French legislative election 2012

[big bad fab]

Is Poisson the only one to win back a constituency (Rambouillet) for the right ? Hash ?

Wallis & Futuna apparently. Though that was thanks to a triangulaire.

South Corse-1 is a right pick up too, isn't it?

Oh, yes, of course.
But I meant... normal political territories

[Marcus Aurelius]

Hérault's 6th constituency may be the tightest race in the elections: PS wins with 39,82%, 10 votes ahead of the UMP candidate. The deputy originally elected in 2007, doctor Paul-Henri Cugnenc, died a week into his second mandate.

One left pickup in Alsace - Bas-Rhin's second 52,2-47,8. Has gone for the left only once in 1981.

I'd hate to appear too self-satisfied, but I got those 2 right

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Duflot would give its sit to its substitute, since she is in the govt, then instead of 18 sits, Greens would have 17 since her substitute is PS (in order not to have her as dissident), what if they had only 15 sits...

One more example of the greatness of our system...

[big bad fab]

fab you were right : Gorges in Eure-et-Loir-1 makes it, but really close...

Actually, I had predicted that before even the first round, when Fab didn't predict it until after the first round

I'm pleased by my predictions overall, with 92% correct thus far. Especially constituencies like Drome-2, Isere-7, Seine-et-Marne-7 where I disagreed with Fab Not so happy about BDR-11 and Yonne-1, where Julio can come and drool on my ruins.

I have to count my own failures. Probably a bit more than you. As susual

[Marcus Aurelius]

Manche-3 is a large 52,4 left victory. I only put 49,99 for the left there, but it was tossup in my mind.

[You kip if you want to...]

Hilarious that neither MLP or Mélanchon won in Pas-de-Calais.

[Sibboleth]

Green underperformance (that is, when compared to a more 'normal'  Left candidate) very obvious...

[Marcus Aurelius]

As I felt it coming, Saône-et-Loire is all left, even if it's by only 380 votes in the 4th !

[Andrea]

Basically everything officially declared except for the 11 expats constituencies (which will likely break 8 to 3 for the Left)?

[You kip if you want to...]

Green underperformance (that is, when compared to a more 'normal'  Left candidate) very obvious...

Just looked at that narrow Strasbourg seat and thought the same.

[Californian Tony]

Here's the final result, assuming French abroad seats went as I've been told :

FG : 10
PS : 280
DVG : 22
PRG : 12
EELV : 17

Total left : 341

Regionalists : 2
MoDem : 2

AC : 2
PR : 6
NC : 12
DVD : 15
UMP : 194

Total right : 229

FN : 2
EXD : 1

[Hashemite]

Green underperformance (that is, when compared to a more 'normal'  Left candidate) very obvious...

Just looked at that narrow Strasbourg seat and thought the same.

Strasbourg is not the place to notice it, because Buchmann did very well in what has always been the most right-wing of seats in Strasbourg and always the least likely to switch to the left. In Firminy, Toulouse-Balma and even Bergerac it is a bit obvious (but not massive). And overall, there was a Green underperformance of sorts, but I wouldn't make a huge case out of it, and all things considered, PS dissidents who were eliminated in the first round transferred their votes in a rather orderly fashion to EELV despite any bad blood.

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Ah and, since it has been a kind of side debate here for these elections, 155 women have been elected députée on 577, against 103 during last legislature, that is 27% against 18,5% before.

Le Monde gives it:

PS: 107 on 273 elected are women
UMP: 26/191
EELV: 9/16 (so that is 16 now, it never stops to drop...)
DVG: 4
PRG:3
FdG:2
DVD:2
MRC:1
FN: 1

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Droite Populaire:

20 députés elected on 41 candidates.

[adma]

Blonde hottie + despot

[Tender Branson]

Who are the 2 FN'ers ?

Le Pen probably and ?

PS: Who is the blonde one next to the old Le Pen ?

[Nagas]

Le Pen and Collard. Collard won by about 1% in a 3-way race between FN, UMP, and PS. He won the 2nd Gard district, which is on the coast in Languedoc.

[Senator MaxQue]

Who are the 2 FN'ers ?

Le Pen probably and ?

PS: Who is the blonde one next to the old Le Pen ?

Marion Maréchal-Le Pen, which won in Vaucluse-3. Marine lost in Nord, through.

[Zuza]

Le Pen and Collard.

Beauty and beast .

[Senator MaxQue]

A bad news for you, Hashemite.

As Le Foll was elected MP, his European seat is going to the next on the PS list...

which is your "beloved" Isabelle Thomas.

(To be exhaustive, the New Centrist Damien Abad, elected in Ain is replaced Brussels by Karine Fenocchi, president of Corse New Center and opposition councillor in Ajaccio).

[Californian Tony]

I'm sorry, but I definitely don't find Le Pen 3.0 hot. She's all right, but her face is pretty meh. Or maybe I'm just biased against fascists.

[Californian Tony]

Guigou, Bartolone and Glavany officially running for presidency of the assembly.

Le Roux should take the lead of the PS group (which, in the end, is more important), and Bertrand (a Fillon supporter) will apparently run for the UMP group against incumbent Jacob (a Copéist).

[Andrea]

For the experts here, in how many constituencies won by Sarko in presidential run off a Left candidate got elected yesterday? And in how many constituencies carried by Hollande, the Right held on?

[Californian Tony]

For the experts here, in how many constituencies won by Sarko in presidential run off a Left candidate got elected yesterday? And in how many constituencies carried by Hollande, the Right held on?

I'm sure Hash had made a map back in time, but I'm not sure where it is.

[adma]

I'm sorry, but I definitely don't find Le Pen 3.0 hot. She's all right, but her face is pretty meh. Or maybe I'm just biased against fascists.

It's more the idea of her being "hot" (esp. as voter bait).

And re my photo comparison: keep this in mind as a reminder of far-right "aptitude" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmCHftCzAmg