NEW 2012 FORUM FEATURE: "Who will hypothetical people vote for?" Omnibus Thread!

[morgieb]

Obama reluctantly.

[morgieb]

Romney.

[morgieb]

Would've voted Obama in 08, but liberal old-money types will probably vote Romney this time around....

[morgieb]

All are Republicans except Steve, though the former 2 may not vote.

[morgieb]

Austin - as he's on the West Coast, Obama.
Linda - Obama
Daniel - Romney, if he votes.
Karen - Romney, part of the 1%

[morgieb]

wormyguy's:

Jenna - depends where she lives, probably Romney as she wasn't in the workforce around Bush.
Sam - Romney, though it depends where he lives.
Larry - most likely Romney.
Wesley - probably Obama.
Arturo - could go either way.
David - Obama.

Torie's one votes Obama.

Vermin Surpreme's:

Person 1 - hip-hop fan, probably black, votes Obama.
Person 2 - pop fan, too young to vote but hypothetically votes Obama.
Person 3 - depends on his age, but probably lean Obama.
Person 4 - arty person....stereotypical Obama supporter.
Person 5 - could be OWS people or Paulites. Hard to say.
Person 6 - metal fans sound like the stereotypical Ron Paul supporter...so reluctantly Romney if they vote.

[morgieb]

Yeah, anti-communist immigrants are probably more likely to be Republican backers, so Romney.

[morgieb]

New person:

Todd, aged 43. Lives in the Bay Area, however grew up in rural California. Parents run a farm. He earns $125,000 per annum in market research. Likes more obscure alternative rock bands. Plays golf on weekends. Married 3 times, and has no kids. Not religious.

[morgieb]

Oh, and something else - he was a veteran in the Gulf War, as his marks weren't good enough to attend uni right away. However, after his time in the navy, he attended Stanford University.

[morgieb]

I was thinking Obama too, but I also wonder what is the profile of the people in the Bay Area who actually are Republicans.

1%ers most likely.

I'm not gonna give too much away, people are semi-correct on his political allegiance.

[morgieb]

How about these real life people?

-A girl I saw a couple rows in front of me at church who was holding her arms out to the side the entire time during worship if not raising them in the air. Was wearing a blank shirt, jeans and had one of those club bracelets I made a poll about elsewhere still on, and seemed to be in tears by the closing prayer.
-A group of olds I saw leaving a church near me when I was driving back which is one of the most liberal ones in the city that is actively campaigning against banning gay marriage. All of the olds were very dressed up, with all the men wearing suits and ties and the women wearing fancy dresses.

They're both Republicans I assume.

[morgieb]

How about

-A poor black woman who voted for Hillary in the 2008 Primary and McCain in the general.


Yeah, I met someone who fit that description.

Serious?

I'm not sure in that case....probably a toss-up.

[morgieb]

A lot of your ones are kinda hard to say. I think Person 2 is in the Obama camp assuming they vote, but the other 3 are kinda tricky.

[morgieb]

Ryan: 53 years old, works in a shipyard in South Boston. Unionized, practicing Catholic, married with one grown child in college and one in high school. Recovering alcoholic, but has begun to have a beer again once in a while. Pro-life, undecided on same-sex marriage (used to strongly oppose it). Approved of Romney as governor and voted for him in 2002, but by  2006 somewhat disapproved of him.


Isaac: 68 years old, lives in Long Island and commutes to Wall Street. Jewish, multi-millionare investment banker. Divorced twice. Socially tolerant/liberal (has a gay son), but very hawkish and pro-Israel (but leans towards exiting Afghanistan in 2014). Fiscally moderate; opposes Dodd-Frank but supports reinstating Glass-Steagall, supports Social Security reform but also supports universal health care.

Allison: 38 years old, lives in Anaheim, California, works as a manager of a local Target. Half white and half Vietnamese; her father was a Vietnam veteran who brought a wife from South Vietnam. Speaks fluent English and Vietnamese. Married with two young children. Former Catholic, now a member of a Methodist church.

All three of these lean Democrat.

