Likelihood that this will be the map (user search)
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  Likelihood that this will be the map (search mode)
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Author Topic: Likelihood that this will be the map  (Read 5469 times)
opebo
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« on: April 30, 2012, 11:28:58 AM »

Yeah, that map is very likely, perhaps the likeliest of all.  Only VA, OH, FL, and NC are really in doubt to my way of thinking.
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opebo
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Posts: 47,009


« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2012, 12:37:23 PM »

I like the map, except that I'd switch Virginia, Florida, and New Hampshire.  Manufacturing growth is steady, unemployment rate continues to fall, the DJIA stays above 13000, and Obama wins. 

Really, Florida more Democratic than New Hampshire or Virginia?  I doubt it.
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opebo
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Posts: 47,009


« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2012, 08:34:44 PM »

New Hampshire will have greater affinity for Romney than for Obama. 

Nah, I think you're thinking of New Hampshire circa 1988 or 1992.  Things have changed.  Even if Romney does harken back to Daddy Bush days, the GOP isn't New Hampshirites darling anymore.  I think they'll come home again to their moderate/liberal home (and the home of all moderate/social liberal former Republicans) - the Democratic Party.
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