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| | | |-+  PPP: New Mexico is safe Obama, Martinez wouldn't really help Romney
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Author Topic: PPP: New Mexico is safe Obama, Martinez wouldn't really help Romney  (Read 763 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 25, 2012, 03:17:26 pm »

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 53%
Disapprove...................................................... 44%

...

Barack Obama................................................ 54%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 40%

...

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Susana Martinez's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 54%
Disapprove...................................................... 38%

...

Obama-Biden.................................................. 53%
Romney-Martinez............................................ 42%

...

Barack Obama................................................ 48%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 35%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 15%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NM_425.pdf
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2012, 03:23:26 pm »
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Sounds about right, unfortunately.

If Johnson catches any steam at all nationally, he'll be in the hunt in NM.

EDIT: By the way, what is the cross-tab score for independents in the three-way race?  I'd have to guess something like 40/30/25 O/R/J.
« Last Edit: April 25, 2012, 03:25:12 pm by TheGlobalizer »Logged
Miles
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« Reply #2 on: April 25, 2012, 03:26:50 pm »
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I really don't see the GOP ultimately  flipping the Senate seat, either, at this rate. Heinrich would have to run considerably behind Obama.
« Last Edit: April 25, 2012, 03:35:47 pm by MilesC56 »Logged


Miles
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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2012, 03:34:18 pm »
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EDIT: By the way, what is the cross-tab score for independents in the three-way race?  I'd have to guess something like 40/30/25 O/R/J.

Pretty good guess.

PPP has the Independent vote at 39/34/23 O/R/J.
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« Reply #4 on: April 25, 2012, 03:34:29 pm »

I dunno, I think that senate seat is still in some form of play.
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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2012, 03:50:51 pm »
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At least Romney's at the 40% mark now.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2012, 04:24:51 pm »
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Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3520120422108
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2012, 02:11:01 pm »
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I dunno, I think that senate seat is still in some form of play.

It is.  Wilson is a relatively moderate R from Albuquerque, and Heinrich isn't the world's greatest candidate.  Lots of people still focusing on the Dem primary here.  The main downside to Wilson is that she's a known quantity and symbolic of a past New Mexicans wouldn't mind letting stay the past.  There's a bit of a new blood impulse these days, with all of the rampant corruption throughout the state in the recent past (and even present - check out the Sunland Park goings on if you want to see some pretty crazy sht).

I think most of this stuff will tighten considerably.  Senate is a tossup, IMO; NM-1 is in play, but probably leans slightly D (though Griego is pretty far left); Prez is a solid lean O but having a popular Hispanic Republican governor will have an influence.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2012, 04:16:52 pm »
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Interesting how Johnson draws almost as much from Obama as from Romney.  The only demographic he's really terrible with is olds.
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« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2012, 04:57:17 pm »
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People seriously need to stop acting like this state is anything but safe Obama.
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« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2012, 05:01:38 pm »
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Johnson actually draws more from Obama than Romney, although I suspect the undecideds he picks up would break heavily to Romney.
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