France 2012: Official Results Thread
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Hashemite
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« Reply #475 on: April 27, 2012, 07:21:52 PM »

Ifop poll breaking down results by news media consumption habits. Pretty interesting, if conforming to the stereotypes...

Evening news
20h TF1: Sarko 38, Marion 27, Hollande 17, Bayrou 7, Melenchon 6
20h France2: Hollande 36, Sarko 24, Marion 12, Melenchon 12, Bayrou 11, Joly 2
19-20 France3: Hollande 31, Marion 22, Sarko 17, Melenchon 14, Bayrou 9, Joly 4
Grand Journal: Hollande 38, Sarko 20, Melenchon 14, Bayrou 11, Marion 9, Joly 5
19h45 M6: Marion 25, Sarko 25, Hollande 22, Melenchon 12, Bayrou 8, Poutou 3
24h news channels: Sarko 30, Hollande 30, Marion 17, Melenchon 12, Bayrou 6
Don't watch: Hollande 30, Sarko 19, Marion 14, Melenchon 14, Bayrou 13, Joly 5

Radio:
RTL: Sarko 42, Marion 20, Hollande 20, Bayrou 9, Melenchon 7
Europe1: Sarko 36, Hollande 27, Marion 11, Bayrou 11, Melenchon 9
France Inter: Hollande 48, Melenchon 17, Sarko 13, Bayrou 8, Marion 6, Joly 5
France info: Hollande 31, Sarko 25, Marion 14, Melenchon 13, Bayrou 10, Joly 3
RMC: Hollande 26, Marion 24, Sarko 23, Melenchon 12, Bayrou 9
France Bleue: Sarko 26, Hollande 23, Marion 22, Melenchon 12, Bayrou 9
NRJ: Marion 33, Hollande 27, Sarko 17, Melenchon 11, Bayrou 6, NDA 3
BFM radio: Sarko 36, Hollande 24, Marion 15, Bayrou 12, Melenchon 7
Don't listen to radio: Hollande 29, Sarko 25, Marion 20, Melenchon 11, Bayrou 9, Joly 3

Newspaper
Regional daily: Hollande 31, Sarko 29, Marion 17, Melenchon 10, Bayrou 10
Le Monde: Hollande 45, Sarko 21, Melenchon 13, Bayrou 8, Marion 7, Joly 5
Le Figaro: Sarko 61, Marion 14, Hollande 12, Bayrou 6, Melenchon 5
Le Parisien etc: Hollande 28, Sarko 26, Marion 17, Melenchon 16, Bayrou 8
Libe: Hollande 59, Melenchon 18, Sarko 9, Marion 5, Joly 4, Bayrou 4
Les Echos: Sarko 50, Hollande 22, Bayrou 11, Marion 8, Melenchon 6, Joly 3
L'Humanite: Melenchon 62, Marion 12, Hollande 11, Arthaud 6, Bayrou 3, Joly 2, Sarko 2
La Croix: Sarko 32, Bayrou 29, Hollande 21, Marion 11, Joly 3, Arthaud 2, Melenchon 2
Free newspaper: Hollande 28, Sakro 25, Le Pen 16, Melenchon 15, Bayrou 9
Don't read newspaper: Sarko 26, Hollande 26, Marion 23, Melenchon 10, Bayrou 9, Joly 3

Magazines/weeklies etc
Le Point: Sarko 51, Hollande 20, Bayrou 11, Marion 10, Melenchon 6
Nouvel Obs: Hollande 52, Melenchon 15, Sarko 14, Marion 8, Bayrou 6, Joly 3
Le Figaro Magazine: Sarko 63, Marion 13, Hollande 10, Bayrou 6, Melenchon 6
Marianne: Hollande 52, Melenchon 19, Marion 10, Bayrou 8, Sarko 7, Joly 2
L'Express: Sarko 41, Hollande 23, Marion 14, Bayrou 9, Melenchon 8
Paris Match: Sarko 43, Marion 20, Hollande 16, Bayrou 9, Melenchon 7
Valeurs Actuelles: Sarko 73, Marion 10, Bayrou 7, Hollande 4, NDA 4, Melenchon 2
Don't read magazines etc: Hollande 27, Sarko 25, Marion 22, Melenchon 9, Bayrou 11

A pity they didn't ask for Point de Vue Sad
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #476 on: April 27, 2012, 07:25:01 PM »

I wonder whom these 12% of voters are who read L'Humanité and vote FN.
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« Reply #477 on: April 27, 2012, 09:03:51 PM »

As promised, the constituency-level maps for the top 5

Flan



Poison Dwarf



Panzergirl



Angry Commie



Bearnese Moron

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #478 on: April 28, 2012, 03:51:43 AM »


Hollande +1.

