France 2012: Official Results Thread

[Democratic Hawk]

Seemngly, my family name is of Norman origin and stems from the town of Graye-sur-Mer, in Calvados, Basse-Normandie. I wonder how it will vote? That said, there's a town called Gray, in Haute-Saone, Franche-Comte (though not of connection)

[Democratic Hawk]

Seemngly, my family name is of Norman origin and stems from the town of Graye-sur-Mer, in Calvados, Basse-Normandie. I wonder how it will vote? That said, there's a town called Gray, in Haute-Saone, Franche-Comte (though not of connection)

The communes of Gray (32.2%), Arc-les-Gray (31.8%) & Gray-la-Ville (33.1%) for Hollande

[Democratic Hawk]

Are Le Pen voters the most likely to sit the run-off out?

[Democratic Hawk]

Seemngly, my family name is of Norman origin and stems from the town of Graye-sur-Mer, in Calvados, Basse-Normandie. I wonder how it will vote? That said, there's a town called Gray, in Haute-Saone, Franche-Comte (though not of connection)

The communes of Gray (32.2%), Arc-les-Gray (31.8%) & Gray-la-Ville (33.1%) for Hollande

Graye-sur-Mer: Sarkozy 29.8% (117); Hollande 28.3% (111); Le Pen 15.6% (61); Melenchon 12% (47) though Hollande has won Calvados (29.3%)

[Democratic Hawk]

Yvelines: Sarkozy 34.2%; Hollande 27.3%; Le Pen 12.4%; Bayrou (11.2%) / Rhone: Sarkozy 30.8%; Hollande 26.9%; Le Pen 15.1%; Melenchon 10.7%

Just Paris and Seine-Saint-Denis now.

[Democratic Hawk]

Yvelines: Sarkozy 34.2%; Hollande 27.3%; Le Pen 12.4%; Bayrou (11.2%) / Rhone: Sarkozy 30.8%; Hollande 26.9%; Le Pen 15.1%; Melenchon 10.7%

My sh*tty departement has apparently remained sh*tty.

Waiting for Paris and 93, hopefully that will push Hollande up a bit.

Do you live in Rhone or Yvelines?

Anyway, the 93's in: Hollande 38.7%; Sarkozy 19.5%; Melenchon 17%; Le Pen 13.5%

[Democratic Hawk]

Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%

[Democratic Hawk]

Yvelines: Sarkozy 34.2%; Hollande 27.3%; Le Pen 12.4%; Bayrou (11.2%) / Rhone: Sarkozy 30.8%; Hollande 26.9%; Le Pen 15.1%; Melenchon 10.7%

My sh*tty departement has apparently remained sh*tty.

Waiting for Paris and 93, hopefully that will push Hollande up a bit.

Do you live in Rhone or Yvelines?

Anyway, the 93's in: Hollande 38.7%; Sarkozy 19.5%; Melenchon 17%; Le Pen 13.5%

Yvelines. Vélizy-Villacoublay, to be precise (which is just at the border with Hauts-de-Seine and is more right-wing than the departement as a whole).

I see the bigger of your neighbours to the north-west is very much Sarkozy country

[Democratic Hawk]

Le Parisien is reporting Paris: Hollande 34.8%; Sarkozy 32.2%; Melanchon 11.1%; Bayrou 9.3%; Le Pen 6.2%; Jolly 4.2%

lolpoisondwarf

Is that 'bad' for a centre-right candidate?

[Democratic Hawk]

Are there enough votes in Paris for Hollande to break 10 million?

Yes. 345,627 + 9,813,758 = 10,159,385

[Democratic Hawk]

I don't know if people were paying attention to them, but Hollande landslided 4 of the 5 overseas departments.

Which one did Sarkozy win?

[Democratic Hawk]

Right, I'm assuming that Hollande will win the 'Left' vote (9-1) in the run-off, while the Le Pen vote will break for Sarkozy (5-2), with the Bayrou vote more evenly split (2-2)

Any one know if could be significant regional variation as to how the Bayrou and Le Pen votes would split between Hollande and Sarkozy?

I take it that only the debate could be a game changer

[Democratic Hawk]

Mitterrand took about 51.8% in 1981, interestingly enough.

Yep. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_presidential_election,_1981

[Democratic Hawk]

Sarko wins Lozere by 45 votes

[Democratic Hawk]

Hollande falls not far short of adding what seems to have never been pink (at least, not since the President's of the Fifth Republic were directly elected); Sarkozy winning Manche 50.1 - 49.9