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| | | |-+  TX-PPP: Romney by only 7		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: TX-PPP: Romney by only 7  (Read 1512 times)
perdedor
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« Reply #25 on: April 28, 2012, 12:39:48 pm »
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It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.
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« Reply #26 on: April 28, 2012, 05:26:09 pm »
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Nice how Perry is actually a net negative for Romney here. lol Perry Fail.


Romney probably gets 55% to 60%.

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« Reply #27 on: April 28, 2012, 05:27:50 pm »
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Quote from: perdedor on April 28, 2012, 12:39:48 pm
It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.
Romney's going to win Texas, and probably by a fairly comfortable margin. Let's not kid ourselves. It might be a swing state by 2020 or 2024, but not 2012.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #28 on: April 29, 2012, 01:53:25 pm »
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Quote from: The Mikado on April 24, 2012, 04:02:35 pm
Obama's ceiling in Texas is the 44-46% range.  These numbers really don't surprise me, given the pretty strict rule that undecideds in TX always come home to the GOP.

The poll's crosstabs highlight this. Here are the undecideds in the ideological breakdown of the Obama/Romney matchup:

0% of "very liberal"
1% of "somewhat liberal"
12% of "moderate"
9% of "somewhat conservative"
5% of "very conservative"
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The Mikado
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« Reply #29 on: April 29, 2012, 07:24:53 pm »
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Exactly.  The best case for Obama in TX would be something like Romney 54, Obama 45.  I don't think Obama would do that well, mind.  I said that that's the best realistic scenario.
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perdedor
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« Reply #30 on: May 02, 2012, 11:25:45 am »
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Quote from: Stranger in a strange land on April 28, 2012, 05:27:50 pm
Quote from: perdedor on April 28, 2012, 12:39:48 pm
It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.
Romney's going to win Texas, and probably by a fairly comfortable margin. Let's not kid ourselves. It might be a swing state by 2020 or 2024, but not 2012.

Hence the "fat chance". Wink
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"Respect and uphold society's moral order as you would have society respect and uphold your autonomy." -- Amitai Etzioni, The New Golden Rule
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