Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 01, 2015, 05:20:29 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  How will 2012 compare to 2008 based on income groups?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: How will 2012 compare to 2008 based on income groups?  (Read 314 times)
The Trump Card (2016 Edition)
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6489
United States


View Profile
« on: May 06, 2012, 11:12:31 pm »
Ignore

Here's 2008.



As you can see, Obama basically won the lowest-income groups up to $50k in income. McCain won voters with incomes of between $50k and $200k, but Obama actually won voters with incomes of $200k or above.

« Last Edit: May 06, 2012, 11:16:04 pm by Progressive Realist »Logged
greenforest32
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2635


Political Matrix
E: -7.94, S: -8.43

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2012, 03:43:56 am »
Ignore

Interesting. How far back do we have data on this demographic for Presidential elections?
« Last Edit: May 07, 2012, 03:47:19 am by greenforest32 »Logged
Indy Texas
independentTX
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6643


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: -3.48

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2012, 02:25:29 pm »
Ignore

A lot of people have been pointing out how "bimodal" Obama's support is - he does well at both extreme ends of the income spectrum and as you get towards the middle it starts to peter out.

My guess is he narrowly holds the >$200K people - the recession has been over for them for a while and most of them are smart enough to know Obama isn't going to pull a Castro and expropriate their assets like the droolers on talk radio think he will.

The very poor will vote Democratic like usual, if they vote.

The votes in the middle will be determined by race, religious affiliation and geographic location.
Logged

"It would misunderstand these men and women to say that they disrespect the idea of marriage. Their plea is that they do respect it, respect it so deeply that they seek to find its fulfillment for themselves. Their hope is not to be condemned to live in loneliness, excluded from one of civilization's oldest institutions. They ask for equal dignity in the eyes of the law. The Constitution grants them that right."
—Hon. Anthony Kennedy, Obergefell v. Hodges
Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1725


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2012, 07:19:11 pm »
Ignore

Higher income should trend Romney. His identity is more identifiably "rich", Obama seems like he'll campaign on more of an economically populist platform this time, and McCain's pick of Palin may have scared rich voters who might like lower taxes but put a strong emphasis on competence.
Logged

The Trump Card (2016 Edition)
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6489
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2012, 11:23:02 am »
Ignore

Interesting thoughts.

Though higher educated (like graduate degree) Americans are roughly 50/50 overall in terms of partisan preference, and that is often correlated with higher income,  there is still considerable correlation to higher income people voting Republican.

If you compare two people of the same educational background, but Person A has a higher income than Person B, then Person A is more likely to vote Republican than Person B.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines