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April 17, 2014, 10:01:53 pm
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| |-+  Atlas Fantasy Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, MasterJedi)
| | |-+  Super Polling Center: Early Presidential Poll
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for for President under this situation?
President Marokai Blue (Labor-IA)   -14 (33.3%)
Generic Federalist   -8 (19%)
Generic Liberal   -3 (7.1%)
Governor Tmthforu94 (Light-IN)   -10 (23.8%)
Someone Else (Write-In)   -1 (2.4%)
NOTA   -1 (2.4%)
Undecided   -5 (11.9%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Super Polling Center: Early Presidential Poll  (Read 718 times)
Maxwell
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E: 3.42, S: -7.91


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« on: April 17, 2013, 04:45:01 pm »
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Because it is so early, I expect undecideds will be very high.

As much as I am a Federalist, if it were just a generic Federalist, I'd probably lean Tmth.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2013, 06:20:51 pm by Wisard Ekstraordinær Maxwell »Logged

Senator Goldwater (On Leave)
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2013, 05:46:39 pm »
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Generic Federalist, most likely.
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Mideast Assemblyman Ben
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« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2013, 05:47:44 pm »
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Tmth always has my vote.
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Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Emperor Scott
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E: -1.94, S: -5.74

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« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2013, 06:15:54 pm »
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Tmth always has my vote.
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Senator Meiji (D-NC)
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E: -3.03, S: -8.96

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« Reply #4 on: April 17, 2013, 07:20:00 pm »
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Excluding a particularly exceptional Fed or Lib, Tmth.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #5 on: April 17, 2013, 09:01:08 pm »
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Undecided
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Please Senators, don't let the Russians, a folk of alcoholic homophobic, take Crimee
Spamage
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« Reply #6 on: April 17, 2013, 09:03:52 pm »
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Senator Lumine
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« Reply #7 on: April 17, 2013, 09:05:54 pm »
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Snowstalker
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E: -8.39, S: -3.30

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« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2013, 09:14:08 pm »
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The president, though I'm not sure that he runs for a second term.
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Speaker Dereich
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« Reply #9 on: April 17, 2013, 09:19:53 pm »
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Undecided. There is no such thing as a generic Liberal or Federalist; candidate quality is everything.
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Maxwell
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E: 3.42, S: -7.91


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« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2013, 09:24:26 pm »
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In retrospect, I should've included Jerry due to the fact that he had declared for a while.
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butafly [豚フライ]
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« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2013, 12:30:45 am »
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Tmth.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: April 18, 2013, 11:09:50 am »
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The president, though I'm not sure that he runs for a second term.

You might be right (as that seems to be the trend in Atlasia), but I'll see how things are with this set-up.
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Maxwell
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E: 3.42, S: -7.91


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« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2013, 11:29:25 am »
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This thing still has another day on it.
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Senator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2013, 12:34:13 pm »
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The president, though I'm not sure that he runs for a second term.
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Alfred is the only acceptable option

Clinton they've discovered our lovechild Sad

Maxwell
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E: 3.42, S: -7.91


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« Reply #15 on: April 21, 2013, 12:34:24 am »
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With this poll over, here's some results.

Presidential 1st Round Poll:
President Marokai Blue: 33%
Governor Tmthforu94: 24%
Generic Federalist: 19%
Generic Liberal: 7%
Write-Ins: 2%
None of The Above: 2%
Undecided: 12%

Tested Presidential Final Rounds:

Marokai takes strong majority of Liberal votes and a shockingly high amount of Federalist votes.

President Marokai: 43%
Governor Tmthforu94: 41%
Undecided: 16%

Marokai takes half of Liberal votes, Tmth gets very solid Federalist support.

Governor Tmthforu94: 43%
President Marokai: 41%
Undecided: 16%

Tmth gets strong majority of Liberal votes, also near universal Federalist support.

Governor Tmthforu94: 45%
President Marokai: 38%
Undecided: 16%

Analysis:
Tmth has already stated his intention NOT to run (the post was an April Fools joke, I certainly was the fool), but when tested against the Incumbent President, he performs solidly. Things out the gate look great for the President, who holds a 9 Point lead over Tmth on the first ballot. However, things don't get prettier from there. In one of the more sympathetic situations the Incumbent President leads Tmth by 2. Worst possible situation, and Tmth leads by 7. Granted, this is all under 50, with nearly 20% of Atlasians fairly undecided this early on, so that may not be an indicator of the Presidents competitiveness.

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Napoleon
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« Reply #16 on: April 21, 2013, 10:39:31 am »
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A number of votes in June could be affected by what happens in April, keep in mind. A close election is good, but how will the parties handle it?
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Please Senators, don't let the Russians, a folk of alcoholic homophobic, take Crimee
Abdul the Damned
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« Reply #17 on: April 21, 2013, 10:42:31 am »
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Giorgio Napolitano
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #18 on: April 23, 2013, 02:10:10 am »
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Not a bad result. Tongue

VP Tmth? Sure, though I am liking the sound of Kalwejt's idea on a Wiki cabinet position a lot. But President Tmth probably isn't going to happen - I've already ridden that carousal. Smiley
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Maxwell
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E: 3.42, S: -7.91


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« Reply #19 on: April 23, 2013, 10:57:07 am »
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Not a bad result. Tongue

VP Tmth? Sure, though I am liking the sound of Kalwejt's idea on a Wiki cabinet position a lot. But President Tmth probably isn't going to happen - I've already ridden that carousal. Smiley

Since Nix is running, this poll is completely irrelevant on two different counts now!
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