France 2012: Official Results Thread (user search)
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  France 2012: Official Results Thread (search mode)
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« on: April 25, 2012, 08:58:20 AM »

What's up with Sarkozy doing better among women? Am I the only one that finds that strange, never heard of a country before where the right didn't do better among men and the left better among women? Is it a common thing in France, and in that case are there any know demographic reasons for it?

If anybody is interested, given that I have five days off, I can throw some constituency maps for each candidate together.

Yeah that'd be very itresting to see.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
JOHN91043353
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Posts: 4,570
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2012, 05:01:59 AM »

Ok, I'm also intrigued now, since I, too, always assumed that women vote more left in all Western countries. Why is this not the case in the UK and France?

I have a vague feeling that working class women may be more socially conservative in some contexts but that seems like an unlikely explanation here.

Is there a strong divide in Sweden as well ?

It's not nearly as strong as the US one, though it's clearly there.

The 2010 the devide looked like this: (according to exit polls) 

Red-Greens: 44% (all) - 48% (women) - 41% (men)
Alliance: 49% (all) - 46% (women) - 52% (men)

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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
JOHN91043353
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Posts: 4,570
Sweden


« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2012, 05:09:46 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2012, 05:11:34 PM by Swedish Cheese »

What I really wonder is : would Sarkozy have won with one week more ? Or would the voters have settled with this standing ? Just thinking to it makes me shudder.

You guys are exagurating it. It always gets closer the closer you get to election day. Had the election been a week from now the campaign would have began a week later and we'd still have the same result.

EDIT: Although it is an intresting trend, if it continues Hollande will be down to single digits by the next election. Tongue
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