France 2012: Official Results Thread

[Sibboleth]

Who is this good news for?

Hollande and Le Pen.

Hollande tops the poll, but (including Bayrou) the right has a majority.

Bayrou can't be counted as being part of the right, however defined.

[Keystone Phil]

France is full of retards, once again.

The most consistent electorate!

[Proud Lieberal from Northeast]

Bayrou is whatever you want him to be.

[You kip if you want to...]

A far-right candidate underpolling because people are too ashamed to openly support such a candidate? QUELLE HORREUR!!!!

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Also, lol at the joke Melenchon.

Maybe I'm a little bit biased about him, but he actually did the best campaign, which has been acnowledged by all commentators regardless of their biases, and has the most solid and fair discourse.

Now the point is really to know what this FN score is made of, it's been never reached before...

[Proud Lieberal from Northeast]

Oh, and I wouldn't want to be anywhere near Segolene now

[You kip if you want to...]

BBC not carrying the Melenchon speech. LOL.

[Vasall des Midas]

St barthelemy (cause that wasn't leaked earlier)
Sarkozy 62.4
Le Pen 11.4
Hollande 10.1

[Sam Spade]

Good for the left now, bad for them in five years.  But who knows, maybe I'm completely wrong here. (though evidence suggests otherwise).

[You kip if you want to...]

BBC not carrying the Melenchon speech. LOL.

Okay, they are.

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Bayrou can't be counted as being part of the right, however defined.

Euh, listening to him in this campaign he would rather clearly economically be on the Right.

But technically, yes, it's almost a principle for him to always stick to THE MIDDLE.

But overall, Bayrou is Bayrou, period. He would only have a chance of future if Sarkozy loses.

[Andrea]

Wallis and Futuna

Hollande 48.28
Sarkozy 37.68
Bayrou 6.40
Le Pen 2.37
Joly 1.56
Melenchon 1.19
Arthad 0.75
Dupont 0.67
Poutou 0.66
Cheminade 0.45

[ag]

antenne 2

Cute. Back in the 80s.  .

Sorry, I am a clueless foreigner - only remember of France's existence at election time ) And tells you how old I am )  That was the first thing I thought of googling and something came up )

[Tender Branson]

Where can someone watch official results, not the exit poll stuff ?

[You kip if you want to...]

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results

[mileslunn]

I thought Bayrou was centrist, so I suspect his votes would split pretty evenly between Hollande and Sarkozy in the second round much like they did in 2007.  As for the right doing better than expected, it seems in pretty much every European election the right outperforms what the polls say.  If anything like here in Canada, it might have to do with the fact the demographics that are most likely to support parties on the right typically tend to have the highest turnout.

[You kip if you want to...]

I thought Bayrou was centrist, so I suspect his votes would split pretty evenly between Hollande and Sarkozy in the second round much like they did in 2007.  As for the right doing better than expected, it seems in pretty much every European election the right outperforms what the polls say.  If anything like here in Canada, it might have to do with the fact the demographics that are most likely to support parties on the right typically tend to have the highest turnout.

It's a bit like the shy Tory effect, I think...

Who wants people thinking they're a racist?

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Oh................................

Freaking f**king gosh...

Marine Le Pen 18

Mélenchon 11

The BBC says Le Pen is on 20....

I was taking my 1st results of itélé, they work with CSA, but apparently everybody around the world took Sofres, hopefully CSA is on something, and she doesn't break the 20% barre, freaking f**king gosh...

Sorry, france2, and apparently everybody else in the world, works with IPSOS, not Sofres, it's because my mind keeps associating Brice Teinturier to Sofres...

Apparently some other pollsters gives Le Pen 18 and Sarkozy 27. Hopefully she doesn't break the 20%...

Bayrou is arround 9 everywhere apparently so far. Douste already calling for a new (!) political force (aka movement) of the Center... That'd be those voters who gonna make this election. And tonight, what we can say is that, purely arithmetically, Hollande could need them if he wants to reach 50%...

[Vasall des Midas]

AFP has total results for Lozere
Sarkozy 27.8, Hollande 25.2, Le Pen 17.3, Melenchon 12.4, Bayrou 11.1
And the Ministry has total results for Creuse
Hollande 34.0, Sarkozy 22.2, Le Pen 16.3, Melenchon 13.0, Bayrou 8.3

[Vasall des Midas]

...which are both far ahead of daddy's 2002 figures in these places, but also good results for Hollande.

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Tonight, purely arithmetically, and taking IPSOS:

Left: 44%
Right: 47%
Center/Bayrou: 9%

If you assume that most of Bayrou voters would traditionally be part of the goold old UDF, then, it's rather good for Sarkozy.

But, once again, it's hard to tell of what such a FN score is done, and as for Bayrou, he can also embody a part of the anti-Sarkozist vote. Anti-Sarkozisme twistes a lot of things in the political debate of this country, and has been the main point of this campaign, so, who knows how it can turn...

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

...which are both far ahead of daddy's 2002 figures in these places, but also good results for Hollande.

Yeah, especially if you compare the turnouts compared with 2002 whcih broke abstention records.

[Kuu ülevaade olulisematest]

Hollande, Sarkozy, Le Pen, Mélenchon and Bayrou all won communes in Creuse and Lot.

[Tender Branson]

That Creuse result looks good for Marine when compared with Father Le Pen's 2002 result.

[Jack Vance RIP]

Anyone going to be willing to explain the patterns in Guyane for me? (I write more in hope than in expectation... but hey, it's the atlas).