Raw vote, net. That's about the degree of relevance Giscard still has. Smiley
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #479 on: April 28, 2012, 03:59:18 AM »
« Edited: April 28, 2012, 04:06:47 AM by Minion of Midas »

Hmmm, French voters in Palestine.

Mélenchon 18, Hollande 17, Sarkozy 8, Bayrou 6, Joly 5, Le Pen 0, others 0.

EDIT: And 59% of the French who voted in India live in Pondi. It figures - only place you can get a baguette (and quite easily too; it's been adopted as part of the local cuisine). And they lean far more left than the French elsewhere in India. Again, it figures.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #480 on: April 28, 2012, 05:19:48 AM »
« Edited: April 28, 2012, 05:23:19 AM by Finissons-en ! »

So, basically...

20h France2: Hollande 36, Sarko 24, Marion 12, Melenchon 12, Bayrou 11, Joly 2

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...I'm a living stereotype. Tongue


Great maps ! Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #481 on: April 28, 2012, 05:56:02 AM »

Avignon?!!!

Anyways, a mystery noticed on the night that do need some addressing: does anyone have any idea what the hell happened in Haute-Loire?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #482 on: April 28, 2012, 06:00:03 AM »

You mean the city voting leftish, very unlike its surrounds? Is that a new phenomenon in Avignon; even so it'd be part of a general trend o/c?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #483 on: April 28, 2012, 06:03:26 AM »

I think its always been to the left of its surrounds, but the sore thumb effect is a little startling.
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big bad fab
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« Reply #484 on: April 28, 2012, 10:38:57 AM »

Great maps, Hash !

How "classical" they are in a way...
We aren't in 2007 any longer...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #485 on: April 28, 2012, 11:49:48 AM »

Results for the fifty largest cities in mainland France. Apologies for any errors and inconsistencies, etc:

