Super Tuesday, March 3rd.  On that day, there are the Colorado primary, Georgia primary, Idaho Democratic caucuses, Maryland primary, Minnesota Democratic caucuses, Utah Democratic caucuses, Washington Democratic caucuses.

Results from Maine:

Dukakis 66
Brown 20
Casey 14

Dole 62
Gramm 20
Alexander 18

February 25, 1992: Casey, Gramm Win South Dakota Primary!
In a result that some in the White House has feared, Governor Casey has won the South Dakota primary, defeating the incumbent President in a primary or caucus for the first time.

Casey 44
Dukakis 40
Brown 16

Senator Gramm has won the South Dakota Primary and confirming his position as Dole’s main conservative challenger. In a few days, the Nevada Caucus will take place, and since Governor Alexander has heavily campaigned in Nevada, it is seen as his last chance to win an early state.

Gramm 40
Dole 34
Alexander 26

February 29, 1992: Governor Alexander Wins Nevada Republican Caucus!
Governor Alexander has narrowly won the Nevada caucus, rewarding him after he has spent weeks campaigning and advertising. Senators Dole and Gramm, along with Alexander, were all within 10 points of each other and they are spinning the result as a tie.

Alexander 36
Dole 33
Gramm 31

March 2, 1992: Governor Alexander wins Alaska Republican caucuses.
Continuing his good week, Governor Alexander has won the Alaska caucuses. It is becoming evident that Alexander has appealed to the western U.S., possibly due to the sense that his campaign is positioning itself as more libertarian than Gramm or Dole.

Alexander 37
Dole 32
Gramm 31

March 2, 1992: State of the Primaries before Super Tuesday:
After his win in South Dakota, many Democrats fear that Governor Casey will be able to win at least several primaries due to his pro-life beliefs and moderate positions. Governor Brown has strong support with the far-left, the youth, and is gaining support among Hispanics and African Americans. His campaign has plainly stated that his base of support comes from the voters of “Jesse Jackson + JFK.” Whether this is enough to win any primary is too early to tell. The incumbent President Dukakis, who early on had decided on an “above the fray” campaign, is now being challenged by Brown and Casey to debate on television. Dukakis’ support comes from the Northeast, the upper Midwest, and unless Brown catches on, the West Coast. He also has strong support in Florida. Interestingly, he appears to have the strongest support in states that are most Democratic. It is the swing states and strongly Republican states that Casey has the advantage. Governor Brown is hoping to expand his support from California to other western states, and is also competing with Dukakis in the liberal states which have large African American populations.

Red: Dukakis
Brown: Casey


In the Republican primaries and caucuses, there is a general sense of chaos. Bob Dole is clearly the establishment candidate, but he has only won 2 out of the 6 last contests, both of which are in the far northeast of the country. His main conservative challenger appeared to be Senator Gramm, who won Iowa and South Dakota, but the recent wins in Nevada and Alaska by Governor Alexander seem to challenge that statement. Geography appears to be destiny in the upcoming states.

Red: Gramm
Blue: Dole
Green: Alexander

Taking place tomorrow are the Colorado primary, Georgia primary, Idaho Democratic caucuses, Maryland primary, Minnesota Democratic caucuses, Utah Democratic caucuses, Washington Democratic caucuses.

Democratic Races, Polls, and Analysis:
Colorado: TIE
This state is currently a tie, as it has ample amounts of establishment Democrats favorable to Dukakis, western and conservative Democrats favorable to Casey, and liberal and Hispanic Democrats favorable to Brown.

Dukakis 36
Casey 34
Brown 30
Undecided 5

Georgia: LEAN CASEY
Georgia is right in the Deep South, one of Dukakis’ least favorable areas, and Casey has a small lead in the polls here.

Casey 44
Dukakis 36
Brown 15
Undecided 5

Idaho: STRONG CASEY
This state is as conservative Democrat as you can get, and is expected to go for Governor Casey.

Casey 46
Dukakis 35
Brown 14
Undecided 5

Maryland: TIE
This is probably Governor Brown’s best chance for a win, as it has a high liberal and African American population.

Dukakis 42
Brown 38
Casey 15
Undecided 5

Minnesota: STRONG DUKAKIS
Dukakis has strong support in the upper Midwest, and is expected to win Minnesota easily.

Dukakis 51
Casey 26
Brown 18
Undecided 5

Utah: STRONG CASEY
Utah is another state with lots of conservative Democrats favorable to Casey.

Casey 47
Dukakis 32
Brown 16
Undecided 5

Washington: STRONG DUKAKIS
Washington is strongly for Dukakis; Brown has not caught on here despite it being a Western state.

Dukakis 50
Brown 27
Casey 18
Undecided 5

Here is the summary:
STRONG DUKAKIS: Minnesota, Washington.
TIE: Colorado, Maryland
LEAN CASEY: Georgia
STRONG CASEY: Idaho, Utah.

Republican Race, Polls, and Analysis:

Colorado: TIE
Colorado, as with the Democrats, is heavily balanced between all groups of Republicans. There is a slight advantage with the Christian right and libertarians and it is entirely possible that Dole could come in third.

Gramm 34
Alexander 33
Dole 28
Undecided 5

Georgia: STRONG GRAMM
This state is custom made for the southern Senator Gramm, who seems to have accentuated his “Southerness” more than former Tennessee Governor Alexander.

Gramm 45
Dole 32
Alexander 18
Undecided 5

Maryland: STRONG DOLE
Plenty of moderate Republicans to help out Dole here.

Dole 56
Gramm 20
Alexander 19
Undecided 5

Summary:
TIE: Colorado
STRONG GRAMM: Georgia
STRONG DOLE: Maryland

National Polls before Super Tuesday:

Dukakis 45
Casey 30
Brown 20
Undecided 5

Dole 35
Gramm 30
Alexander 30
Undecided 5
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 01:19:18 am by retromike22 »Logged
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« Reply #74 on: July 01, 2012, 05:44:38 pm »
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March 3, 1992: Super Tuesday for the Democrats: Dukakis wins 3, Casey wins 3, and Brown wins 1.
President Dukakis has won the states of Maryland, Minnesota and Washington. Governor Casey has won the states of Idaho, Georgia, and Utah. And Governor Brown has won his first state, the state of Colorado. Governor Brown’s campaign is surprised that they won Colorado instead of Maryland, and his western appeal may be greater than his appeal among African Americans.

Results:

Colorado:
Brown 36
Dukakis 34
Casey 30

Georgia:
Casey 51
Dukakis 36
Brown 13

Idaho:
Casey 52
Dukakis 33
Brown 14

Maryland:
Dukakis 45
Brown 40
Casey 15

Minnesota:
Dukakis 53
Casey 27
Brown 20

Utah:
Casey 54
Dukakis 30
Brown 16

Washington:
Dukakis 52
Brown 29
Casey 19

States won so far:
Dukakis: Red
Casey: Blue
Brown: Green



March 3, 1992: Super Tuesday for the Republicans: 1 Win Each for Alexander, Gramm and Dole.
The Three Candidates have each won a state, with Alexander winning Colorado, Gramm winning Georgia, and Dole winning Maryland.

Colorado:
Alexander 37
Gramm 35
Dole 28

Georgia:
Gramm 47
Dole 32
Alexander 21

Maryland:
Dole 60
Gramm 21
Alexander 19

States won so far:
Gramm: Red
Dole: Blue
Alexander: Green:


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