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| | |-+  France 2012: Official Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 37227 times)
Antonio V
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« Reply #300 on: April 22, 2012, 07:29:17 pm »
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Yvelines: Sarkozy 34.2%; Hollande 27.3%; Le Pen 12.4%; Bayrou (11.2%) / Rhone: Sarkozy 30.8%; Hollande 26.9%; Le Pen 15.1%; Melenchon 10.7%

My sh*tty departement has apparently remained sh*tty.

Waiting for Paris and 93, hopefully that will push Hollande up a bit.

Do you live in Rhone or Yvelines?

Anyway, the 93's in: Hollande 38.7%; Sarkozy 19.5%; Melenchon 17%; Le Pen 13.5%

Yvelines. Vlizy-Villacoublay, to be precise (which is just at the border with Hauts-de-Seine and is more right-wing than the departement as a whole).
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HashCAN     americans saw the EP elections and people cringing at Europeans being morons and electing Nazis; so they massively said "NO" and decided to prove that they're still bigger morons



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

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Leftbehind
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« Reply #301 on: April 22, 2012, 07:30:06 pm »
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lol, seems like Le Figaro is almost happy of that big Le Pen:

Those figures are a bit presumptuous, aren't they? At 99.9% on Google's collating page, Le Pen looks a fair bit away from that 20%.
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« Reply #302 on: April 22, 2012, 07:31:10 pm »
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Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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« Reply #303 on: April 22, 2012, 07:31:35 pm »
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NDA victorious in his hometown by a whisker! Unfortunately for him, no luck in any of the other 37,000 communes.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #304 on: April 22, 2012, 07:31:55 pm »
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Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%

lolpoisondwarf
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
Antonio V
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« Reply #305 on: April 22, 2012, 07:32:34 pm »
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lol, seems like Le Figaro is almost happy of that big Le Pen:

Those figures are a bit presumptuous, aren't they? At 99.9% on Google's collating page, Le Pen looks a fair bit away from that 20%.

Well, what they published are probably the estimate of some polling firm. Le Monde's strength compared to other journals is that it is published on afternoons and therefore contains real results rather than gross estimates. Their electoral pages are usually pretty great with complete elections results by departements and in the main communes.
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HashCAN     americans saw the EP elections and people cringing at Europeans being morons and electing Nazis; so they massively said "NO" and decided to prove that they're still bigger morons



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Antonio V
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« Reply #306 on: April 22, 2012, 07:33:44 pm »
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Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%

lolpoisondwarf

I'm actually surprised. I would never have imagined he would break 30% there.
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HashCAN     americans saw the EP elections and people cringing at Europeans being morons and electing Nazis; so they massively said "NO" and decided to prove that they're still bigger morons



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Sibboleth
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« Reply #307 on: April 22, 2012, 07:34:35 pm »
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Anyways...

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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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« Reply #308 on: April 22, 2012, 07:35:22 pm »
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Yvelines: Sarkozy 34.2%; Hollande 27.3%; Le Pen 12.4%; Bayrou (11.2%) / Rhone: Sarkozy 30.8%; Hollande 26.9%; Le Pen 15.1%; Melenchon 10.7%

My sh*tty departement has apparently remained sh*tty.

Waiting for Paris and 93, hopefully that will push Hollande up a bit.

Do you live in Rhone or Yvelines?

Anyway, the 93's in: Hollande 38.7%; Sarkozy 19.5%; Melenchon 17%; Le Pen 13.5%

Yvelines. Vlizy-Villacoublay, to be precise (which is just at the border with Hauts-de-Seine and is more right-wing than the departement as a whole).

I see the bigger of your neighbours to the north-west is very much Sarkozy country
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big bad fab
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« Reply #309 on: April 22, 2012, 07:36:00 pm »
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Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%
The best result for Joly...
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« Reply #310 on: April 22, 2012, 07:36:25 pm »
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Are there enough votes in Paris for Hollande to break 10 million?
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« Reply #311 on: April 22, 2012, 07:36:41 pm »
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Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%

lolpoisondwarf

Is that 'bad' for a centre-right candidate?
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
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« Reply #312 on: April 22, 2012, 07:37:16 pm »
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And it's not only the parts of North-East that are doomed by unemployment or which have an 'awful big city full of Arab scums' like Strasbourg who are touched by a very high Le Pen, I don't know precisely usual votting patterns in the 'neat peaceful and so flowered calm Haut-Rhin' but this still seems huge to me:

N. Sarkozy : 31,91%
M. Le Pen : 23,43%
F. Hollande : 18,89%
F. Bayrou : 11,39%
J-L. Mlenchon : 7,42%
E. Joly : 2,71%
N. Dupont-Aignan : 2,10%
P. Poutou : 1,19%
N. Arthaud : 0,64%
J. Cheminade : 0,33%

NDA victorious in his hometown by a whisker! Unfortunately for him, no luck in any of the other 37,000 communes.

36.000 communes please. And this is big enough, trying to reduce it seems to be an hard enough thing that govts regularly try that you better don't add some more...

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14/01/2011: Tunisia!!
11/02/2011: Egypt!
20/10/2011: Libya
02/09/2013: Abandon of Syria...
...and of, well, 'all of that'...

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!!

Maybe a little update:

Religion Tradition is people's opium...
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jfern
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« Reply #313 on: April 22, 2012, 07:38:52 pm »
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Would the Obama administration be loosing a key ally here? I imagine that Obama's views are closer to those of Sarkozy than Hollande.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #314 on: April 22, 2012, 07:39:02 pm »

A few interesting departments to look at in more detail for those who like such stuff;

Finistere
Ille-et-Vilaine (Chouannerie4Sarko!)
Mayenne
Loire-Atlantique
Vendee
Charente-Maritime
Deux-Sevres
Orne
Manche (apparently nuclear industry isn't scared about Hollande at all)
Seine-et-Marne
92 and 94
Haute-Marne
Moselle
Bas-Rhin
Haut-Rhin
Doubs
Savoie
Alpes-Maritimes
Bouches-du-Rhone
Rhone
Haute-Loire (quite something...)
Cantal (funny Correzian influence...)
Gard
Aveyron
Pyrenees-Atlantiques (where is Euskadi gone?)
Corse-du-Sud (compare to the regionalists in 2010...)
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #315 on: April 22, 2012, 07:39:20 pm »
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Are there enough votes in Paris for Hollande to break 10 million?

Yes. 345,627 + 9,813,758 = 10,159,385
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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jfern
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« Reply #316 on: April 22, 2012, 07:42:21 pm »
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And it's not only the parts of North-East that are doomed by unemployment or which have an 'awful big city full of Arab scums' like Strasbourg who are touched by a very high Le Pen, I don't know precisely usual votting patterns in the 'neat peaceful and so flowered calm Haut-Rhin' but this still seems huge to me:

N. Sarkozy : 31,91%
M. Le Pen : 23,43%
F. Hollande : 18,89%
F. Bayrou : 11,39%
J-L. Mlenchon : 7,42%
E. Joly : 2,71%
N. Dupont-Aignan : 2,10%
P. Poutou : 1,19%
N. Arthaud : 0,64%
J. Cheminade : 0,33%

NDA victorious in his hometown by a whisker! Unfortunately for him, no luck in any of the other 37,000 communes.

36.000 communes please. And this is big enough, trying to reduce it seems to be an hard enough thing that govts regularly try that you better don't add some more...