Paris: Hollande 34.8, Sarkozy 32.2, Mélenchon 11.1, Bayrou 9.3, Le Pen 6.2
Marseille: Hollande 28.1, Sarkozy 26.9, Le Pen 21.2, Mélenchon 13.8, Bayrou 5.5
Lyon: Sarkozy 30.5, Hollande 30.2, Mélenchon 11.8, Bayrou 10.6, Le Pen 9.8
Toulouse: Hollande 34.4, Sarkozy 23.1, Mélenchon 15.9, Le Pen 10.3, Bayrou 9.0
Nice: Sarkozy 34.6, Le Pen 23.0, Hollande 22.4, Mélenchon 9.2, Bayrou 6.3
Nantes: Hollande 31.7, Sarkozy 26.1, Le Pen 12.2, Mélenchon 11.6, Bayrou 11.3
Strasbourg: Hollande 32.1, Sarkozy 27.5, Le Pen 11.9, Mélenchon 11.4, Bayrou 10.4
Montpellier: Hollande 34.9, Sarkozy 21.6, Mélenchon 15.7, Le Pen 13.7, Bayrou 7.4
Bordeaux: Hollande 33.0, Sarkozy 28.7, Mélenchon 12.1, Bayrou 10.9, Le Pen 8.2
Lille: Hollande 35.0, Sarkozy 21.2, Mélenchon 15.4, Le Pen 13.4, Bayrou 8.3
Rennes: Hollande 39.8, Sarkozy 20.9, Mélenchon 13.4, Bayrou 10.5, Le Pen 7.3
Reims: Hollade 30.1, Sarkozy 26.1, Le Pen 18.4, Mélenchon 10.7, Bayrou 9.0
Le Havre: Hollande 30.2, Sarkozy 23.2, Le Pen 17.4, Mélenchon 16.5, Bayrou 7.1
Saint-Étienne: Hollande 32.4, Sarkozy 22.6, Le Pen 17.6, Mélenchon 13.3, Bayrou 8.4
Toulon: Sarkozy 32.2, Le Pen 23.4, Hollande 23.0, Mélenchon 9.5, Bayrou 7.0
Grenoble: Hollande 36.3, Sarkozy 21.3, Mélenchon 15.4, Le Pen 10.9, Bayrou 8.3
Dijon: Hollande 32.4, Sarkozy 27.9, Le Pen 13.4, Mélenchon 10.4, Bayrou 9.7
Angers: Hollande 33.5, Sarkozy 26.9, Bayrou 11.8, Mélenchon 11.1, Le Pen 10.0
Villeurbanne: Hollande 33.8, Sarkozy 24.1, Le Pen 13.4, Mélenchon 12.9, Bayrou 9.2
Le Mans: Hollande 34.5, Sarkozy 23.8, Le Pen 13.4, Mélenchon 12.9, Bayrou 9.4
Aix-en-Provence: Sarkozy 32.8, Hollande 26.8, Le Pen 14.5, Mélenchon 11.2, Bayrou 9.0
Brest: Hollande 37.4, Sarkozy 21.9, Mélenchon 12.5, Le Pen 11.6, Bayrou 9.9
Nîmes: Hollande 27.1, Sarkozy 26.8, Le Pen 20.6, Mélenchon 13.4, Bayrou 7.1
Limoges: Hollande 38.1, Sarkozy 20.7, Le Pen 14.8, Mélenchon 13.2, Bayrou 7.7
Clermont-Ferrand: Hollande 37.8, Sarkozy 19.9, Mélenchon 14.4, Le Pen 12.3, Bayrou 9.4
Tours: Hollande 32.2, Sarkozy 27.0, Mélenchon 12.3, Le Pen 11.6, Bayrou 10.0
Amiens: Hollande 33.7, Sarkozy 22.6, Le Pen 16.5, Mélenchon 13.0, Bayrou 8.4
Metz: Hollande 28.9, Sarkozy 26.7, Le Pen 17.3, Mélenchon 10.9, Bayrou 10.1
Perpignan: Hollande 28.0, Sarkozy 26.5, Le Pen 22.4, Mélenchon 11.5, Bayrou 6.4
Besançon: Hollande 32.8, Sarkozy 24.7, Mélenchon 15.4, Le Pen 11.9, Bayrou 8.5
Orléans: Hollande 32.6, Sarkozy 28.3, Le Pen 12.1, Mélenchon 10.8, Bayrou 9.9
Boulogne-Billancourt: Sarkozy 48.4, Hollande 23.7, Bayrou 10.7, Le Pen 6.5, Mélenchon 6.2
Mulhouse: Hollande 30.8, Sarkozy 26.2, Le Pen 17.5, Mélenchon 10.7, Bayrou 8.9
Rouen: Hollande 33.9, Sarkozy 25.3, Mélenchon 14.0, Le Pen 11.0, Bayrou 9.2
Caen: Hollande 35.1, Sarkozy 25.0, Mélenchon 12.4, Bayrou 10.9, Le Pen 9.4
Nancy: Hollande 31.6, Sarkozy 28.3, Mélenchon 12.0, Bayrou 10.7, Le Pen 10.5
Saint-Denis: Hollande 45.8, Mélenchon 21.7, Sarkozy 12.2, Le Pen 9.9, Bayrou 4.9
Montreuil: Hollande 40.2, Mélenchon 24.1, Sarkozy 13.5., Le Pen 9.3, Bayrou 5.6
Argenteuil: Hollande 38.3, Sarkozy 18.9, Mélenchon 16.4, Le Pen 14.8, Bayrou 6.4
Roubaix: Hollande 41.6, Sarkozy 17.3, Le Pen 15.6, Mélenchon 15.0, Bayrou 5.9
Dunkerque: Hollande 30.8, Le Pen 23.2, Sarkozy 22.5, Mélenchon 11.3, Bayrou 6.5
Tourcoing: Hollande 31.3, Sarkozy 22.4, Le Pen 21.3, Mélenchon 12.7, Bayrou 6.8
Nanterre: Hollande 40.1, Mélenchon 18.6, Sarkozy 17.4, Le Pen 10.7, Bayrou 7.5
Avignon: Hollande 30.8, Sarkozy 23.1, Le Pen 20.5, Mélenchon 13.4, Bayrou 6.4
Créteil: Hollande 39.1, Sarkozy 24.6, Mélenchon 13.6, Le Pen 10.5, Bayrou 6.9
Poitiers: Hollande 37.8, Sarkozy 21.8, Mélenchon 13.7, Le Pen 10.3, Bayrou 9.0
Courbevoie: Sarkozy 39.2, Hollande 28.2, Bayrou 11.8, Le Pen 8.3, Mélenchon 7.5
Versailles: Sarkozy 46.5, Hollande 19.6, Bayrou 12.4, Le Pen 11.2, Mélenchon 5.5
Vitry-sur-Seine: Hollande 37.4, Mélenchon 20.7, Sarkozy 18.1, Le Pen 12.4, Bayrou 6.2
Colombes: Hollande 35.4, Sarkozy 26.1, Mélenchon 13.2, Le Pen 10.1, Bayrou 9.5
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #486 on: April 28, 2012, 11:54:47 AM »

