France 2012: Official Results Thread

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Hash, are those the actual results from the overseas territories (If so, where's Martinique?) or just exit polls?

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Anyone going to be willing to explain the patterns in Guyane for me? (I write more in hope than in expectation... but hey, it's the atlas).

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What sort of place is Tremarget in Cotes-d'Armor, I ask because it seems that Joly has won it.

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Seems that people have commune results from some departments that haven't declared yet; linky?

I'm getting my results from here: http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results

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wtf corsica

I just thought that!

People here have to stop stealing my thoughts.... (but I prefer writing on the liveblog).

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Do urban regions always report last?

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What sort of place is Corrèze? It seems really rural, possibly mountainous? Is it considered part of the Massif Central?

Lived there several years while a child. It's definitely part of Massif Central yes, very green, lot of forests, middle mountains, quite rural, slightly conservative, but still rather open minded, something along the rest of Limousin, might be the most rightist département of this région.

So Hollande's from a sort of low-key rural leftist background, culturally? That sounds nice, actually. Too bad he's going to be inheriting and presiding over an absolute sh**tstorm.

lol, no, at all, it's a cute Parisian upper middle class baby.

...Oh joy.

The sheer domination of primate cities is another thing that interests me about Europe. Paris, London, Madrid...New York has nowhere near that much influence within the United States.

New York has that much influence within its state, doesn't it?

Good point! Perhaps it would within a hypothetical 'Northeast' country of roughly a large Western European country's population.

U.S. States really can't be compared to European countries, as the former were the creation of the colonial/Washington administration often before the areas in question were even populated by Euro-Americans (or at least in large numbers). So the dynamics are different, but the dominance of Primate cities is hardly unusual in a global context, The US and Germany (a European city) are the outliers in this.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Ireland (on what looks like a less than 20% turnout):

http://www.ambafrance-ie.org/Presidential-election-First-round

JOLY Eva   149
LE PEN Marine   84
SARKOZY Nicolas   514
MELENCHON Jean-Luc   210
POUTOU Philippe   18
ARTHAUD Nathalie   7
CHEMINADE Jacques   8
BAYROU François   293
DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas   45
HOLLANDE François   617

Joly beat Le Pen, at least.

Also found the total votes for Francais De L'etranger:

Mme Eva JOLY   21 947    5,44
Mme Marine LE PEN   23 995    5,95
M. Nicolas SARKOZY   153 301    38,00
M. Jean-Luc MÉLENCHON   33 503    8,31
M. Philippe POUTOU   2 843    0,70
Mme Nathalie ARTHAUD   1 137    0,28
M. Jacques CHEMINADE   1 457    0,36
M. François BAYROU   45 867    11,37
M. Nicolas DUPONT-AIGNAN   5 148    1,28
M. François HOLLANDE   114 197    28,31

Sarkozy comfortable winner abroad it seems. See: http://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/PR2012/000/099/index.html

[Tetro Kornbluth]

So what are Sarkozy's odds of survival? Maybe 1/5 or something like that?

1%.  And I'm being generous there just because the PS is guaranteed to take the wrong strategy to winning, i.e. let's run to not lose, which is the only way of losing.  A competent party and candidate would be 100% assured of election in this type of "Mickey Mouse" struggle.

I'm tempted to also say that the PS chances in 2017 are somewhere around 1% also, but that is unnecessary dick-waving.

Given that, as of yet, I have felt no need to stock up on food and vegetables despite your previous prognostications on the European crisis, may I have your permission to take your predictions with a grain of salt?

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Canada Surprised how right-wing the rest of the voters are though.

The reason why Canada votes different become ridiculously obvious when you look at the breakdown...

P.S: Does anyone have a blank map of the world? I'd like to do a map of this.

Perhaps most curious spot: Panzergirl won the all-important country of South Sudan with a whopping 4 votes. I wonder what those voters are like...

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Canada Surprised how right-wing the rest of the voters are though.

The reason why Canada votes different become ridiculously obvious when you look at the breakdown...

P.S: Does anyone have a blank map of the world? I'd like to do a map of this.

Perhaps most curious spot: Panzergirl won the all-important country of South Sudan with a whopping 4 votes. I wonder what those voters are like...

It's still nice to know that there is a significant left-leaning area in North America.

It nicely fits into the cliches I've heard about french voters in English speaking countries...

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Perhaps most curious spot: Panzergirl won the all-important country of South Sudan with a whopping 4 votes. I wonder what those voters are like...

You wouldn't want to know.

I suspect that probably to be the case, but it is a curiosity none-the-less. Hollande won most African countries.