It's funny that they keep around some communes that no one lives in any more.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #317 on: April 22, 2012, 07:46:02 pm »

Places where Marion has significantly underperformed daddy:

Ile-de-France except Seine-et-Marne
Alsace
Ain
Savoie (both of them, in a pretty big way... even Cluses-Scionzier is nowhere as Lepenite as I would have imagined)
Rhone
Alpes-Maritimes

I suppose a prize would be in order for one who could guess why this is... but I'll keep my apple pie prize for some other contest. Too easy.
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Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #318 on: April 22, 2012, 07:47:13 pm »
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Vaucluse:

N. Sarkozy : 27,44%
M. Le Pen : 27,03%
F. Hollande : 22,34%
J-L. Mélenchon : 11,14%
F. Bayrou : 6,73%
E. Joly : 2,26%
N. Dupont-Aignan : 1,50%
P. Poutou : 0,95%
N. Arthaud : 0,39%
J. Cheminade : 0,21%

Marseille : Hollande (28,05%), Sarkozy (26,93%), Le Pen (21,22%), Mélenchon (13,83%), Bayrou (5,52%), Joly (2,15%), Dupont-Aignan (1,11%), Poutou (0,70%), Arthaud (0,31%), Cheminade (0,18%)

Lyon: Sarkozy (30,54%), Hollande (30,25%), Mélenchon (11,83%), Bayrou (10,66%), Le Pen (9,87%), Joly (4,09%), Dupont-Aignan (1,35%), Poutou (0,76%), Arthaud (0,40%), Cheminade (0,26%)

And, wow, Tarn-et-Garonne is pretty much an exception tonight in South-West:

F. Hollande : 27,63%
N. Sarkozy : 25,14%
M. Le Pen : 22,10%
J-L. Mélenchon : 11,19%
F. Bayrou : 8,28%
E. Joly : 1,97%
N. Dupont-Aignan : 1,76%
P. Poutou : 1,21%
N. Arthaud : 0,48%
J. Cheminade : 0,25%

It's funny that they keep around some communes that no one lives in any more.

Ah well, yeah, you can find some with about 15 people here and there...
Logged

14/01/2011: Tunisia!!
11/02/2011: Egypt!
20/10/2011: Libya
02/09/2013: Abandon of Syria...
...and of, well, 'all of that'...

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!!

Maybe a little update:

Religion Tradition is people's opium...
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
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« Reply #319 on: April 22, 2012, 07:48:36 pm »
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I don't know if people were paying attention to them, but Hollande landslided 4 of the 5 overseas departments.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #320 on: April 22, 2012, 07:49:34 pm »
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She wasn't so bad in alsace and Alpes-Maritimes, Hash. And she isn't very high in Nivre, Loir-et-Cher, Indre, Orne.

Sure, from Lyon to Savoies, she wasn't good (but it was the same in Doubs and Cte d'Or).
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Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
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« Reply #321 on: April 22, 2012, 07:50:11 pm »
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It's funny that they keep around some communes that no one lives in any more.

Ah well, yeah, you can find some with about 15 people here and there...

There are those too, in addition to the ones that literally have no one.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #322 on: April 22, 2012, 07:50:17 pm »

Funny Catholic vs Protestant stuff going on in parts of the Gard... Just gleaning over results.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #323 on: April 22, 2012, 07:53:23 pm »

She wasn't so bad in alsace and Alpes-Maritimes, Hash. And she isn't very high in Nièvre, Loir-et-Cher, Indre, Orne.

Sure, from Lyon to Savoies, she wasn't good (but it was the same in Doubs and Côte d'Or).

Daddy won 23% in Bas-Rhin and 23.5% in Haut-Rhin back in 02, and nearly 25% in 95. She's at 21 and 23% respectively. She's doing a bit less than 2% better than Daddy in 2002, so on a universal swing basis, she underperformed. Not that this surprises me one bit, I had already noted it in 2010. In the 06, Daddy took 26% in 02, she won 23.5%. Not surprising either, but still an underperformance.

Eure, otoh, is a nice result for her, just looking stuff over.
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #324 on: April 22, 2012, 07:56:05 pm »
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I don't know if people were paying attention to them, but Hollande landslided 4 of the 5 overseas departments.

Which one did Sarkozy win?
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
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