Hypothetical Voter:
Name: Julia Wallace
Age: 40
Race: White
Sex: Female
Place of birth: Plano, Texas
Place of residence: Cedar Park, Texas
Education: BA in Communications, University of Texas-Austin
Occupation: Human Resources Specialist
Personal Income: $42,000/year
Family: Husband (40) is a Marketing Manager (Personal Income: $70,000/year), 2 children (ages 9 and 7)
Household/Family income: $102,000/year
Religion: United Methodist

Probably a Romney supporter.

Julia Wallace-Romney



Name: John M. Kennedy
Age: 45
Race: White
Sex: Male
Place of birth: Manchester New Hampshire
Place of residence: St Paul Minnesota
Education: BA in Special Education, University of California
Occupation: Special Education teacher in History
Personal Income: $75,000/year
Family: Son(16), spouse died when the son was 2 years old.
Religion: Atheist

Voting Record: Michael Dukakis 1988, Bill Clinton 1992 and 1996, Ralph Nader 2000, John Kerry 2004, Barack Obama 2008. Primaries: Paul Simon in 1988, Jerry Brown in 1992, Bill Bradley in 2000, Howard Dean in 2004 but was thinking about voting Dennis Kucinich in 2004, Mike Gravel earlier in 2007 but then switch his support to Dennis Kucinich later on. Voted for Paul Wellstone in 1990/1996, Dean Barkley in 1994, Mark Dayton in 2000, Walter Mondale in 2002,  Amy Klobuchar in 2006, Al Franken in 2008. Voted straight Dem in governor races except in 1998 when he cast his vote for Jesse Ventura.

Yeah...Obama obviously.

[morgieb]

Name: Mary Hayes
Born: May 6, 1934
Place of birth/residence: Lumberton, NC
Education: High school graduate
Occupation: Retired teacher
Family: Widowed
Annual Income: $60,000 pension + $14,000 Social Security
Religion: Baptist; plays organ at church every Sunday

Voting Record: Dukakis 1988, Clinton 1992/1996, Bush 2000, Kerry 2004, McCain 2008. Straight-ticket Democrat in local races her entire life.

Is that your grandma or something?

Probably Romney if she voted McCain. Doesn't seem to like black people.

[morgieb]

Bryan: 57 years old, lives in Columbus, Mississippi. Engineer for the Tennessee Valley Authority, after being a labourer for them. White, earns $125,000/year as his job. Married, has 3 grown children and 3 grandchildren, with a fourth on the way. From a heavily working-class background, almost underclass, and dropped out of high school. Later attended Mississippi State University to expand his workplace choices. Was in the army but quit, owns four guns. Ex-alcoholic, but has cut bank following his wife's threats to leave him. Devoutly religious and attends an evangelical church every week.

Louise: 32 years old, lives in Newport, Rhode Island. White. Currently an associate in a law firm, earns $100,000/year. Married, has one child and is pregnant with a second one. Attended Harvard Law School, was of a working-class/lower-middle class background but finished dux at her school which enabled her a scholarship. Was religious but has not attended church in a while. Doesn't drink or smoke, and only lost her virginity in her 20's.

Phil: 30 years old, lives in Boston, Massachuetts. White. Currently a partner in a law firm, earns $175,000/year. Married, has two children. Attended Harvard Law School, was of a working-class/lower-middle class background but finished dux at his school which enabled him a scholarship. Also attended Oxford University as a Rhodes Scholar. Impreginated his girlfriend in high school but was pressured by his family to not have an abortion. Was religious but is now an avowed atheist. Has recently questioned his sexuality and is currently involved in a gay affair. Has drunk in every state and lost his virginity at a very young age. Used to smoke weed, but hasn't done so in a while.

Matt: 23 years old, lives in Jackson, Mississippi. White, from a middle class background. Kicked out of home due to unemployment and lack of college degree, dropped out of college after two years and was fired from his job as a pizza delivery boy. Has a girlfriend, but has cheated on her. Used to belong to the KKK, but quit after leaving high school. Heavy drinker and regularly smokes weed. Very bored with his life and is considering going to a college in another part of the country and to get out of Mississippi. Semi-religious, but only attends church on holidays.

[morgieb]

Yeah...most likely a Romney voter.

[morgieb]

Probably Democrat because he's black. If he were white he'd be apolitical or a libertarian.