NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead

[Rowan]

NH Poll(UNH)

Obama: 51%
Romney: 42%

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_spring_presapp042312.pdf

[ajb]

FWIW, they had Romney ahead by 4-8 points all the way through 2011.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html#polls

[Senator Ben]

Are they good?  Or is it another crappy uni poll?

[cavalcade]

I can definitely see Obama leading post-birth control flap, though 9 points seems like a stretch.

[NHI]

Are they good?  Or is it another crappy uni poll?

The latter.

[Governor Scott]

I think he probably is leading right now, but still.  Uni poll.

[nkpatel1279]

Obama-D wins all of the states that voted for Dukakis in 1988,Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004. (DC-3,HI-4,MA-11,MN-10,NY-29,OR-7,RI-4,WA-12,and WI-10)=90ev
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004.(CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MI-16,NJ-14,PA-20,and VT-3)=152ev(242ev)
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004.(IA-6,NH-4,and NM-5)=15ev(257ev)
IA-6,NH-4,and PA-20 will be close-narrow to high single digit margin.
Obama-D guide to victory is (CO-9 and NV-6)=15ev(272ev) which Obama-D has a significant lead in those states.
Winning FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 hurts Romney's chances of becoming President. 60ev(287ev) or Obama-D wins the new battleground States in the South(VA-13 and NC-15) and the battleground Southwestern States(NM-5,NV-6,CO-9,and AZ-11)=59ev(281ev)
Obama-D is forcing AZ-11 and GA-16 into becoming battleground states as well as IN-11 and MO-10.

[Nagas]

Obama-D wins all of the states that voted for Dukakis in 1988,Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004. (DC-3,HI-4,MA-11,MN-10,NY-29,OR-7,RI-4,WA-12,and WI-10)=90ev
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004.(CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MI-16,NJ-14,PA-20,and VT-3)=152ev(242ev)
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004.(IA-6,NH-4,and NM-5)=15ev(257ev)
IA-6,NH-4,and PA-20 will be close-narrow to high single digit margin.
Obama-D guide to victory is (CO-9 and NV-6)=15ev(272ev) which Obama-D has a significant lead in those states.
Winning FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 hurts Romney's chances of becoming President. 60ev(287ev) or Obama-D wins the new battleground States in the South(VA-13 and NC-15) and the battleground Southwestern States(NM-5,NV-6,CO-9,and AZ-11)=59ev(281ev)
Obama-D is forcing AZ-11 and GA-16 into becoming battleground states as well as IN-11 and MO-10.

Stop. Go away or post coherently.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I do enjoy his break-downs... but it would be nice if they were a bit easier to read.

[Chaddyr23]

I think it's Obama 50-48 right now.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3320120420065

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Did anybody else notice what their overall sample was?  It was 538... just thought that was a bit of fun political coincidence for us nerds.

[MilesC56]

Hmm... I remember John Sununu saying that NH wouldn't be competitive for Romney.