France 2012: Official Results Thread
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  France 2012: Official Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 144434 times)
Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #350 on: April 22, 2012, 10:29:55 PM »

Damn it, Cheminade doesn't gives voting instructions.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #351 on: April 22, 2012, 11:08:10 PM »

So what are Sarkozy's odds of survival? Maybe 1/5 or something like that?
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Meeker
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« Reply #352 on: April 22, 2012, 11:18:42 PM »

He hasn't led Hollande in a poll since late 2009. Put a fork in him.
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redcommander
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« Reply #353 on: April 23, 2012, 02:15:27 AM »

I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #354 on: April 23, 2012, 02:19:46 AM »

I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

...

...I genuinely pity you.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #355 on: April 23, 2012, 02:57:37 AM »

I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

Well, I'm sorry to break this to you but Sarkozy and his conservative brethren have screwed it royally here in Europe.
Payback is a bitch.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #356 on: April 23, 2012, 03:15:43 AM »

I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

Don't worry, Sarkozy still has a good chance to pull this out in round 2, no matter what the polls say right now.
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redcommander
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« Reply #357 on: April 23, 2012, 03:32:36 AM »

I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

Don't worry, Sarkozy still has a good chance to pull this out in round 2, no matter what the polls say right now.

Are you being serious or sarcastic?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #358 on: April 23, 2012, 03:37:58 AM »

I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

Don't worry, Sarkozy still has a good chance to pull this out in round 2, no matter what the polls say right now.

Are you being serious or sarcastic?

Serious.
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Franzl
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« Reply #359 on: April 23, 2012, 03:44:06 AM »

What could really change the direction of this election? Strong debate performance? As much as I'd prefer to see Sarkozy re-elected, I don't see why he'd convince voters in these final two weeks of why they should give him another chance.
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redcommander
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« Reply #360 on: April 23, 2012, 03:48:01 AM »

What could really change the direction of this election? Strong debate performance? As much as I'd prefer to see Sarkozy re-elected, I don't see why he'd convince voters in these final two weeks of why they should give him another chance.

Maybe there's some scandal with Hollande that no one knows about yet?
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Franzl
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« Reply #361 on: April 23, 2012, 03:51:31 AM »

What could really change the direction of this election? Strong debate performance? As much as I'd prefer to see Sarkozy re-elected, I don't see why he'd convince voters in these final two weeks of why they should give him another chance.

Maybe there's some scandal with Hollande that no one knows about yet?

Yeah, or aliens might rig the election. Guess we shouldn't give up hope. Who knows, right?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #362 on: April 23, 2012, 04:02:09 AM »

So what are Sarkozy's odds of survival? Maybe 1/5 or something like that?

More like 1/20, to be objective. He would have to pick 4 points in two weeks.
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politicus
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« Reply #363 on: April 23, 2012, 06:16:07 AM »


It's funny that they keep around some communes that no one lives in any more.

Ah well, yeah, you can find some with about 15 people here and there...

There are those too, in addition to the ones that literally have no one.
So if you moved there, you could be your own mayor?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #364 on: April 23, 2012, 06:18:49 AM »

So what are Sarkozy's odds of survival? Maybe 1/5 or something like that?

1%.  And I'm being generous there just because the PS is guaranteed to take the wrong strategy to winning, i.e. let's run to not lose, which is the only way of losing.  A competent party and candidate would be 100% assured of election in this type of "Mickey Mouse" struggle.

I'm tempted to also say that the PS chances in 2017 are somewhere around 1% also, but that is unnecessary dick-waving.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #365 on: April 23, 2012, 06:28:46 AM »

Btw, I thought Melenchon's speech yesterday struck most of the right notes from the perspective of getting rid of Sarkozy. 'Fight without asking anything in return, only the privilege of being able to fight.' That attitude should probably guarantee a quite easy transfer of support towards Hollande.
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danny
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« Reply #366 on: April 23, 2012, 07:34:13 AM »

Results in Israel (7,196 total votes):

Sarkozy: 82.74%
Hollande: 7.62%
MLP: 3.99%
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #367 on: April 23, 2012, 09:20:20 AM »

Results in Israel (7,196 total votes):

Sarkozy: 82.74%
Hollande: 7.62%
MLP: 3.99%

Who would those voters be? Mostly French Jews living in Israel but not (yet) naturalized, or just the usual expat population? Those numbers make me sort of suspect the former.
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Hash
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« Reply #368 on: April 23, 2012, 09:45:36 AM »

Results by (new) constituency



It's a real pity I have an exam tomorrow (in macroeconomics, no less) and that I start work on April 30, but I'll try to have some stats up soon. In any case, Geoclip's greatness will allow me to be lazy and steal their maps.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #369 on: April 23, 2012, 10:15:36 AM »

I've heard it said that Panzergirl's voters are considered most likely to sit out the second round. How much to this is there?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #370 on: April 23, 2012, 10:18:48 AM »

Where can you see how the Austrian French people voted ?
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #371 on: April 23, 2012, 10:23:20 AM »

Where can you see how the Austrian French people voted ?

For that matter, where can you find out how other countries voted?
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #372 on: April 23, 2012, 11:01:45 AM »

More maps!

Daddy's Girl compared to Daddy in 2002 (about +1.04% nationally)



Marchais' Imitation compared to the Garden Dwarf in 1995 (+2.38% nationally)



Next up: Poison Dwarf in 2007 and 2012.
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politicus
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« Reply #373 on: April 23, 2012, 11:06:28 AM »

Anybody got some info on the areas where Panzergirl did worse than Daddy? What is the likely explanation?
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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« Reply #374 on: April 23, 2012, 11:09:09 AM »

Is there a link to the constituency results?
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