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Author Topic: TX-PPP: Romney by only 7  (Read 3402 times)
perdedor
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E: -7.23, S: -7.13

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« Reply #25 on: April 28, 2012, 12:39:48 pm »
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It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.
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Eternal Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #26 on: April 28, 2012, 05:26:09 pm »
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Nice how Perry is actually a net negative for Romney here. lol Perry Fail.


Romney probably gets 55% to 60%.

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Supreme, Almighty, All Knowing, All Seeing, Eternal Judicial Spirit Entity of the Glorious South Region.

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« Reply #27 on: April 28, 2012, 05:27:50 pm »
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It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.
Romney's going to win Texas, and probably by a fairly comfortable margin. Let's not kid ourselves. It might be a swing state by 2020 or 2024, but not 2012.
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Bacon! 🔥
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« Reply #28 on: April 29, 2012, 01:53:25 pm »
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Obama's ceiling in Texas is the 44-46% range.  These numbers really don't surprise me, given the pretty strict rule that undecideds in TX always come home to the GOP.

The poll's crosstabs highlight this. Here are the undecideds in the ideological breakdown of the Obama/Romney matchup:

0% of "very liberal"
1% of "somewhat liberal"
12% of "moderate"
9% of "somewhat conservative"
5% of "very conservative"
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The Mikado
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« Reply #29 on: April 29, 2012, 07:24:53 pm »
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Exactly.  The best case for Obama in TX would be something like Romney 54, Obama 45.  I don't think Obama would do that well, mind.  I said that that's the best realistic scenario.
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The Handsome Monkey King Son Wukong weighs in on politics.
perdedor
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« Reply #30 on: May 02, 2012, 11:25:45 am »
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It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.
Romney's going to win Texas, and probably by a fairly comfortable margin. Let's not kid ourselves. It might be a swing state by 2020 or 2024, but not 2012.

Hence the "fat chance". Wink
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