NV: Rasmussen: Heller with commanding lead

[MilesC56]

Here we go.

Dean Heller (R)- 51%
Shelley Berkley (D)- 40%

[Senator North Carolina Yankee]

So Heller by 2 or 3 like the other polls.


Or is there something else going on here we should know about? Scandals?

[MilesC56]

I think I've heard some bad things about Berkley's campaign...I'm not exactly sure though.

[Meeker]

lol Scott

[krazen1211]

Yep, Heller is a known elected statewide entity, while berkeley is under ethics investigation.


Congrats to Senator Heller!

[Invisible Obama]

Rasmussen isn't even hiding the bias anymore. PPP gets criticized, yet somehow this race is over because of a Rasmussen poll? Yeah, right. He'll probably have completely different numbers in the next poll.

[Jayhawker]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

[krazen1211]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

The same sample has Obama up 8 in Nevada. Heller is leading of course by a large margin because he is a great candidate with crossover appeal.

[MilesC56]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

The same sample has Obama up 8 in Nevada. Heller is leading of course by a large margin because he is a great candidate with crossover appeal.

You do know that this is the only poll here that shows the candidates more than 10 points apart?

I agree that Heller is up, but he isn't up by 11.

[krazen1211]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

The same sample has Obama up 8 in Nevada. Heller is leading of course by a large margin because he is a great candidate with crossover appeal.

You do know that this is the only poll here that shows the candidates more than 10 points apart?

I agree that Heller is up, but he isn't up by 11.

Yes, of course. It is also the first poll I believe since Shelley's ethics scandal.

[Invisible Obama]

You don't get that much disparity between a presidential poll and senate poll in a state like this. The so-called scandal isn't even getting that much press.

[Joe Republic]

It is also the first poll I believe since Shelley's ethics scandal.

Uh, no.  This "scandal" came to light months ago.

[krazen1211]

You don't get that much disparity between a presidential poll and senate poll in a state like this. The so-called scandal isn't even getting that much press.

Of course you do. In 2004 incumbent Senator Harry Reid got about 13% more than Presidential Challenger John Kerry.



Ethics investigations of course kicked off in late March.

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/mar/23/news/la-pn-nevada-rep-shelley-berkley-under-ethics-investigation-20120323

[Invisible Obama]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

I'm not talking about late March, I'm talking about now and it's not top news right now. Rasmussen had Mack leading in Florida, then back tracked weeks later with in down more than a few points. Rasmussen is playing with numbers again.

[MilesC56]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

Exactly. Richard Ziser was a nut who ran on the sole issue of stopping gay marriage.

Reid was also somewhat popular back then.

[OC]

We needexd an independent like Oscar Goodman to run for the seat, a more mainstream candidate, like Harry Reid.

[krazen1211]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

I'm not talking about late March, I'm talking about now and it's not top news right now. Rasmussen had Mack leading in Florida, then back tracked weeks later with in down more than a few points. Rasmussen is playing with numbers again.

Actually, the same exact poll had Obama up 8 points. Rasmussen is presenting the poll and you're making up excuses.

Of course, the 2004 situation is about as close as equal as one is likely to get. Dean Heller has been elected already by the people of Nevada.

[krazen1211]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

Exactly. Richard Ziser was a nut who ran on the sole issue of stopping gay marriage.

Reid was also somewhat popular back then.

You might be the first liberal to use the 'great poll!' and 'junk poll!' lines on the same poll at the same time.

In 2000 of course John Ensign won the vacant Nevada Senate seat by 15 points. Governor George W. Bush won by about 3.

Seems like you have a big problem with the history of the state.

[Svensson]

Seems like you have a big problem with the history of the state.

Seems like you have a big problem with not acting like a todger in every debate you get into.

[Invisible Obama]

Actually, the same exact poll had Obama up 8 points. Rasmussen is presenting the poll and you're making up excuses.

Of course, the 2004 situation is about as close as equal as one is likely to get. Dean Heller has been elected already by the people of Nevada.

No excuses, just stating the facts that Rasmussen shows much better results for Republicans than other polls do.

[asexual trans victimologist]

Of course, the 2004 situation is about as close as equal as one is likely to get. Dean Heller has been elected already by the people of Nevada.

He's been elected (repeatedly) by about a third of the people of Nevada. Are you treating either them or perhaps Brian Sandoval as a synecdoche of the entire state?

[OC]

Uh, didn't this same Harry Reid win and beat the disgraced Ensign in 1998?

[MilesC56]

Of course, the 2004 situation is about as close as equal as one is likely to get. Dean Heller has been elected already by the people of Nevada.

He's been elected (repeatedly) by about a third of the people of Nevada. Are you treating either them or perhaps Brian Sandoval as a synecdoche of the entire state?

Well, Heller was elected SoS between 1994 and 2006. I thought you'd rather have me call you out on that than krazen!

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

So Heller by 2 or 3 like the other polls.


Or is there something else going on here we should know about? Scandals?

There are no other polls.  PPP has only done one poll, and other than that, it's just one Rasmussen poll since the start of the year.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Database entry: http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?fips=32&class=1