France 2012: Official Results Thread
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  France 2012: Official Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 144652 times)
Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #575 on: May 06, 2012, 01:05:27 PM »

lol...all Hollande family interviewed on France2...Ségolène, Thomas, awww...
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #576 on: May 06, 2012, 01:05:41 PM »

Thomas Hollande and Segolene getting emotional on France 2.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #577 on: May 06, 2012, 01:06:10 PM »

That last minute Sarko bump appears to have been real, though.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
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« Reply #578 on: May 06, 2012, 01:07:45 PM »

A sad day for France and for the world.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #579 on: May 06, 2012, 01:07:46 PM »

Let's hope my prediction stays within +/- 0,4%
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DL
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« Reply #580 on: May 06, 2012, 01:08:01 PM »

The Netherlands has now taken over France. Hollande President!
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #581 on: May 06, 2012, 01:08:11 PM »

Congratulations, Phil.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #582 on: May 06, 2012, 01:08:31 PM »

The pattern of results will be really interesting, I suspect. Always are in France, but maybe more than usual.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #583 on: May 06, 2012, 01:08:52 PM »

If that 48.1% is true... indeed.
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #584 on: May 06, 2012, 01:08:55 PM »


Cheesy
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #585 on: May 06, 2012, 01:09:04 PM »


I will now accept my accolades.
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #586 on: May 06, 2012, 01:09:13 PM »

The day of glory has arrived.
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Torie
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« Reply #587 on: May 06, 2012, 01:09:37 PM »

Hollande was "elected" based on a 4 point spread in an exit poll (presumably an incomplete one if the polls just closed)?  If so, all I can say is no one would so call an election based on that in the US.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #588 on: May 06, 2012, 01:11:01 PM »

Hollande was "elected" based on a 4 point spread in an exit poll?  If so, all I can say is no one would so call an election based on that in the US.

France has 7 exit pollsters, they cannot be all wrong.

The exit polls actually vary from 52 to 53.5% for Hollande.
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Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #589 on: May 06, 2012, 01:11:14 PM »

What about the "Sarkozy voter looking at 4pm Belgium news on the Internet saying Hollande leads by 53-47 and thinks: Oh sh**t, this is so close I should help my guy in the final hours ! and then Sarko-stay-at home voter goes voting so that Hollande leads the first exit poll by only 51.9-48.1 anymore" factor ?

lol...1 percent in 2 hours??

1 percent able to that for...the most hated man in France??

Would be surprising to say the least...
Keep this sentence for the 17th of May rather, and overall for 2014 elections if you can be that patient too...
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #590 on: May 06, 2012, 01:11:40 PM »

Meh, that's a pathetic result. We deserved >54%, at least.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #591 on: May 06, 2012, 01:11:48 PM »

I love the 'The President has left the Elysée' routine the French media perform on election night. What's the added value of some motorbike-riding camera risking his life trying to film the tainted windows of Sarko's car?
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #592 on: May 06, 2012, 01:11:54 PM »

Hollande was "elected" based on a 4 point spread in an exit poll?  If so, all I can say is no one would so call an election based on that in the US.

European exit polls tend to be a lot more on the mark than their American counterparts. I suspect it's because turnout is a lot higher so there's little difference between "likely" and "registered voters" in France and other Europeans nations.

To all the naysayers: Hollande isn't in office yet. We have to see how he will govern and how effective he is.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #593 on: May 06, 2012, 01:12:44 PM »

There's also the issue of much of the country actually being counted already, just not formally collated.
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Torie
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« Reply #594 on: May 06, 2012, 01:13:50 PM »
« Edited: May 06, 2012, 01:16:52 PM by Torie »

Hollande was "elected" based on a 4 point spread in an exit poll?  If so, all I can say is no one would so call an election based on that in the US.

France has 7 exit pollsters, they cannot be all wrong.

The exit polls actually vary from 52 to 53.5% for Hollande.

OK. I would still be a tad leery myself. How does the registered versus likely voters thing affect exit polls, which presumably are of "already voted" voters?  And do they have any vote by mail? I am not saying Hollande has not won, but what I am saying, is that anything less than about 54%, and you need to wait for some raw votes in the US. I think Gore was ahead by at least 6% in the Florida exit poll. So the networks rushed to call it, and the rest is history.
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Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #595 on: May 06, 2012, 01:14:08 PM »

I love the 'The President has left the Elysée' routine the French media perform on election night. What's the added value of some motorbike-riding camera risking his life trying to film the tainted windows of Sarko's car?

It's a 1995 France2 pattern, and then it took all other TVs, ah well...

Everybody find it stupid but everybody would be surprised it doesn't happen I guess ^^
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #596 on: May 06, 2012, 01:14:14 PM »

Exit Polls:



Turnout: 81.5%
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #597 on: May 06, 2012, 01:14:54 PM »

Mitterrand took about 51.8% in 1981, interestingly enough.
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SPQR
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« Reply #598 on: May 06, 2012, 01:15:51 PM »

Allez Hollande!
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Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #599 on: May 06, 2012, 01:16:28 PM »

lol, Morano and Dati's face...allez...SALUT!
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