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| | | |-+  WV-RL Repass: Sen. Manchin (D) would destroy Raese (R)
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Author Topic: WV-RL Repass: Sen. Manchin (D) would destroy Raese (R)  (Read 369 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 01, 2012, 10:49:37 am »

74-22 Manchin

http://www.dailymail.com/mediafiles/document/2012/04/30/WVpoll-2012-1a_I120430222601.pdf
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wormyguy
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2012, 10:53:14 am »
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I don't doubt that Manchin is winning in a landslide... but we need confirmation for this.
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2012, 11:08:29 am »
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I don't doubt that Manchin is winning in a landslide... but we need confirmation for this.

...we do? Why?
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wormyguy
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2012, 11:12:46 am »
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I don't doubt that Manchin is winning in a landslide... but we need confirmation for this.

...we do? Why?

Um, because that's an almost unheard-of landslide... It's bigger than the margin by which Bernie Sanders beat his transsexual Republican opponent in 2000, lol.
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mondale84
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2012, 11:28:47 am »
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I don't doubt that Manchin is winning in a landslide... but we need confirmation for this.

...we do? Why?

Um, because that's an almost unheard-of landslide... It's bigger than the margin by which Bernie Sanders beat his transsexual Republican opponent in 2000, lol.

Isn't it Byrd style?
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2012, 11:29:41 am »
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Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=54120120428154
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wormyguy
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« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2012, 11:41:36 am »
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I don't doubt that Manchin is winning in a landslide... but we need confirmation for this.

...we do? Why?

Um, because that's an almost unheard-of landslide... It's bigger than the margin by which Bernie Sanders beat his transsexual Republican opponent in 2000, lol.

Isn't it Byrd style?

Byrd only broke 70 twice (in 2000 and 1970, he was unopposed in 1976).  He was also more popular than Manchin is.  Of course, even if this poll is accurate it's probably significantly overstating Manchin's support on election day because Obama's on the ballot and WV has straight-ticket voting.
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2012, 01:47:12 pm »
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It will be a landslide, but I'm a bit skeptical that Manchin will cross 70%.
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« Reply #8 on: May 02, 2012, 03:35:32 pm »
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I'm certainly skeptical of this, but I've said before and will say again that I think John Raese losing four US Senate elections is really special. Is there even any historical precedent for that for a major-party candidate?
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