France 2012: Official Results Thread

[Vasall des Midas]

Lot
Hollande 34.5, Sarkozy 21.4, Melenchon 14.4, Le Pen 13.5, Bayrou 9.3 (Daddy had just 10.8% here in 2002, barely beating Saint Josse for third.)

[Vasall des Midas]

Ariege, though I really wonder why AFP has totally different departments up than the Government.
Hollande 34.4, Sarkozy 18.7, Melenchon 16.9, Le Pen 16.8, Bayrou 6.7

Doesn't really square with the results from elsewhere. Le Pen only slightly above 02, Hollande actually below Royal. Melenchon taking a bite out of traditional southwestern PS votes, I think? Makes you wonder who, exactly, the historical LO voters are going for...

[You kip if you want to...]

Aubry cuts off in favour of Marine. Gotta see humour somewhere.

[Vasall des Midas]

Anyways, real life calls. I'll be back tomorrow after work to take a long look at the full glory of these results.

[You kip if you want to...]

Wow, Marine was really belting out the national anthem there...

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

In case Sarkozy loses, UMP will be devastated, and Marine Le Pen could really take an important role. But really, tonight, nothing is done, especially when you consider that (unlike all people chanting 'Hollande has already won!!' during all the last week, how crazy), with the 2nd run it's a new campaign that begins. Will be interesting to see his behavior, if he still believes in it, then he should never be underestimated.

She just did a 'good' speech...

[Sam Spade]

Revised "exits" on Le Monde say:

Hollande 28.3%
Sarkozy 25.8%
Le Pen 19.6%
Melenchon 11.7%
Bayrou 8.7%
Others 5.9%

[RogueBeaver]

Those counties that have reported so far- what are their usual voting habits?

[Χahar]

What sort of place is Saint-Martin-de-Boubaux, and why did Mélenchon win a majority there?

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Florange (small place in Lorraine with big Mital steel factory, made lot of noise during the campaign):

F. Hollande 32,30 %
M. Le Pen 25,70 %
N. Sarkozy 19,01 %
J-L. Mélenchon 11,81 %

...

[afleitch]

Big move to Le Pen in 'Nord'; FN up 10 on 2007.

[Democratic Hawk]

Seemngly, my family name is of Norman origin and stems from the town of Graye-sur-Mer, in Calvados, Basse-Normandie. I wonder how it will vote? That said, there's a town called Gray, in Haute-Saone, Franche-Comte (though not of connection)

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Weak speech of Hollande, what a contrast with MLP's...

Also Collard (famous lawyer, support of MLP) confirmed what she spoka about a few days before the 1st run, they gonna change the name of FN and try to create a new big 'patriotic' movement. And Bayrou confirmed his will to also create a 'new' force on the Center. If Sarkozy loses, that reallly gonna be hot on the Right. UMP was mainly designed by and for Sarkozy, that'd make sense that, still in case he loses, it sinks with him...

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

All pollsters, to compare with exits:

http://opinionpublique.wordpress.com/2012/04/22/les-dernieres-intentions-de-vote-des-differents-instituts-a-lheure-des-resultats/

[Democratic Hawk]

Seemngly, my family name is of Norman origin and stems from the town of Graye-sur-Mer, in Calvados, Basse-Normandie. I wonder how it will vote? That said, there's a town called Gray, in Haute-Saone, Franche-Comte (though not of connection)

The communes of Gray (32.2%), Arc-les-Gray (31.8%) & Gray-la-Ville (33.1%) for Hollande

[freefair]

Nobody is talking about the real elephant in the room... Hollande's % lead over Sarkozy just isn't that big. Even with all leftist candidatesdonating their bases it looks from certian he will win. He'd need Bayrou and a fair few votes from the populist hate machine  to win.

[Ghyl Tarvoke]

What sort of place is Tremarget in Cotes-d'Armor, I ask because it seems that Joly has won it.

[Sibboleth]

Seems that people have commune results from some departments that haven't declared yet; linky?

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

lol, Meaux, Coppé's city:

Hollande : 33,03 %
Sarkozy : 26,98 %
Le Pen : 17,72 %
Mélenchon : 10,78 %
Bayrou : 6,79 %

Ipsos on workers vote:

Le Pen 30 %, Hollande 27 %, Sarkozy 18 %, Mélenchon 12 % et Bayrou 8 %.

Makes sense but remains estimatioins and those can stilll vary acorrding to pollster by 1 or 2 points.

And, ah!

The public local radio France Bleu says that in Besson's city MLP did 30%(!).

And lol, Poutou did 1.2% and people in NPA HQ are chanting 'on a gagné!!'...

[Ghyl Tarvoke]

Seems that people have commune results from some departments that haven't declared yet; linky?

I'm getting my results from here: http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results

[Sibboleth]

Nobody is talking about the real elephant in the room... Hollande's % lead over Sarkozy just isn't that big. Even with all leftist candidatesdonating their bases it looks from certian he will win. He'd need Bayrou and a fair few votes from the populist hate machine  to win.

That would be because it isn't an elephant in the room. At best it's a toy one. Sarkozy needed to lead in the first round (and to hope for the subsequent momentum boost) in order to have much of a hope in the second. Elections in France aren't as ritualistic as they once were.

[You kip if you want to...]

Weak speech of Hollande, what a contrast with MLP's...

Also Collard (famous lawyer, support of MLP) confirmed what she spoka about a few days before the 1st run, they gonna change the name of FN and try to create a new big 'patriotic' movement. And Bayrou confirmed his will to also create a 'new' force on the Center. If Sarkozy loses, that reallly gonna be hot on the Right. UMP was mainly designed by and for Sarkozy, that'd make sense that, still in case he loses, it sinks with him...

So the new FN as the new centre-right? God help France, vive le parti socialiste then I guess.

[Sibboleth]

Hollande has won Cantal...

[You kip if you want to...]

Sarko looks like he's sucked on a lemon and is trying to smile...

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Weak speech of Hollande, what a contrast with MLP's...

Also Collard (famous lawyer, support of MLP) confirmed what she spoka about a few days before the 1st run, they gonna change the name of FN and try to create a new big 'patriotic' movement. And Bayrou confirmed his will to also create a 'new' force on the Center. If Sarkozy loses, that reallly gonna be hot on the Right. UMP was mainly designed by and for Sarkozy, that'd make sense that, still in case he loses, it sinks with him...

So the new FN as the new centre-right? God help France, vive le parti socialiste then I guess.

Thankfully it's not as if this political system still really mattered and as if all those elections stuffs were still really serious...

But, well, yeah, still matters a bit, and still says something...

Sarkozy speaking now, lol, he seems like in total momentum, he really shouldn't be underestimated. And he just proposed a totally new thing: 3 debates instead of one.