PPP: New Mexico is safe Obama, Martinez wouldn't really help Romney

[Tender Branson]

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 53%
Disapprove...................................................... 44%

...

Barack Obama................................................ 54%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 40%

...

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Susana Martinez's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 54%
Disapprove...................................................... 38%

...

Obama-Biden.................................................. 53%
Romney-Martinez............................................ 42%

...

Barack Obama................................................ 48%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 35%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 15%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NM_425.pdf

[TheGlobalizer]

Sounds about right, unfortunately.

If Johnson catches any steam at all nationally, he'll be in the hunt in NM.

EDIT: By the way, what is the cross-tab score for independents in the three-way race?  I'd have to guess something like 40/30/25 O/R/J.

[Miles]

I really don't see the GOP ultimately  flipping the Senate seat, either, at this rate. Heinrich would have to run considerably behind Obama.

[Miles]

EDIT: By the way, what is the cross-tab score for independents in the three-way race?  I'd have to guess something like 40/30/25 O/R/J.

Pretty good guess.

PPP has the Independent vote at 39/34/23 O/R/J.

[AndrewTX]

I dunno, I think that senate seat is still in some form of play.

[redcommander]

At least Romney's at the 40% mark now.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3520120422108

[TheGlobalizer]

I dunno, I think that senate seat is still in some form of play.

It is.  Wilson is a relatively moderate R from Albuquerque, and Heinrich isn't the world's greatest candidate.  Lots of people still focusing on the Dem primary here.  The main downside to Wilson is that she's a known quantity and symbolic of a past New Mexicans wouldn't mind letting stay the past.  There's a bit of a new blood impulse these days, with all of the rampant corruption throughout the state in the recent past (and even present - check out the Sunland Park goings on if you want to see some pretty crazy sht).

I think most of this stuff will tighten considerably.  Senate is a tossup, IMO; NM-1 is in play, but probably leans slightly D (though Griego is pretty far left); Prez is a solid lean O but having a popular Hispanic Republican governor will have an influence.

[Mr. Morden]

Interesting how Johnson draws almost as much from Obama as from Romney.  The only demographic he's really terrible with is olds.

[Lief 🗽]

People seriously need to stop acting like this state is anything but safe Obama.

[tpfkaw]

Johnson actually draws more from Obama than Romney, although I suspect the undecideds he picks up would break heavily to Romney.