Hollande won Marseille and lost Lyon ? Wow, that must be a quite right-wing city...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #487 on: April 28, 2012, 11:58:05 AM »
« Edited: April 28, 2012, 11:59:43 AM by Minion of Midas »

Hollande won Marseille and lost Lyon ? Wow, that must be a quite right-wing city...
Note the FN figures... Lyon is a bourgeois city. Also, of course, there's the issue of Villeurbanne being outside the city limits.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #488 on: April 28, 2012, 11:59:16 AM »

Yeah, Lyon has always leaned towards a certain sort of stodgy bourgeois rightwards political stance. Hilarious that Bayrou finished below Mélenchon there, given its political history.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #489 on: April 28, 2012, 12:01:56 PM »

Also, with the sad exception of Toulon and the obvious one of Versailles, Hollande wins every place on that list that I've visited.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #490 on: April 28, 2012, 01:31:03 PM »

Funny than the highest margins for Hollande in Paris suburbs, Limousin and Bretagne.
The last one is quite surprising.
Yes, I know it's swing to the left, but to that point...
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #491 on: April 28, 2012, 02:14:14 PM »

Funny than the highest margins for Hollande in Paris suburbs, Limousin and Bretagne.
The last one is quite surprising.
Yes, I know it's swing to the left, but to that point...

Looks like Bretagne is France's California. Wink
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« Reply #492 on: April 28, 2012, 03:38:46 PM »

Yeah, Lyon has always leaned towards a certain sort of stodgy bourgeois rightwards political stance.

Sort of like Munich relative to Germany.
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Hans-im-Glück
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« Reply #493 on: April 29, 2012, 01:03:10 PM »

Yeah, Lyon has always leaned towards a certain sort of stodgy bourgeois rightwards political stance.

Sort of like Munich relative to Germany.

I think you know nothing about Munich Cheesy
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #494 on: April 29, 2012, 03:17:37 PM »

Right, I'm assuming that Hollande will win the 'Left' vote (9-1) in the run-off, while the Le Pen vote will break for Sarkozy (5-2), with the Bayrou vote more evenly split (2-2)

Any one know if could be significant regional variation as to how the Bayrou and Le Pen votes would split between Hollande and Sarkozy?

I take it that only the debate could be a game changer
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homelycooking
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« Reply #495 on: April 29, 2012, 09:34:46 PM »

A rough map of expat results:



Hollande's top five:

Algeria 65.96%
Comoros 64.12%
Benin 60.34%
Mali 58.00%
Togo 55.67%

Sarkozy's top five:

Israel 82.74%
Libya 68.97%
Armenia 64.09%
Cote d'Ivoire 60.29%
Vanuatu 59.74%

Le Pen's top five:

South Sudan 28.57%
Latvia 25.33%
Paraguay 21.82%
Djibouti 21.47%
Monaco 18.30%

Bayrou's top five:

Mongolia 19.05%
Yemen 18.00%
Kazakhstan 17.69%
Slovakia 17.65%
Taiwan 17.57%

Melenchon's top five:

Nicaragua 26.25%
Cuba 23.87%
South Sudan 21.43%
Guatemala 20.50%
Belarus 20.00%

Joly's top five:

Iceland 22.79%
Tajikstan 20.00%
Mongolia 19.05%
Nepal 17.28%
Norway 15.03%
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #496 on: April 29, 2012, 09:40:28 PM »

I suspect that some of those foreign countries might have fiddled with the votes sent in from them (the result for Melenchon in Cuba is particularly suspicious).
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« Reply #497 on: April 29, 2012, 09:48:46 PM »

We may also have to envision what sort of person a French expatriate in Cuba might be.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #498 on: April 29, 2012, 09:52:39 PM »

We may also have to envision what sort of person a French expatriate in Cuba might be.

Fair enough, although Sarkozy's results in Libya and Armenia, and Melenchon's result in (once again Sandinista-ruled) Nicaragua also seem a little "fixed."
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #499 on: April 29, 2012, 10:02:27 PM »

We may also have to envision what sort of person a French expatriate in Cuba might be.

Fair enough, although Sarkozy's results in Libya and Armenia, and Melenchon's result in (once again Sandinista-ruled) Nicaragua also seem a little "fixed."

I didn't know Daniel Ortega is supervising French presidential election abroad.
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