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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: Hash)
| | |-+  Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future?
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Poll
Question: Including this election and any future ones.
Nicolas Sarkozy   -17 (63%)
Marine Le Pen   -5 (18.5%)
François Bayrou   -5 (18.5%)
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Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future?  (Read 665 times)
tpfkaw
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« on: May 01, 2012, 11:02:31 am »
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This should be interesting.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2012, 11:04:24 am »
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Sarkozy obviously. For one thing he's actually going to be on the ballot in the second round of a presidential election this sunday. Not very likely to happen to either Le Pen or Bayrou.
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2012, 12:30:46 pm »
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Sarkozy has like a 5% chance of winning the 2012 election. The other two have a 0% chance of winning the 2012 election and all future elections.
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THE FRONTRUNNER

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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2012, 03:25:42 pm »
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Sarkozy has like a 5% chance of winning the 2012 election. The other two have a 0% chance of winning the 2012 election and all future elections.

Basically.
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2012, 03:31:51 pm »
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This election: obviously Sarkozy. 
In the future: assuming Sarko's serious about quitting politics if he looses, Le Pen.  The chances of Bayrou ever getting close to his 2007 score again seem pretty slim. 
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Hash
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2012, 04:05:47 pm »

Anyone who thinks Marion Panzergirl can come remotely close to winning 50% +1 in an election with normal turnout is delusional.
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« Reply #6 on: May 02, 2012, 03:59:06 am »
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Sarkozy's chances of winning in 2012 are about even to Bayrou's chances of ever winning (negligible but not quite non-existent), while his chances of a comeback, and the chances of Le Pen ever being president, are non-existent.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #7 on: May 02, 2012, 12:52:43 pm »
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Panzer girl vs Melenchon would be a fun match-up.
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