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Author Topic: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama with solid lead  (Read 703 times)
Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« on: April 23, 2012, 05:17:44 pm »
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NH Poll(UNH)

Obama: 51%
Romney: 42%

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2012_spring_presapp042312.pdf
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ajb
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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2012, 06:17:46 pm »
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FWIW, they had Romney ahead by 4-8 points all the way through 2011.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html#polls
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Warner for Senate '14
benconstine
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« Reply #2 on: April 23, 2012, 06:30:10 pm »
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Are they good?  Or is it another crappy uni poll?
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Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
cavalcade
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« Reply #3 on: April 23, 2012, 06:43:31 pm »
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I can definitely see Obama leading post-birth control flap, though 9 points seems like a stretch.
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NHI
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« Reply #4 on: April 23, 2012, 08:32:10 pm »
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Are they good?  Or is it another crappy uni poll?

The latter.
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Scott
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« Reply #5 on: April 23, 2012, 08:34:21 pm »
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I think he probably is leading right now, but still.  Uni poll.
« Last Edit: April 23, 2012, 08:43:06 pm by Senator Scott »Logged
nkpatel1279
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« Reply #6 on: April 23, 2012, 10:10:58 pm »
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Obama-D wins all of the states that voted for Dukakis in 1988,Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004. (DC-3,HI-4,MA-11,MN-10,NY-29,OR-7,RI-4,WA-12,and WI-10)=90ev
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004.(CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MI-16,NJ-14,PA-20,and VT-3)=152ev(242ev)
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004.(IA-6,NH-4,and NM-5)=15ev(257ev)
IA-6,NH-4,and PA-20 will be close-narrow to high single digit margin.
Obama-D guide to victory is (CO-9 and NV-6)=15ev(272ev) which Obama-D has a significant lead in those states.
Winning FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 hurts Romney's chances of becoming President. 60ev(287ev) or Obama-D wins the new battleground States in the South(VA-13 and NC-15) and the battleground Southwestern States(NM-5,NV-6,CO-9,and AZ-11)=59ev(281ev)
Obama-D is forcing AZ-11 and GA-16 into becoming battleground states as well as IN-11 and MO-10.
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Nagas
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« Reply #7 on: April 23, 2012, 10:33:57 pm »
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Obama-D wins all of the states that voted for Dukakis in 1988,Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004. (DC-3,HI-4,MA-11,MN-10,NY-29,OR-7,RI-4,WA-12,and WI-10)=90ev
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996,Gore in 2000,and Kerry in 2004.(CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MI-16,NJ-14,PA-20,and VT-3)=152ev(242ev)
States that voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Gore in 2000 or Kerry in 2004.(IA-6,NH-4,and NM-5)=15ev(257ev)
IA-6,NH-4,and PA-20 will be close-narrow to high single digit margin.
Obama-D guide to victory is (CO-9 and NV-6)=15ev(272ev) which Obama-D has a significant lead in those states.
Winning FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 hurts Romney's chances of becoming President. 60ev(287ev) or Obama-D wins the new battleground States in the South(VA-13 and NC-15) and the battleground Southwestern States(NM-5,NV-6,CO-9,and AZ-11)=59ev(281ev)
Obama-D is forcing AZ-11 and GA-16 into becoming battleground states as well as IN-11 and MO-10.

Stop. Go away or post coherently.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #8 on: April 23, 2012, 11:30:10 pm »
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I do enjoy his break-downs... but it would be nice if they were a bit easier to read.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #9 on: April 24, 2012, 10:24:11 pm »
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I think it's Obama 50-48 right now.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #10 on: April 25, 2012, 04:13:07 pm »
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Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3320120420065
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #11 on: April 25, 2012, 04:14:30 pm »
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Did anybody else notice what their overall sample was?  It was 538... just thought that was a bit of fun political coincidence for us nerds. Wink
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Miles
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« Reply #12 on: April 25, 2012, 04:15:01 pm »
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Hmm... I remember John Sununu saying that NH wouldn't be competitive for Romney.
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